So do you mean to say that scores will be stuck in the 430s or do you mean to say that they will reduce further?
I have seen lots of people assuming that the scores will stick to 430s-440s. And some of them also believe that scores went down after november 2016 changes and its not going down after june 2017 changes.
I just want to say that the difference is not because of june 2017 changes its just because that firstly after changes they done only 1 draw in june and 1 in july.
That means only 2 draws in full 2 months so score is bound to increase and as soon as they did 2 back to back draws in august the score went down from 440s to 433 and now even with 1000 less ITAs on avg the score is stuck at this range and is also not increasing
So suppose if they had been doing 3500-3700 ITAs draw after every 2 weeks the score would have been in 420-425 range and if they had done back to back draws which are key in putting scores down to a range the score would have been at 405-410.
Because the point to be noted is that even reducing 1000 ITAs per draw the score is stuck and its not increasing so the bigger draws will only lower the scores from here.
And I feel as they did last yr after quota got announced they suddenly increased the number of ITAs from november they will do this year also.
Because the minister has said that the 2017 targets are benchmark for future targets and the target will not get lower it will only increase from here. So that clearly means that even if they dont increase the targets for 2018 they will not decrease it.
And to fill up there quota they have to do 3500-3800 ITAs per draw and few back to back draws again as they did in 2017 because lesser number of ITAs wont fill up there target of 2018.
So I think after announcement of quota the number of ITAs will increase and now the scores are stuck that is a good sign because after increase in ITAs the scores will only decrease like before so it will be good if decrease starts from 435-440 rather than shooting up to 450-460 and decrease from there.