newmoon_h said:
Sitting at 465. I am hopeful by December our time will come. Otherwise will have to look at OINP.
Your score is the mid point of the 460-470.
My deductions 1. An average of 1500 applicants with scores of 465 and above join the pool every 2 weeks.
2. The draw with a score closest to 465 this year was 468 in April 20, the scores for subsequent draws have been higher, the least thereafter after 11 draws was 482.
3. Based on extrapolation from the draw , roughly 300 applicants within d 465-481 crs score have joined the EE pool every two weeks in d last 5 months (11 draws) , with virtually none earning ITA = 300 * 11 = 3300 as at sep.23 most likely stagnated in d pool.
4. Just before the Oct 5 draw, if all things stay equal, roughly 1,500 applicants with 465 and above should have joined the outstanding 3,300+- , pushing the number of candidates with 465 and above to the neighbourhood of 5,000.
If IRCC does not deviate , there should be 7 draws left in this year. Oct 5, Oct 19, Nov 2, Nov 16, Nov. 30, Dec.14, and Dec. 28.
