Ray of hope - FSW - 1

[Rémi Beauséjours]

Sure, but Canada is also aiming to get 1.2 million immigrants over the next 3 years, which is around 400,000 a year. That's around 15,000 invites each draw if they want to hit that target.

This is devastating. Seems it's time for me to forget about it.

We already have more than 200,000 candidates expired COPR’s from 2019 and 2020 and another 200,000 of 2020 pending for PPRs.
Which will take more than half of the quota in 2021.
This year landings were less than 100,000 !

 

[Scalphunter]

Right, I agree with you. But as I understand it, with each lower score, there would be a lot more people stuck in the pool (with that score) for months. So if it goes to say a 470, the date would automatically go backwards from October 26th, because an October 26th cut-off would activate tens of thousands of 470 candidates from months before. So realistically, the lower the score, the lower the chances of getting through a tie-breaker. Let's hope it gets to 469, man!

Yeah, makes sense. Here's hoping.

 

[Himanshu6444]

Now again it will take 6 -7 draws to go to 471.

 

[BlindGoku]

I remember reading it as a mandate. If it wasn't required I don't think they would've bothered adding the French score boost.

Also, the last time the score was at 478, the progression was as follows:
Jul 8 - 476
Aug 5 - 476
Sep 2 - 475
Sep 16 - 472
Sep 30 - 471
Oct 14 - 471

So consistent FSW draws from Sep 2nd to Oct 14th brought the score down quite a bit. This would've been lower but in July and August, they were alternating between FSW and CEC. If they do 5 or 6 FSW draws, the score should come down to 470 or below.

The surprise draw today was good news.
Also 478 is not bad, I expected even higher. Funny that 478 was also the number after ~4 months of no FSW draws this summer.

 

[GurpreetKalra23]

Next Wed 11/11 is a Canadian holiday on account of Veteran day so no hopes of draw.

 

[Himanshu6444]

yes this year it is going to be above 475 + only.

 

[GurpreetKalra23]

yes this year it is going to be above 475 + only.

please don’t say like that. I sincerely hope it shall be back to 469-70 in the last draw of the year

 

[Himanshu6444]

tbh seems very hard, I am at 467 though. What is your CRS?

 

[GurpreetKalra23]

I am still waiting for IQAS evaluation to get into the pool

 

[Emman O.]

yes this year it is going to be above 475 + only.

Here, we don't tolerate pessimism without facts. If you want to make ludicrous posts like this, you add facts.

 

[Emman O.]

Now again it will take 6 -7 draws to go to 471.

How logical does this even sound to you?

 

[Emman O.]

Next Wed 11/11 is a Canadian holiday on account of Veteran day so no hopes of draw.

If they are gonna draw, nothing can stop them. This one happened on Thursday. If there's no draw, it's because there's no draw.

 

[Jeet221990]

How are you deducing there were only 500 between 478-480?

See the table from IRCC, ppl with 480+ were around 3900, with 4500 invitations issued in total which makes 478-480 ~ 500

 

[Jeet221990]

The new draw brings the total number of ITAs issued in 2020 to 87,350, i wonder if they can still do 3/4 more draws with 4500 ITA this year again ? Can they really exceed 100k ITA ?

I've a similar doubt, plus this is the first time in last 5 years they are already such close with the set target and new draw will make it above the set target.

 

[Jeet221990]

Draw projection: 472-473 for 11/11 and 475 for 11/18.

Also on an average, around 100-120 new people are added every day with score 470+