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It is purely data and history. Also pretty high consensus between the immigration lawyers and consultants I interact with. When immigration programs in the past (as recently as last year) became no longer functional the government decided to cull the program and start all over again. If IRCC was not going to do something dramatic to general H&C they would have allocated a much higher yearly quota to the program which they didn’t. Culling the whole program would be the easiest and the least legally complicated than trying to separate out groups from the existing pool. The pool is so big that even if you tried to separate out certain groups you would still likely be left with a large pool. It will also become more legally complicated for IRCC. The other big sign is the fact that there was very little movement in H&C until around December 2025 when it became clear that bill c-12 was not going to be passed in 2025. IRCC doesn’t always work logically but I see no other way but to start from scratch. Processing times of decades when H&C doesn’t stop removals doesn’t help applicants. We are seeing more people who have applied for H&C being removed. Trying to remain in Canada without status until an H&C case is processed decades from now also not a good option for most people. IRCC also has to make a drastic change to stop adding to the backlog.
There is no evidence whatsoever that there will be a mass cancellation of H&C applications. Recent amendments to Bill C-12 restrict cancellation powers to exceptional cases (like fraud or public safety) and require oversight and transparency, so cancellations are very unlikely with the amended Bill C-12. The easiest fix for H and C would be to remove weak ground cases from the backlog, such as parent/grandparents/sibling cases. These represent a big chunk of the backlog. Also, removing cases not involving BIOC.
 
There is no evidence whatsoever that there will be a mass cancellation of H&C applications. Recent amendments to Bill C-12 restrict cancellation powers to exceptional cases (like fraud or public safety) and require oversight and transparency, so cancellations are very unlikely with the amended Bill C-12. The easiest fix for H and C would be to remove weak ground cases from the backlog, such as parent/grandparents/sibling cases. These represent a big chunk of the backlog. Also, removing cases not involving BIOC.

Many cases including parent/grandparent involvement BIOC. Excluding anything but BIOC would be a legal nightmare for IRCC and would still leave a large number of applicants. Many who work in immigration also see no other way to deal with general H&C but to start from scratch. We’ll all have to wait and see.

Added after posting: many who have applied for H&C no longer have status or will lose status soon so will all be targets for removal. That is not a great option for those who have applied for H&C.
 
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Even if I have always been critical of IRCC's policies, I admit that the importance they give to Francophonie is positive, even if as a Francophone, I am unfortunately not eligible for their programs...
The federal should correct the mistakes of the past and reaffirm the country's Francophone identity which is not limited only to Quebec but should be seen above all as a Canadian identity as a whole, since it exists across the country and played an important role in the foundation of Canada. Francophonie is an immense universal richness that must be valued !

Believe more newcomers should learn French and especially school aged children. Canada doesn’t benefit if the score needed to get PR as a francophone is incredibly low while a masters student, NOC in demand in Canada, etc. struggle to get PR. If all the Francophones had the higher education/skilled training, skills in demand in Canada, etc. then that wouldn’t be an issue. The last cut-off for francophone draw was in the 300s while CEC has been in the 500 for a long time yet we added more francophone spots. That isn’t actually beneficial to Canada.
 
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HI, Any one with Below Time line. its for my mother in Quebec

Applied: June 2023 under H and C
AOR: Sept 2023
AIP: August 2025
Other documents requested and Sent: Sept 2025
Medical Request Jan 2026 and Submitted

Waiting for CSQ request to MIFI . If any one knows when can i expect CSQ invitation?
 
Believe more newcomers should learn French and especially school aged children. Canada doesn’t benefit if the score needed to get PR as a francophone is incredibly low while a masters student, NOC in demand in Canada, etc. struggle to get PR. If all the Francophones had the higher education/skilled training, skills in demand in Canada, etc. then that wouldn’t be an issue. The last cut-off for francophone draw was in the 300s while CEC has been in the 500 for a long time yet we added more francophone spots. That isn’t actually beneficial to Canada.
They say even if they do mass cancellation it would be only for backlog not the in progress. Does it also what you meant when you talk about canceling the applications?
 
They say even if they do mass cancellation it would be only for backlog not the in progress. Does it also what you meant when you talk about canceling the applications?

What government say they will do and what they actually can do based on the law or what they do is often very different. If you are considering anyone who has AOR for H&C to be in progress then that doesn’t fix the total non-functional H&C program.
 
