38th draw <GUESS>

[gappy31600]

The high scores will not continue till September, but you will see and number of invites increased in July end or August draw which will bring down the CRS drastically. It was a temporary decision to reduce the draw size and by now they would have completed their back log.( A temporary thing cant be as long as 6 months) So just wait for the draw with 1500 or more in near future.

Think Big and positive. It counts

That is for sure. Thinking positive is the only way ahead. Sitting at 433 with maxed out points. Cannot improve any further. So hoping the draw size becomes bigger than the recent ones and the CRS scores fall.

 

[LokiJr01]

When you believe, it will come!

The same can be said if all you think about is negativity. So immigration is a battle of will and patience

 

[Sluffy]

You do have some great points, and I want to add some more. We actually do have some reliable stats to do a guesstimation: HERE

Therefore, we have around 80,000 ITAs left for this year which will be divided between multiple streams, including backlogs, Express Entry, Live-in caregivers, caregivers, Investor skilled trades and PNPs.

Why do you think the number of ITAs is 80000?
100000-114000 of immigrants is the number for the backlog and EE immigrants including FSW, CEC and PNP to be admitted in 2016.
Divide it by 2 - it's an average number of ppl per application
So 50-57K of application to be proceeded. This is both for backlog and EE.

Caregivers and business are separate. They do not participate in EE and do not receive any ITAs. Correct me if I'm wrong

 

[bestofluck]

Why do you think the number of ITAs is 80000?
100000-114000 of immigrants is the number for the backlog and EE immigrants including FSW, CEC and PNP to be admitted in 2016.
Divide it by 2 - it's an average number of ppl per application
So 50-57K of application to be proceeded. This is both for backlog and EE.

Caregivers and business are separate. They do not participate in EE and do not receive any ITAs. Correct me if I'm wrong

backlog is like a Debt which always keeps on increasing. what they need is a system change and you will soon see some changes.

 

[LokiJr01]

The next draw is happening tomorrow right? This feels more like a lottery game now hehe

 

[ovi1985]

The next draw is happening tomorrow right? This feels more like a lottery game now hehe

Around when the draw may take place?

 

[nonnemacher]

Around when the draw may take place?

Draw usually happens between 10 AM and 12 PM - Toronto time

 

[carlucho34]

Is it tomorrow? I was wondering!

Omg this is like the Hunger Games. Good luck for all!

The next draw is happening tomorrow right? This feels more like a lottery game now hehe

 

[Alexios07]

Why do you think the number of ITAs is 80000?
100000-114000 of immigrants is the number for the backlog and EE immigrants including FSW, CEC and PNP to be admitted in 2016.
Divide it by 2 - it's an average number of ppl per application
So 50-57K of application to be proceeded. This is both for backlog and EE.

Caregivers and business are separate. They do not participate in EE and do not receive any ITAs. Correct me if I'm wrong

I did explain in my original comment.

You do have some great points, and I want to add some more. We actually do have some reliable stats to do a guesstimation: HERE

Basically, IRCC has granted 42,642 PRs for the Economic stream off the 160,600 quota in the first three months of 2016. I'd say we will have the same number from March to present, so it would be another ~40,000. Therefore, we have around 80,000 ITAs left for this year which will be divided between multiple streams, including backlogs, Express Entry, Live-in caregivers, caregivers, Investor skilled trades and PNPs.

Based on IRCC data, the approval rate for all cases is around ~92% - 93%.

I don't get why some people keep saying ITAs will go up in September? what is so special about September?

 

[johnjkjk]

I did explain in my original comment.

Based on IRCC data, the approval rate for all cases is around ~92% - 93%.

I don't get why some people keep saying ITAs will go up in September? what is so special about September?

Targets and ITAs are different. Targets are based upon expected landed arrivals. Many will be coming from applications from 2015, the first 6-8 months of 2016 and pre-EE backlog. September onwards its unlikely that an ITA would result in a landed visa so it would come under the next year's target, which won't have a backlog. Higher ITA can be expected but whether this results in a lower score depends on how many people in the 450-480 range have accumulated over the past couple of months, how many are entering the pool and the numbers of LMIAs being secured. There may be a drop in cutoff but it may take several further draws for it fall to more reasonable levels. Or it may fall straight away. Time will tell.

 

[GurpreetSunny]

I wish we all see some light tomorrow. Best of luck all. 471 looks ITA is nearby hence the wait is tough.
All the best friends

 

[OMG_Chakromakro]

Is it tomorrow? I was wondering!

Omg this is like the Hunger Games. Good luck for all!

This Sure is .Hunger Games - Hunt for ITA

 

[Sluffy]

I did explain in my original comment.

Based on IRCC data, the approval rate for all cases is around ~92% - 93%.

I don't get why some people keep saying ITAs will go up in September? what is so special about September?

Admissions are people given PR.
ITA is application.
If you look into stats report you've mentioned, you'll see there are as man dependents as applicants.
So it means 2 persons per application in average.

And ITA goes for EE only. There are applications of backlog also.

 

[Lucky213]

16 hours more....Good luck Guys

 

[LokiJr01]

A 460 draw would be sweet I'm hoping we get lucky tonight in the draw.

CIC has been restricting the intake of applicants for like....3 months already? I hope that has bought them enough time to clear the backlog - and finally work on the actual pending applicants hehe.