We can only hope for the best. I would say try one more time with different strategy. Last draw had 8 days gap and which resulted in lower cutoff not seen since May. Next draw is supposed to happen on 4th September would have 14 days gap. My best case scenario cutoff guess is around 455/456. It all depends on number of accumulations during these 14 days. If it is even lower than previously seen then it can reach 453, let’s wait and watch. All the best!!
Ray of Hope - 125th Draw
- Thread starter NikSharma01
- Start date
We can only hope for the best. I would say try one more time with different strategy. Last draw had 8 days gap and which resulted in lower cutoff not seen since May. Next draw is supposed to happen on 4th September would have 14 days gap. My best case scenario cutoff guess is around 455/456. It all depends on number of accumulations during these 14 days. If it is even lower than previously seen then it can reach 453, let’s wait and watch. All the best!!
I can understand your condition. Last year, I wrote IELTS and got very good score 8.5 8.5 7.5 7.5 and considering last years lower cutoff I thought I will easily get ITA but then I under estimated WES evaluation timeline. My wife’s WES took lot of time. First evaluation which took five months, WES considered her Indian masters degree as Canadian equivalent of bachelors. We entered pool in February with 448 and since then we are waiting. Meanwhile my five points for age got reduced and we are at 443 now. Fast forward to August, we got two good news, WES considered her US masters as Canadian equivalent of Masters and she wrote IELTS and got golden score. Now, I will create another profile with her as a primary applicant and our score will move from 443 to 475. I would say try all possible options.
Unfortunately, Monday is a public holiday in Canada. Soonest we can hope for is Tuesday, but realistically - I think it's going to be Wednesday the 4th. Like someone mentioned earlier, they have cleared out a ton of the 460+, and most up to 457, except for those who missed out on tiebreaker & hopefully they're not many of them. The rest of those 457's will clear out next week, along with OINP's and I think the score should go a bit lower than 457.
If it doesn't, there's another draw in September - As long as they stay consistent with the 2-week draws, I'm very optimistic about either the 1st or 2nd draw in September.
Prediction:
September 4th - ITA 3600 - CRS 457 all clear or 456 tie break in late April.
September 4th - ITA 3600 - CRS 457 all clear or 456 tie break in late April.
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ok technically all you need to have is CBL 7+ from IELTS and 400+ points to be able to apply to most common OINP stream. Yes they do invite people in certain points range, but that is just for them to scoop cream candidates so to speak. But there is no rule that at the moment of OINP application you need to have the point range they were searching it. So do not mix it up with CRS point system for ITA
Draw size increased to 3900 last year in September's first draw. I know it doesn't necessarily means cic will do the same this year but we might see increase in ITAs from draw 125.
If draws remain consistent on a 2-week schedule, strong chance. Keep in mind, there are 5 wednesdays in October, meaning 3 draws (if on a 2 week schedule starting September 4). Fingers crossed.
What about IELTS? If you can't get the same score which got you the NOI?Hi dear,
I would like to tell you that when you receive the ITA your details entered in your EE profile gets automatically recorded by the GCMS server i.e. "The actual e-APR stage". So, if during this period your CRS is affected negatively because to your birthday, then you'll be exempted as per the Section A25.2.
Have a look below:
Exemption to section A11.2: candidates whose birthday occurs after they receive an ITA
"An applicant may have a birthday after they receive an ITA but before they submit their e-APR. Their change in age may lower their CRS score below the lowest score in the round of invitations. It may also result in the applicant no longer meeting the minimum requirements of the FSWC and, consequently, no longer meeting the MEC, resulting in a refusal based on section A11.2.
When a change in age results in the candidate no longer meeting the MEC or having their recalculated CRS points score fall below the lowest points score in that round of invitations, officers should consider applying the public policy to exempt applicants for permanent residence from certain age-based requirements between invitation to apply and application, based on section A25.2. This consideration can result in an exemption from the refusal of an application under section A11.2.
This public policy also grants an exemption to applicants who may be refused for failing to meet FSWC program requirements when their birthday occurs between the ITA and e-APR."
Hope it may clear your doubts. Good luck