HI, Any one with Below Time line. its for my mother in Quebec

Applied: June 2023 under H and C
AOR: Sept 2023
AIP: August 2025
Other documents requested and Sent: Sept 2025
Medical Request Jan 2026 and Submitted

Waiting for CSQ request to MIFI . If any one knows when can i expect CSQ invitation?

Would suggest posting under Quebec immigration to see if your post gets more traction there. Realistically it could easily take around a year if not longer. It really depends what the current backlog is like. The backlog to go from AIP to PR outside Quebec is often taking over a year as well. We also have to wait and see what happens to H&C in general after bill c-12 passes.
 
Would suggest posting under Quebec immigration to see if your post gets more traction there. Realistically it could easily take around a year if not longer. It really depends what the current backlog is like. The backlog to go from AIP to PR outside Quebec is often taking over a year as well. We also have to wait and see what happens to H&C in general after bill c-12 passes.
Thankyou. Appreciate your response. Can you share link for the quebec immigration forum if you have it handy
 
https://www.ourcommons.ca/petitions/en/Petition/Details?Petition=e-6903

Response by the Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship
Signed by PETER FRAGISKATOS, M.P.
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada understands that long wait times lead to uncertainty for vulnerable individuals who have requested to become permanent residents on humanitarian and compassionate grounds.

Applications for permanent residence on humanitarian and compassionate grounds are intended to be a last resort for individuals who do not meet the requirements under any other immigration class, but believe there are compelling and exceptional circumstances that justify them being granted permanent residence in Canada.

Each year, we table an Annual Report to Parliament on Immigration, including the Immigration Levels Plan, which sets targets for new temporary resident arrivals and permanent resident admissions for the following three years. The Levels Plan is developed following extensive consultations, including with federal departments, provinces and territories, partners, stakeholders, and the public. It takes into account many factors, including government priorities and objectives for immigration, as well as economic, labour market and regional needs, international obligations and commitments, processing capacity, and capacity to settle, integrate, and retain newcomers. This year’s Levels Plan focuses on a return to sustainable immigration levels through stabilized permanent resident admissions targets.

Individuals granted permanent residence on humanitarian and compassionate grounds are admitted under the Humanitarian and Compassionate and Other category of the Levels Plan. A total of 6 900 admissions are planned for this category in 2026, with notional targets of 5 000 each in 2027 and 2028, shared between a number of commitments and initiatives.

There has been an increase in the number of requests for permanent residence on humanitarian and compassionate grounds in recent years. High demand, combined with a reduction in admissions space, has resulted in increased inventory and significant wait times for clients, which are expected to persist. We remain committed to humanitarian populations and those in vulnerable situations and continue to explore options to mitigate impacts, including by implementing more efficient procedures and using technology where appropriate.
 
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https://www.ourcommons.ca/petitions/en/Petition/Details?Petition=e-6903

Response by the Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship
Signed by PETER FRAGISKATOS, M.P.
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada understands that long wait times lead to uncertainty for vulnerable individuals who have requested to become permanent residents on humanitarian and compassionate grounds.

Applications for permanent residence on humanitarian and compassionate grounds are intended to be a last resort for individuals who do not meet the requirements under any other immigration class, but believe there are compelling and exceptional circumstances that justify them being granted permanent residence in Canada.

Each year, we table an Annual Report to Parliament on Immigration, including the Immigration Levels Plan, which sets targets for new temporary resident arrivals and permanent resident admissions for the following three years. The Levels Plan is developed following extensive consultations, including with federal departments, provinces and territories, partners, stakeholders, and the public. It takes into account many factors, including government priorities and objectives for immigration, as well as economic, labour market and regional needs, international obligations and commitments, processing capacity, and capacity to settle, integrate, and retain newcomers. This year’s Levels Plan focuses on a return to sustainable immigration levels through stabilized permanent resident admissions targets.

Individuals granted permanent residence on humanitarian and compassionate grounds are admitted under the Humanitarian and Compassionate and Other category of the Levels Plan. A total of 6 900 admissions are planned for this category in 2026, with notional targets of 5 000 each in 2027 and 2028, shared between a number of commitments and initiatives.

There has been an increase in the number of requests for permanent residence on humanitarian and compassionate grounds in recent years. High demand, combined with a reduction in admissions space, has resulted in increased inventory and significant wait times for clients, which are expected to persist. We remain committed to humanitarian populations and those in vulnerable situations and continue to explore options to mitigate impacts, including by implementing more efficient procedures and using technology where appropriate.
So, don't hold your breath for faster processing if H&C.