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Ray of hope - FSW - 1

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dankboi

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Apr 19, 2021
3,687
11,099
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Air Canada (TSX:AC) Reports a Huge $1.3 Billion Loss
May 20, 2021, 11:45 p.m.

Nothing has changed for Air Canada (TSX:AC) over the last five quarters. Reporting losses quarter after quarter is a familiar refrain. In Q1 2020, the tune was $1.304 billion in net loss. Canada’s flag carrier also reported a net cash burn of $1.274 billion during the quarter or an average of $14 million daily. Likewise, the capacity reduction was 82%.

The airline stock is no longer the high flyer it was once in 2019. Before the coronavirus outbreak, Air Canada enjoyed 27 consecutive quarters of profits. Even the federal government’s financial relief in April 2021 wasn’t enough to propel the stock. Investors expecting a take-off to new highs should wait. The business outlook remains bleak, and the chances of a breakout this year are very low.

No clear timeline
There’s no definite or clear timeline when the federal government will ease strict restrictions and allow passenger travel. Air Canada is itching to return to a pre-coronavirus normal, but it won’t happen anytime soon. During the first-quarter conference, its CEO, Michael Rousseau, asked the Canadian government to remove hotel quarantines.

Rousseau said, “The current mandatory hotel quarantine for arrivals has proven ineffective. It should be eliminated.” He added, “The persistence of COVID-19 and its resurgence in Canada weigh heavily on the Canadian airline industry, as reflected in Air Canada’s first-quarter results.”

Among the country’s strict travel regulations are the mandatory three-day hotel stay and 14-day quarantine for international air travelers. The suggestion is to replace the current blanket restrictions with science-based testing and limited quarantine measures where appropriate. The country can reopen and safely ease travel restrictions.

Develop a restart process
Since the vaccination program is ongoing, Air Canada’s CEO hopes the country can replicate the U.S. where travel rebounds sharply, as COVID-19 recedes and restrictions are lifted. The National Airlines Council of Canada (NACC) shares the same sentiment. Mike McNaney, NACC president and CEO, said the U.K. has announced that it will allow travel to and from a select list of countries starting on May 17, 2021.

The industry group wants Canada to follow U.K.’s lead and help bring in a restart plan for the country’s airline sector. Travelers from the initial list of destinations don’t need to quarantine when they enter the United Kingdom. Also, it will add more countries over time as the public health situation improves.

McNaney sees the critical need to plan for the eventual safe reopening of international travel. The Canadian government must work with the aviation sector to develop a restart process. Besides Air Canada, NACC represents national and international passenger air carriers Transat AT, WestJet, and Jazz Aviation LP.

Semi-permanent damage
If you were to go by the International Air Transport Association’s (IATA) assessment, you would steer clear of Air Canada for now. IATA warns the coronavirus crisis will result in semi-permanent damage to the airline industry. Furthermore, it will subdue passenger revenues until 2024.

IATA expects the airline industry to incur net losses of US$47.7 billion in 2021, as COVID-19 continues to inflict pain on the industry. The airline body believes borders may not fully reopen until October 2021. As such, IATA is likely to move its annual meeting from late June to October due to the deepening nature of the health crisis.

The post Air Canada (TSX:AC) Reports a Huge $1.3 Billion Loss appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

Speaking of Air Canada losing $1.3 billion in Q1 2021

 

txlonghorn

Star Member
Mar 13, 2021
68
83
From my perspective, I see it as a "safe haven". If you have a Canadian Citizenship and went to the US to work, then if the US decides to deport you, you'll be getting kicked back to Canada and not your country of origin.
Why would the US deport you? What line of work are you in? :)
 

NavjotS123

Hero Member
Jul 6, 2019
561
156
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
It doesn't matter what work you do. I will give an example. My Friend's cousin had a pending Green Card. He used to extend his h1b once every 3 years. When he was up for an extension in 2019, his visa got rejected. He lived in the US for 14 years (with multiple h1b extensions) and his kids were born in the US. His wife works. He worked for a top company in Austin. He bought a house here and pretty much settled. But after his visa was not extended he was asked to leave in a week. Gladly his company sent him to Canada and he decided not to come back to the US because he feels humiliated. There was no reason to reject his visa. Absolutely none. Until you get your GC, there is no guarantee that you will stay in the US.
yep, there are countless examples like these.
 
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otaviovidal

Full Member
Jan 13, 2020
29
18
29
Brazil
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Guys, especially those who are applying under OINP, if you are married, include your spouse and select the IELTS exam as NA. Then, If your score is 472 it will come down to 454 which is good enough for the tech draws. This can be applied to french stream as well. Thank me later.
My score is 472 but without my spouse's IELTS exam it actually goes down to 452, which is not high enough for current Tech Draws: "The OINP targeted candidates with a comprehensive ranking system score between 456 and 467". So I'm either above or below OINP target scores.

Anyway this last CEC draw gave me a bit of hope that FSW draws will resume soon. Fingers crossed!
 
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dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
3,687
11,099
London, United Kingdom
Category........
FSW
My score is 472 but without my spouse's IELTS exam it actually goes down to 452, which is not high enough for current Tech Draws: "The OINP targeted candidates with a comprehensive ranking system score between 456 and 467". So I'm either above or below OINP target scores.

Anyway this last CEC draw gave me a bit of hope that FSW draws will resume soon. Fingers crossed!
Everyone will get an ITA. : )
 

txlonghorn

Star Member
Mar 13, 2021
68
83
Lolz I have seen so many F1s denied entry and deported for no apparent reason
I'm not refuting your claim at all but I'm curious whether you personally know of examples where an F1 visa associated with Harvard, Stanford, MIT or Yale was ever denied entry? Or even 2nd-tier universities, say Texas A&M, U Michigan, SUNY Buffalo, UIUC? Again, I ask not to refute your claim but only because I don't.

