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Ray of Hope - 80th Draw

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Could anyone please evaluate the pool data as of 18 December 2017 ?
Yes I am evaluating the pool data constantly for the last 8-9 months for my predictions..what do you exactly want?
 

Kaveh86

Star Member
Nov 27, 2017
126
99
Category........
FSW
Congratulations to all members who received their ITA today. Hopefully, I'll receive mine on January the 3rd. :)
 
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Reactions: Indigrrl

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Can someone please confirm I made the profile on nov 21 and am at 446. Am I in or out it says oct 2 does it mean all people who made profile after oct 2 will be selected ?? Please reply very tense
Those with CRS 446 and profile creation after Oct 2nd 2017 wont get ITA today. Wait for the next draw for ITA.
 
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Kaveh86

Star Member
Nov 27, 2017
126
99
Category........
FSW
Another draw where CIC beats me with a score of 1 or 2. I guess they knowingly do it so that it doesn't look as if they copied my predicted cut off score for the draw :)

I don't mind that though unless they hike the ITAs starting from the Jan 3rd draw onwards! :)

Congrats to all those who got ITAs today!
I think this round we had more than normal people in the 600-1200 range and that's why you didn't predicted 446. Still, very close. Keep up the great predictions. ;)
 

rashpal26

Star Member
Jun 12, 2017
136
44
Tampa, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Montreal
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
01-07-2018
AOR Received.
01-07-2018
Passport Req..
15-01-2019
VISA ISSUED...
26-01-2019
Hi everyone....My name is Angie and I'm cuban. I'm 26 years old and I'm sitting at 424 with my husband, our second year so far. I've been reading your posts for a long time and surely you all give a lot of hope...
Good luck and I'll keep in touch
:)
Weren't you picked up for Ontario NOI last year?
 

Quorn

Star Member
Nov 28, 2017
140
51
Category........
FSW
Yes I am evaluating the pool data constantly for the last 8-9 months for my predictions..what do you exactly want?
What should we expect for CRS cut-off to be in case 2750 invites are issued on 27 December 2017, and another case, if there is no draw on 27 December, but there is a draw on 3 January 2018.

Thanks in advance.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
638 people joined the pool in the 441-450 range from Dec 6 to Dec 18
and only 447 in 431-440 range
So what we all though last draw is true more people with higher scores are joining faster than lower scores. The competition is getting much stronger!

Congrats to everyone who made it through today
More people than that would have joined the 431-440 range but others who were in that range moved to higher CRS scores with a new IELTS score or any other factor.

Only the net increase in 441-450 range was higher than the net increase in the 431-440 range.

At lower CRS ranges the net increase is lesser as there are lot of folks who improve their CRS scores and go up the ladder!
 

rashpal26

Star Member
Jun 12, 2017
136
44
Tampa, USA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Montreal
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
01-07-2018
AOR Received.
01-07-2018
Passport Req..
15-01-2019
VISA ISSUED...
26-01-2019
Missed today's ITA just by 23 points , I was so close.;)
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Guys i need your help. The next draw (most likely Jan 3rd) is my last chance for an ITA before my working holiday visa runs out (jan 12th). I have a CRS of 438. Do you think i have any chance at all, or should i start packing to go home now? :(

Thanks
If CIC hikes the ITAs in the next draw (Jan 3rd, 2018 draw) you have a good chance of getting ITA. If not, with 2750 ITA the situation is not looking good.
 

Afza Akhil

Hero Member
Dec 20, 2017
245
53
Back-to-back, yes?

79th draw - December 6th:

CRS: 452
Tie-Breaker: November 16th, 2017
ITAs: 2750
Draw time: 10:00 am
Draw published: 10:38 am
Hi Guys,

I am new to this forum. Received my CRS score and very disappointing. Even after providing all the documents, IELTS I just got 339.

Please help me in improving the CRS score.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
I am at 446 missed today’s draw. The pool situation does not look that bad as we can see there are 1620 candidates that entered the pool in 18 days as compared to 1950 that entered the pool in 15 days from 15 to 30 nov.
I would expect CRS to break 440 in the next draw if we have a draw on jan 3. What to the experts think??
Are you looking at the overall total intake to the pool? That is irrelevant as it doesn't make any difference even if 5000 people get added to the pool with CRS less than 400 as the cut offs are ranging above 430 or 440s. You should be looking at the average intake at higher CRS ranges alone.

I am expecting CRS cut off to be roughly around 441 on Jan 3rd with 2750 ITA's. So you can be rest assured of an ITA if the next draw happens on or before Jan 3rd.
 

alfred0

Hero Member
Feb 10, 2015
348
445
Toronto
Guys i need your help. The next draw (most likely Jan 3rd) is my last chance for an ITA before my working holiday visa runs out (jan 12th). I have a CRS of 438. Do you think i have any chance at all, or should i start packing to go home now? :(

Thanks
Apply for the Visitor Record, this will buy you enough time to stay inside Canada and get invited