Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw

[zohebshaikh]

To all my folks out there. Yesterday was a terrible disaster, and with all the comments here I want to suggest and give my personal comments.
Lets approach the whole thing politically, instead of just numbers. If CIC doesn't want the score to break 440, then why would they reach 440, finish a draw with tie-breaker? if they wanted to clear 440 alone and not drop down further, then they would have cleared off entire 440 in last draw right? So I believe that staying higher than 440 is not the real call here. However, I believe that the reason for yesterday was that may be there was not enough 441+ and with a draw the score may have dropped below 437, which I don't think CIC is ready for yet. They may want to drop the score below 440 gradually, not from 440 tie-breaker to 436 or something. This is what I predict.

About Feb draw, where it went to 456 and then dropped to 446, just because it happened once, doesn't mean it will necessarily happen again. The score may never go up to 450+ or it may go there and never come back. However lets not think it will happen for sure, just because it happened once.

From the beginning CIC knew that after May or June they will have to drop the score below 440 to reach their desired target, they were trying to hold it up until end of May. Now they cancelled a regular draw, but they cannot do this anymore. They have their target and they need to break 440 by end of June.

This is for all aspirants, this post just triggered me to reply.

CIC decides on a 'number' of ITAs to be issued before each draw based on various parameters of importance to them.

Once they have arrived at that number (for example 3500) the top 3500 applicants ranked on score (high to low) + application date (ranked oldest to new) are issued ITAs. The cut-off score is only a function of this activity: the score of the last candidate who has been issued ITA in that draw.

All candidates should actively work on improving their scores if possible (through better language scores, more education or work experience for both self & spouse) as well as actively seek opportunities for Provincial nomination by daily checking all province immigration web sites.

Spending too much time speculating & analysing the draw numbers IMO is not productive and similar to trying to figure out the lottery number that is likely to be announced.

Good Luck to all !

 

[hirumPK]

This is for all aspirants, this post just triggered me to reply.

CIC decides on a 'number' of ITAs to be issued before each draw based on various parameters of importance to them.

Once they have arrived at that number (for example 3500) the top 3500 applicants ranked on score (high to low) + application date (ranked oldest to new) are issued ITAs. The cut-off score is only a function of this activity: the score of the last candidate who has been issued ITA in that draw.

All candidates should actively work on improving their scores if possible (through better language scores, more education or work experience for both self & spouse) as well as actively seek opportunities for Provincial nomination by daily checking all province immigration web sites.

Spending too much time speculating & analysing the draw numbers IMO is not productive and similar to trying to figure out the lottery number that is likely to be announced.

Good Luck to all !

Totally agree with you on this, when it's to happen it will. GOODLUCK everyone

 

[hirumPK]

I'm on 436, and yet I'm hopeful that I will get an ITA in the next couple of draws
So yeah think positive, do your best and then wait for it to happen..!!

 

[Aarti123]

This is for all aspirants, this post just triggered me to reply.

CIC decides on a 'number' of ITAs to be issued before each draw based on various parameters of importance to them.

Once they have arrived at that number (for example 3500) the top 3500 applicants ranked on score (high to low) + application date (ranked oldest to new) are issued ITAs. The cut-off score is only a function of this activity: the score of the last candidate who has been issued ITA in that draw.

All candidates should actively work on improving their scores if possible (through better language scores, more education or work experience for both self & spouse) as well as actively seek opportunities for Provincial nomination by daily checking all province immigration web sites.

Spending too much time speculating & analysing the draw numbers IMO is not productive and similar to trying to figure out the lottery number that is likely to be announced.

Good Luck to all !

Anyone have a list of the province immigration websites and do you need to have your account created in 2018 to get through with this?

 

[Aarti123]

@special3220 try pnps man..don't get devastated! Forget yesterday!

Can you try for pnp and still wait for an ita ? I never looked at that option before

 

[zohebshaikh]

Can you try for pnp and still wait for an ita ? I never looked at that option before

yes, pnp will give you 600 points that will ensure that you get an ITA. If you are likely to get adequate points only through Express Entry to get an ITA (approx 450 points), then you don't need to apply for PNP.

Do some work on the province immigration websites . Find out the names of all the provinces in Canada, understand the climatic/environmental conditions there, decide whether you are willing to deal with it for a canadian dream, google the name of the province along with the term provincial immigration (e.g.: ontario provincial immigration) and voila !!!! GL

 

[zohebshaikh]

Anyone have a list of the province immigration websites and do you need to have your account created in 2018 to get through with this?

when you create the account (2018 or earlier/later) does not matter. However since the provincial nomination process could take upto six months it's advisable to your Express Entry profile is not more than 3 months old. If it is (and you are unlikely to get ITA without a PNP) then close your old profile and create a new Express Entry profile and proceed. GL

 

[Aarti123]

yes, pnp will give you 600 points that will ensure that you get an ITA. If you are likely to get adequate points only through Express Entry to get an ITA (approx 450 points), then you don't need to apply for PNP.

Do some work on the province immigration websites . Find out the names of all the provinces in Canada, understand the climatic/environmental conditions there, decide whether you are willing to deal with it for a canadian dream, google the name of the province along with the term provincial immigration (e.g.: ontario provincial immigration) and voila !!!! GL

Thanks!!!! I see a new ray of hope

 

[Aarti123]

when you create the account (2018 or earlier/later) does not matter. However since the provincial nomination process could take upto six months it's advisable to your Express Entry profile is not more than 3 months old. If it is (and you are unlikely to get ITA without a PNP) then close your old profile and create a new Express Entry profile and proceed. GL

Hmm why would the ee profile date of creation matter? If it expires can't I just create a new one when it does?

 

[Ronja5200]

Hmm why would the ee profile date of creation matter? If it expires can't I just create a new one when it does?

Hi Aarti, heads up, when Ontario nominated a bunch of people back in January and February, they only chose profiles that were created in 2018. If your profile was created on 31st of December 2017, no luck. So it seems that it's important that your profile is from this year in order to receive a nomination.

 

[bimale4bipeople]

Anyone have a list of the province immigration websites and do you need to have your account created in 2018 to get through with this?

Gobble up this entire page and the associated links in it...
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/provincial-nominees/application-process.html

 

[Aarti123]

Hi Aarti, heads up, when Ontario nominated a bunch of people back in January and February, they only chose profiles that were created in 2018. If your profile was created on 31st of December 2017, no luck. So it seems that it's important that your profile is from this year in order to receive a nomination.

Jeez I created my profile 28TH Dec 2017 if I look to recreate now I'll definitely miss the tie breaker if my score call

 

[Ronja5200]

Jeez I created my profile 28TH Dec 2017 if I look to recreate now I'll definitely miss the tie breaker if my score call

That's a shitty situation What's your score?

 

[bimale4bipeople]

Hi Aarti, heads up, when Ontario nominated a bunch of people back in January and February, they only chose profiles that were created in 2018. If your profile was created on 31st of December 2017, no luck. So it seems that it's important that your profile is from this year in order to receive a nomination.

I received a NOI from Ontario on 26 Feb. I was never told by my lawyer, but came to know day before yesterday that they did submitted a parallel application to OINP and EE early April

I don’t pay for it because my org is footing the bill

I was like WTF just happened....

 

[anotherone11]

I received a NOI from Ontario on 26 Feb. I was never told by my lawyer, but came to know day before yesterday that they did submitted a parallel application to OINP and EE

nice..congrats