Re: Address disappeared today from ECAS
MowSow said:
Thanks all for the great discussion and info you are providing.
I created an excel sheet on my computer just for Buffalo applicants and that's what I found out.
There are 4 applicants from Oct, Nov, Dec 2010, who are "IN PROCESS"
Also half of the Sep 2010 applicants are in "Visa Granted" Status.
I then plotted some more numbers to see exactly how many days it is actually taking
First I noticed that the time between "Application received by CIO and PER Issued" went from 120 days to 80 days to 40 days now. Then another 15-25 days to go to RBVO status.
I calculated the time for those who got their visas already and noticed that:
The time between App. received by CIO and medical/PR fees request was between 231 for the fastest and 336 for the slowest
The time between PER issued by CIO and medical/PR fees request was between 114 days for the fastest and 224 for the slowest.
Then an additional 40 to 90 days between the time "PER issued by CIO" and passport request/Visa granted
By conclusion, not every application is processed in order because there is 100 days gab between applicants. That means some applicants are getting their applications processed 100 days or less faster than others.
I have the excel sheet I used with the extra fields I added to calculate the number of days if anyone is interested.
The fact that we can all agree on is that there was a burst of files being processed in Buffalo between April and July then everything completely froze !!!
For me:
CIO to PER 42 days
PER to RBVO 20 days
Application received by CIO to today 243 days
PER to today 201 days
RBVO to today 179
Hi MowSow:
Thank you for your analysis, however, as I mentioned earlier, no one past "application received by" Sept of 2010 has ever gone "in process" at Buffalo VO in this forum. There is only the name of one applicant on the tracker, "Desiguy79" application submitted on 22nd of Oct 2010, who is colored as though he/she is in process. That is a mistake, Desiguy79 last posted on Canadavisa on March 16, 2010, and believe me he was not in process then... You can search his id and read his posts yourself.
I don't know where you get the other three candidates from Oct, Nov, and Dec, whom you say have gone "in process," the tracker does not show anyone else... I can tell you this, I have been here since the beginning of this forum and have read almost every post, and there are other applicants here from Buffalo VO who have done the same. If anyone had gone "in process" after Sept 2010 from Buffalo VO, we would know it... no one has.
As for the spread sheet analysis, yes I agree with you, the time to wait in every stage is reduced for applicants who applied in early 2011, as opposed to those who applied in mid to late 2010, as your analysis indicates. But unfortunately a spreadsheet can no longer be of relevance, because the process is not ongoing anymore, processing froze at Buffalo at the end of July 2011 and we have no idea when they will start processing again.
So here is my conclusion, while we have no idea when Buffalo will start processing applications again, it is certain in my opinion that you will not be waiting as long as I have, and your application will be processed faster. By how many months? The answer will only be a guess...
Thanks for bringing your ideas to the forum, it beats watching the paint dry
Cam
