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Ray of Hope - 130th Draw

Igethope

Hero Member
Sep 17, 2019
376
404
May 470 to 465, 462 , 460 to 459

May be October will be. 475 to 469 to 466 to 463 to 460

Last May it jumped 450-470
Oct gap is 464 to 475
Is it a good sign !!!! I think it is safe to say 457-460 could be last draw for 2019. And for love of god PNP are not issued in bulk in 2020 first quarter then it can also touch 453-455. Regular draw can be 3500 with respect to increased target in 2020. Congrats to all who made it in this draw and best luck to all including me :)
 
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13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,162
Canada
PREDICTION FOR TODAY'S DRAW:

ITA’s: 3,900
CRS: 473-476


GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
Today's draw was expected (due to 28 days gap) with such a high CRS score. The upcoming CRS will be recorded at lower score and before December, it will touch 455-457 for sure. Be positive and meanwhile, please try to enhance your score if there is any scope of improvement. The high chances of B2B draw in the month of Dec will turn the table for you all. Good luck!
 

mona247

Hero Member
Sep 26, 2018
428
105
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
6235
Congratulation who made it. Thank god we didnt see a 20 point jump that we saw in MAY 2019 after a 4 week gap.

An alarming situation which all of us should note and sit back and think about it, did you guys notice the pool size?? 131,399 . Gosh the pool has grown from 100,000 to 131,399 within a span of 6 to 7 months.
This means people from across the globe have joined in between scores of 300 to 475 and are now in the waiting list. We can easily say one fact now, awareness about the Canadian dream is growing at an unbelievable speed.

Like many of you, I am praying that we have 5 more draws left in 2019,however one side of my heart says IRCC will not do anything special in 2019, we need to brace ourselves and keep our hearts prepared for 4 more draws only looking at the way IRCC is behaving this year. The only silver lining is may be the last 4 draws might be of 4000 ITA's each versus 3900 till now.

The Bigger Picture is sadly Canada is now following the Australia and NZ route, Even though we will see immigration numbers shooting up-to 350,000 by 2021, the CRS scores will remain a difficult challenge to crack for most of aspirants going forward.
 
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quickyfinger

Full Member
Feb 1, 2018
25
17
Comparing score distribution of Oct 25th last year vs. this year, total number of people in the pool increased by 40%.
But people with scores above 451 increased by over 540%!

The draw was 442, now is 475. Man, time has changed!

(https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/ray-of-hope-104th-draw.592128/)

Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system – October 29, 2018

No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 3,900Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,900th or above

Date and time of round: October 29, 2018 at 16:36:30 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 442

Tie-breaking rule: October 16, 2018 at 06:09:04 UTC

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 25, 2018

CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200
435
451-600
1,773
401-450
30,370
441-450
736
431-440 9,177
421-430 6,217
411-420 6,885
401-410 7,355
351-400 36,880
391-400
6,841
381-390 7,721
371-380 7,661
361-370 7,407
351-360 7,250
301-350 21,049
0-300
3,310
Total
93,817
 

Rohanisha

Full Member
May 2, 2019
37
10
Today's draw was expected (due to 28 days gap) with such a high CRS score. The upcoming CRS will be recorded at lower score and before December, it will touch 455-457 for sure. Be positive and meanwhile, please try to enhance your score if there is any scope of improvement. The high chances of B2B draw in the month of Dec will turn the table for you all. Good luck!

@13nitinsharma Thanks for your words and motivation. Really needed this. God bless.
 
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NataliaBazz

Star Member
Dec 16, 2018
138
57
I don't get if it's going to be 4 or 5 draws? If 5 they will achieve the target numbers for 2019. But how? It only few Wednesdays till the end.
13.11 27.11 11.12 and 25.12 (Christmas???).
It's 4. Let's hope to one draw per week somewhere in between ...!)
 

quickyfinger

Full Member
Feb 1, 2018
25
17
It's kinda ironic when people back in Oct 29th 2018 were asking this question below, given what's going on today:

Can the experts in this group please elaborate on why the numbers in this category keep increasing so drastically? :eek:
451-600 1,773
451-600 1,773
451-600 1,773
451-600 1,773
451-600 1,773
 

laypang

Newbie
Oct 17, 2019
8
1
I’m at 460... will become 455 by 16th Sep next year, will I receive the ITA before that?
Gosh the pool size has become huge....I just can’t stop worrying
 

haider_Ali

Full Member
Jan 20, 2017
28
20
T
Comparing score distribution of Oct 25th last year vs. this year, total number of people in the pool increased by 40%.
But people with scores above 451 increased by over 540%!

The draw was 442, now is 475. Man, time has changed!

(https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/ray-of-hope-104th-draw.592128/)

Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system – October 29, 2018


No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 3,900Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,900th or above

Date and time of round: October 29, 2018 at 16:36:30 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 442

Tie-breaking rule: October 16, 2018 at 06:09:04 UTC

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 25, 2018
CRS Score Range
Number of Candidates
601-1200
435
451-600
1,773
401-450
30,370
441-450
736
431-440 9,177
421-430 6,217
411-420 6,885
401-410 7,355
351-400 36,880
391-400
6,841
381-390 7,721
371-380 7,661
361-370 7,407
351-360 7,250
301-350 21,049
0-300
3,310
Total
93,817
His means pnps are also increasing other than just people with higher scores. With introduction of new immigration policies (mnp's), it will be extremly difficult to get an ita based on 450+ or 460+ only. Demotivating trends around.
Someone please share the pool analysis. Will be thankful. @Dheana90
 
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WunderCat

Star Member
Oct 7, 2019
196
92
Toronto
NOC Code......
2174
I’m at 460... will become 455 by 16th Sep next year, will I receive the ITA before that?
Gosh the pool size has become huge....I just can’t stop worrying
Dude, chill. The score should go down sometime soon. Unless 50k PNP applicants will appear out of nowhere.
You have almost a year. So continue doing what you are doing. If you want, you can try to increase the score by Work Experience or another English test if you did not max out.