June 2018 AOR - join here
- Thread starter andy108
- Start date
Well, my experience is just similar to you, but I've waited for almost 4 months.
%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on past experience will start with following disclaimer 
29 August 8 Sep 13 Sep 21 Sep
Jan - 89% 89% 89% 90% (50%)
Feb - 85% 87% 87% 88% (52%)
Mar - 68% 72% 74% 74% (45%)
April - 48% 53% 56% 59% (40%)
May - 27% 30% 34% 39% (28%)
Jun - 14% 17% 18% 19% (14%)
Based on the trend ... March seems to have slowed down .. No real movement in last week. Also May seems to have most movement. For me this also seems right as I saw a bunch of PPR coming on May thread. June is stagnant as well.
With one week to go ... not sure they will hit the 80% target and based on current progress I don't see them meeting the 80% target for April as well. They need to process almost 21% applications more in 5/6 weeks to meet the number for April. Seems unlikely to me.
I do think that the processing has been slow after April.
- Yes this data may not be accurate as not all people enter or update their data. However, personally I think the data does show trend because in no field you can have absolute population data. In most fields you work with sample data and make decisions. If you disagree just ignore.
- Immitracker ignores the inactive cases. Someone pointed that out and this time I have included the %ages in parenthesis on total population.
- However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
29 August 8 Sep 13 Sep 21 Sep
Jan - 89% 89% 89% 90% (50%)
Feb - 85% 87% 87% 88% (52%)
Mar - 68% 72% 74% 74% (45%)
April - 48% 53% 56% 59% (40%)
May - 27% 30% 34% 39% (28%)
Jun - 14% 17% 18% 19% (14%)
Based on the trend ... March seems to have slowed down .. No real movement in last week. Also May seems to have most movement. For me this also seems right as I saw a bunch of PPR coming on May thread. June is stagnant as well.
With one week to go ... not sure they will hit the 80% target and based on current progress I don't see them meeting the 80% target for April as well. They need to process almost 21% applications more in 5/6 weeks to meet the number for April. Seems unlikely to me.
I do think that the processing has been slow after April.
Hi Guys,
MY AOR: 8th june
MEP: 19thJune
IP1 : 19th June
It's been over 100 days. there was no update I am still stuck in IP1. I am an inland applicant. I spoke to an cic agent on August 17th. she told me my status is Recommend passed but I forgot to ask her when it was passed, and my file was at Ottawa. Again, I called one month later on September 17th agent said there is no change its still Recommend pass. Background check hasn't started. My concern is my open work permit is about to expire in another 40 days. I was hoping that I could get mine before It get expired. but, after the second agent said there is no change. I totally lost my hope. I don't know how long its going to take. however, I pray everyone's PPR happen soon
MY AOR: 8th june
MEP: 19thJune
IP1 : 19th June
It's been over 100 days. there was no update I am still stuck in IP1. I am an inland applicant. I spoke to an cic agent on August 17th. she told me my status is Recommend passed but I forgot to ask her when it was passed, and my file was at Ottawa. Again, I called one month later on September 17th agent said there is no change its still Recommend pass. Background check hasn't started. My concern is my open work permit is about to expire in another 40 days. I was hoping that I could get mine before It get expired. but, after the second agent said there is no change. I totally lost my hope. I don't know how long its going to take. however, I pray everyone's PPR happen soon
Time for my weekly post for Montreal
Are you an FSW O candidate based in USA? Or are you an inland candidate...
It is has been more than 60 days post your AOR and no progress beyond IP1? ... Your application may be at Montreal. Do order GCMS notes or call agents and find out ... Why? Because if you're at Montreal your wait likely is going to be long one! For more information please join us at Montreal thread here!
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/montreal-visa-office-lets-connect-here.575300/page-24
Are you an FSW O candidate based in USA? Or are you an inland candidate...
It is has been more than 60 days post your AOR and no progress beyond IP1? ... Your application may be at Montreal. Do order GCMS notes or call agents and find out ... Why? Because if you're at Montreal your wait likely is going to be long one! For more information please join us at Montreal thread here!
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/montreal-visa-office-lets-connect-here.575300/page-24
Very well analysed thank you @cansha .%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on past experience will start with following disclaimer
- Yes this data may not be accurate as not all people enter or update their data. However, personally I think the data does show trend because in no field you can have absolute population data. In most fields you work with sample data and make decisions. If you disagree just ignore.
- Immitracker ignores the inactive cases. Someone pointed that out and this time I have included the %ages in parenthesis on total population.
- However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
29 August 8 Sep 13 Sep 21 Sep
Jan - 89% 89% 89% 90% (50%)
Feb - 85% 87% 87% 88% (52%)
Mar - 68% 72% 74% 74% (45%)
April - 48% 53% 56% 59% (40%)
May - 27% 30% 34% 39% (28%)
Jun - 14% 17% 18% 19% (14%)
Based on the trend ... March seems to have slowed down .. No real movement in last week. Also May seems to have most movement. For me this also seems right as I saw a bunch of PPR coming on May thread. June is stagnant as well.
With one week to go ... not sure they will hit the 80% target and based on current progress I don't see them meeting the 80% target for April as well. They need to process almost 21% applications more in 5/6 weeks to meet the number for April. Seems unlikely to me.
I do think that the processing has been slow after April.