Since F1s are non immigrant visas, one could argue that if someone was entering the US to study at a community college or a bottom rung university, education may not be the sole goal of stepping foot on US soil. Hell, even the students studying at better universities are usually here for the long-term prospects, not simply the education.

I know this is a privileged take but it holds water.
 
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dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
3,687
11,099
London, United Kingdom
Category........
FSW
I'm not refuting your claim at all but I'm curious whether you personally know of examples where an F1 visa associated with Harvard, Stanford, MIT or Yale was ever denied entry? Or even 2nd-tier universities, say Texas A&M, U Michigan, SUNY Buffalo, UIUC? Again, I ask not to refute your claim but only because I don't.

Since F1s are non immigrant visas, one could argue that if someone was entering the US to study at a community college or a bottom rung university, education may not be the sole goal of stepping foot on US soil. Hell, even the students studying at better universities are usually here for the long-term prospects, not simply the education.

I know this is a privileged take, just saying it holds water.
Everyone knows how a lady tried to get the PR and later the citizenship, she ain't famous for her own stuffs but her husband was a meme template for the entire period he held the position. The lottery system is the worst immigration system in this entire world.
 

guelphite

Hero Member
Jan 22, 2021
318
303
Ontario, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
AOR Received.
28-10-2020
Med's Request
03-12-2020
Med's Done....
07-01-2020
Largely a long term hedge (against the petrodollar, US inflation & financial markets), a second retirement option (while also opening up the door to early retirement since healthcare coverage won't be a problem), lower university costs and some ethical unease surrounding the US military, wars & media.

Oh, and perhaps the unrealistic hope that cancel culture isn't as prevalent as it is here.
Lol what a combo. I'm a US national as well, so you aren't alone.

But idk the extent to which the Canadian economy/dollar is going to be a hedge against those financial things... we're so correlated to the state of the US economy.

"Cancel culture" is not as big of a thing here, but that's mostly because there are significantly fewer repulsive people in Canada who require "cancellation" than in the states
 

dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
3,687
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Heathrow Airport to open terminal for 'red list' arrivals
London, UK

Heathrow Airport will open a dedicated terminal for passengers arriving from countries with a high risk of Covid.

The decision follows criticism of the airport and the government after arrivals from red list countries were made to queue with other passengers.
But from 1 June, those travelling from red list countries will transit through Terminal Three, which has been closed for the past year.
They will then travel to a hotel where they will quarantine for 10 days.
It comes as the volume of passengers travelling through the airport is expected to increase after 12 countries were added to the government's green list, meaning travelers would not ordinarily be required to isolate on return.
The vast majority of countries are on the amber list, meaning travelers must isolate at home on their return. The government advises against non-essential travel to those on the list.
Heathrow said opening of a dedicated terminal for those arriving from countries on the red list, who must isolate in a government-organized hotel on arrival, would be "logistically very challenging".
"Our hope is that it will enable Border Force to carry out its duties more efficiently as passenger volumes increase in line with the green list."
The airport said the arrival terminal for those landing from countries on the red list would eventually be moved to Terminal Four and that the arrangement was likely to be in place for some time.
"Red list routes will likely be a feature of UK travel for the foreseeable future as countries vaccinate their populations at different rates.
"We're adapting Heathrow to this longer-term reality by initially opening a dedicated arrivals facility in Terminal 3 from June 1st for red list passengers arriving on direct flights," Heathrow said in a statement.
 
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"Cancel culture" is not as big of a thing here, but that's mostly because there are significantly fewer repulsive people in Canada who require "cancellation" than in the states
How could we know though? We only see the US as having these people because Trump brought them out of hiding and made it acceptable to be ignorant and hateful. Canada just hasn't had a Trump yet, but I'm sure there's enough hate to go around there as well.
 

dankboi

VIP Member
Apr 19, 2021
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London, United Kingdom
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This candidate pool distribution compares the pool on different dates. I checked this to find out the CRS ranges of CEC / FSW / PNP
That Feb draw actually showed us in which range the CEC folks are standing.

Since there was a month of gap after the 28K draw it's difficult to determine the exact range of folks who were CEC.
0-460 (85%) - CEC >460 - 15%
400-599 (95%) - FSW <400 - 5%
600-1200 - PNP

So if there is no streamlining, then the IRCC has / will utilize(d) the complete (~90%) pool in this year. if there are FSW draws then the lowest cut off it'll reach is 464-467 in 2021 and the OINP follows the FSW cutoff

Please share your understandings, speculations & insights about this if you saw this post.
 

YaC

Full Member
Jan 13, 2021
23
8

This candidate pool distribution compares the pool on different dates. I checked this to find out the CRS ranges of CEC / FSW / PNP
That Feb draw actually showed us in which range the CEC folks are standing.

Since there was a month of gap after the 28K draw it's difficult to determine the exact range of folks who were CEC.
0-460 (85%) - CEC >460 - 15%
400-599 (95%) - FSW <400 - 5%
600-1200 - PNP

So if there is no streamlining, then the IRCC has / will utilize(d) the complete (~90%) pool in this year. if there are FSW draws then the lowest cut off it'll reach is 464-467 in 2021 and the OINP follows the FSW cutoff

Please share your understandings, speculations & insights about this if you saw this post.
It is very useful.
 
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