Ray of Hope - 113th Draw

[SithLord]

What is your prediction if there is a draw on 20th March

450

 

[abhishek_89]

@abhishek_89 : Any idea how to get a PNP nomination with 1 year Canadian Experience inside Canada ... .

If there are any experienced people, can you please guide..

With CRS 452, I would not bother applying for PNP seeing the current trends.
If you are in Ontario, you can check here: https://www.ontario.ca/page/ontario-immigrant-nominee-program-oinp

 

[SithLord]

After having a look on the 2018 data. I've figured, whenever there was a draw within the first 6-7 days of a month, then it was witnessed with a series of 3 back-to-back draws, resulting the Cut-off to be dropped, drastically.

If that happens again, then we all here with the range of 440 and more, would surely get an ITA by the end of March. Otherwise, be prepared to witness the next draws with unchanged cut-off or more.

What you guys say about it?

I don't think there will be back to back draws anytime soon. They have huge backlogs and they are sending more ITAs this time than compared to last year.

Only 50% of September folks have got PPR so there won't be back to back draw anytime soon.

 

[abhishek_89]

I am one of those unfortunate person who missed the ITA today, My score is 444 but the cutoff today is 454. I am married and I have a 4 month old baby. My express entry profile is for the whole family. I feel that time is running out and I should make an application as Married but not accompany? If I adjust profile by doing this my score will be significantly high and I will get the ITA soon,Is there any downside to this or should I wait for the score to drop down so that I can expect ITA by mid this year?

***Help needed***

Many Thanks,
Geo Edwin Raj

For the cut off to decrease to 444, there needs to be more ITAs being issued or 1 week gap draws.
So you can take a call to wait it out and see if it drops OR you can also wait and see if you get an invite from Ontario under their HCP stram (PNP).

On the other hand, if you apply as spouse not accompanying then you can go to Canada as a PR and then apply for spousal PR. The downside is that it could take around 12 months for spousal PR processing.

 

[Eli31]

When will be held the next elections ? I hope Cut off doesn't increase further than 449 on August when I complete my 3 years experience and I can take place in draw

 

[NikSharma01]

Thanks friend. The only thing is that my post graduate work permit is expiring mid june. Do you think, I will be able to get an ITA before that?

As you said, your current score is 437 which is not sufficient for you to get an ITA. If your score was 468, then you could easily make it in the upcoming draws. However, you never know what IRCC has planned and gonna do at their end. Because, everytime it comes with enormous surprises. Besides, Hope is always there. That's why these kinds of threads exist. So Cheer Up!

 

[abhishek_89]

After having a look on the 2018 data. I've figured, whenever there was a draw within the first 6-7 days of a month, then it was witnessed with a series of 3 back-to-back draws, resulting the Cut-off to be dropped, drastically.

If that happens again, then we all here with the range of 440 and more, would surely get an ITA by the end of March. Otherwise, be prepared to witness the next draws with unchanged cut-off or more.

What you guys say about it?

There have been only 2 instances of 1 week gap draws in the last 15 months but the good news is that both the cases were recent (Dec 2018 and Jan 2019).

 

[abhishek_89]

When will be held the next elections ? I hope Cut off doesn't increase further than 449 on August when I complete my 3 years experience and I can take place in draw

Elections should take place in October.

 

[biquanbi96]

A bit disappointed but I had only expected a 70% chance of getting an ITA prior to the draw at 451. So, was not a huge surprise.

Still I don't understand the fairness in conducting draws from Immigration Canada. There's so much volatility when stability can be easily achieved by issuing ITAs at a constant inverval , 438 and 456 is a huge gap, while it benefited those with the low score, it is definitely not fair at all.

Done complaining, will try to forget about this. See everyone in 2 weeks

 

[NikSharma01]

There have been only 2 instances of 1 week gap draws in the last 15 months but the good news is that both the cases were recent (Dec 2018 and Jan 2019).

Yes, thats what I'm saying. Those instances happened recently in 2018. First one in September and the second one in October with only a month gap. Besides, it was also experienced in January this year, and there has also been a one month gap. So, will we experience 3 draws this month?

 

[Wedding Crasher]

Guys there is something off... How come they have higher number goals for this year, yet the draw size is smaller than that of last year??!

 

[abhishek_89]

Yes, thats what I'm saying. Those instances happened recently in 2018. First one in September and the second one in October with only a month gap. Besides, it was also experienced in January this year, and there has also been a one month gap. So, will we experience 3 draws this month?

The 1 week gap draw in Sept was only for FST, not relevant for the majority of the applicants. Hence, ignore the draw on Sept 24th.
Also, the 3 draws in Oct had gaps of 12 and 14 days, not exactly a 1 week gap draw there.

 

[Wedding Crasher]

Last year around the same time period (Jan 2018 - Mar 2018) they were inviting only 2750 to 3000 applicants. Now, they are inviting 3350 applicants, which means they are inviting more people to meet the higher targets. How they split the total number is totally dependent on them.

So there is hope to reach 438 if they make the 3900 soze draws?

 

[abhishek_89]

So there is hope to reach 438 if they make the 3900 soze draws?

With 3900 ITA size and bi-weekly draws the cut off won't reach 438 as observed in the 2018 draws. Only when they did the 1 week gap draw with 3900 ITAs, the cut off reached 438.

 

[Ranjeetz]

Hi Guys,

New to this forum with CRS 450. Was not really hopeful for draw 112. Now really depends on when the next draw is and how much ITAs are issued. All the Best