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12th draw.. Guesses for the score n date of the draw!!

sharma1990

Hero Member
Apr 5, 2015
923
15
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
erable_rouge said:
You'll definitely get it in the next round.
Thanks .. Hope for the best...

I hope we all get d invitations this coming friday ...
 

rajanvnv

Champion Member
Jun 19, 2014
1,199
80
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Jbs said:
440-449 this Friday midnight .
If you can subtract just 1 points on your starting range, then that would work well for me (ie) 439 - 449
 

Jbs

Full Member
Apr 20, 2015
43
3
Buddy don't worry .u will get the ITA for sure . We have rubbed our ass in Canada for years .now we are treated like a stranger .. Cec candidates deserve priority. I know there are people with 10 years 20 years 50 years of experience even 100 years of experience but international students has contributed a lot from any other foreign categories here .
 

nuksyed

Hero Member
Dec 4, 2013
558
40
AB
Category........
NOC Code......
2133
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
15-06-2015
Doc's Request.
01-12-2015
Nomination.....
10-12-2015 Sent CIC: 09-02-2016
AOR Received.
waiting.
IELTS Request
N/A
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
Upfront
Jbs said:
440-449 this Friday midnight .
I am hoping you work for CIC :D
 

doobie.doobie

Hero Member
Apr 4, 2015
358
25
sharma1990 said:
Yes we paid thousands of dollar to come here then paid thousands of dollar in studies after getting jobs we paid taxes and follow all the rules and regulation filling up low wages jobs that nobody wants to work, i think that we deserve canadian permanent residence more then anybody ... Thats my point of view ..
For all that money you paid, you recieved Canadian education followed by a work permit which allows you to gain experience on your studies.
You were never draggred out of your house and forced to pay thousand of dollars in studies. Your choice.
Similarly, PR is privilege for international students.
 

Rao2015

Star Member
Apr 29, 2015
70
1
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Getting back to the point, here is what I thought:
Last draw (#11) was on June 26th, 1575 invitations at 469 points.
A draw before that (#10) was on June 12th, cutoff was 482 points.
That means, there were 13 points reduction and approx. 121 invitations/reduced point of CRS.

On June 26th itself, there were at least 121 candidates per point already present in the pool.
(Assuming Bell Curve distribution with mean of ~400 points)...

The gap of 2-3 weeks between the draws means it will likely add more candidates in the pool than those lose points due to aging etc. (net positive addition).

Assuming No of invitations remain in the 1600 range, points will not come below 469-13= 456!
Realistic score will be few points above 456, due to net positive addition.

This means those sitting on fence holding PT letter for OOPNP should send their application packet without any further wait.

Let me know if you agree.
 

Yogita62

Newbie
Jul 10, 2015
3
0
Hii what to write in the column "ties to ontario" if you don't have specific one. i do have some of my college friends living there n we are connected through FB only..... so what sort of proofs i can include to demonstrate my connection and intention to live there. ???
 

Rao2015

Star Member
Apr 29, 2015
70
1
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Yogita62 said:
Hii what to write in the column "ties to ontario" if you don't have specific one. i do have some of my college friends living there n we are connected through FB only..... so what sort of proofs i can include to demonstrate my connection and intention to live there. ???
I guess it will be specific to your intentions, personal situation, plans, why you think it will help to realize your life/career goals etc.

Also see Page 15 of http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/thank-you-asivad-anac-t309073.210.html

Already a lot of information is shared on this in multiple threads. Please use search feature for your convenience.
 

yelena

Hero Member
May 8, 2015
859
38
Category........
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
if there is a draw tonight., I think it will be 453 again.

if there is no draw ( and I more inclined to this option ), the next draw will be above 470 again.
 

TheJackal

Newbie
Apr 1, 2015
9
0
Look at the previous draws and exclude those weeks that had over 600 points. Look at the gaps between the other draws.

Round 5, time since last draw 21 days, 481 points
Round 10, time since last draw 21 days, 482 points
Round 7, time since last draw 14 days, 469 points
Round 11, time since last draw 14 days, 469 points
Round 6, time since last draw 7 days, 453 points
Round 8, time since last draw 7 days, 453 points

We are today at 14 days since last draw, which required 469 points
If a draw was made today, good chance it drops to 453 points (same happened week 7 to 8 )
 

mushej

Star Member
Jul 23, 2014
102
4
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Congratulations. The Moon today is in a Waning Crescent phase. In this phase the Moon’s illumination in growing smaller each day until the New Moon. During this phase the Moon is getting closer to the Sun as viewed from Earth and the night side of the Moon is facing the Earth with only a small edge of the Moon being illuminated. This will critically reflected on 12th draw and score will be decreased to 290.
 

nagrish

Star Member
Jun 25, 2015
191
22
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
mushej said:
Congratulations. The Moon today is in a Waning Crescent phase. In this phase the Moon's illumination in growing smaller each day until the New Moon. During this phase the Moon is getting closer to the Sun as viewed from Earth and the night side of the Moon is facing the Earth with only a small edge of the Moon being illuminated. This will critically reflected on 12th draw and score will be decreased to 290.
;D that's the best prediction yet!
 

erable_rouge

Hero Member
Mar 5, 2014
798
156
Ontario
App. Filed.......
29-04-2016
Doc's Request.
05-31-2017
AOR Received.
AOR1:- 1 June 2016 ; AOR2:- 29 June 2016
IELTS Request
Sent with application
LANDED..........
3 Aug 2017
mushej said:
Congratulations. The Moon today is in a Waning Crescent phase. In this phase the Moon's illumination in growing smaller each day until the New Moon. During this phase the Moon is getting closer to the Sun as viewed from Earth and the night side of the Moon is facing the Earth with only a small edge of the Moon being illuminated. This will critically reflected on 12th draw and score will be decreased to 290.
LOL . Occult :eek:

If the scores drop to 290, there gonna be more than 10K invites. :) :D