Ray of Hope 68th Draw

[WaseemWasii]

My calculations says its gonna be 432 but i hope it turns out to be lower.

Who is buying me a chocolate if CIC beats my calculation ??

I'll get ya Famous Tim horton's Large Triple Triple Coffee when you get to Canada

 

[Vishal-07]

The number of new Applicants added in six days is Huge which is 1231 Applicants at rate of Average 200 Applicants per day. That is too much.

Can this be due to People getting their convocation certificate enabling students to enter the pool?

 

[qwerty69]

I work in planning and was playing with the numbers for the last few rounds. The gap in draws from last month and the reduced number of ITAs might have changed things and is slowing down the trend from previous months. Considering the rate of new profiles from the last month and considering the 3,200 ITAs issued today, next draw should be around 436.

As I said, I'm doing a very pessimistic forecast, as I'm considering that the amount of ITAs will stay the same (probably) and the rate of new profiles will also stay at the same value (I doubt this). But considering this, the score will be decreasing slowly for the rest of the year and by December should be close to 416-418.

If the amount of ITAs for the next draw is at 3,200 or less, we can say that they're controlling the number of invitations to keep the target for the year at check, or they're artificially controlling the score to not go below 410 (With 3200 ITAs and the same rate of new profiles, the score won't go below 410).

But even with this, I'm pretty optimistic about the new profiles. I don't believe that it will keep the same rate for the coming months, and the score will drop more than 410. Let's see the next few draws and hopefully this projection is wrong

 

[canadanumber1]

mann ur all over the place....lol......ok cant you just put "Ottawa/Toronto" ??

Lol haha I know. I just spent $1500 for an application. Want to make sure I get this stuff right lol. I was self-employed during this work experience and working for the company while I was in Ottawa. There's no option to put "Ottawa/Toronto", so I guess I'll just leave it as Ottawa since that's where I was. The reference letter has Toronto as the address though. Anyway, I don't think its a big issue. I can explain it if they ask for more information.

 

[Vishal-07]

I am THIS close to telling Canada Kiss my A$$. I am at 438. This draw cut me deep! I will not let 2014 happen to me again.
Dude you are going to have a celebration after the next draw. Do call me

 

[WaseemWasii]

Can this be due to People getting their convocation certificate enabling students to enter the pool?

That might be the reason, Cause i myself graduated in April 2017. Normally there are two convocations each year for most of the Universities in Canada, one in June and Other in November. Since the Draw took long time last month all those students who graduated in Spring term are Jumping in like Me.

 

[StevieFray]

My calculations says its gonna be 432 but i hope it turns out to be lower.

Who is buying me a chocolate if CIC beats my calculation ??

Might as well start doing small bids on here lol. Have some fun. We would need a system that holds folks accountable. Can start off at $1CAD.

 

[Vishal-07]

At this rate how many draws needed foe the score to reach 419?

 

[mejaz]

Lol haha I know. I just spent $1500 for an application. Want to make sure I get this stuff right lol. I was self-employed during this work experience and working for the company while I was in Ottawa. There's no option to put "Ottawa/Toronto", so I guess I'll just leave it as Ottawa since that's where I was. The reference letter has Toronto as the address though. Anyway, I don't think its a big issue. I can explain it if they ask for more information.

True that......all the best to u buddy!

 

[abhishek_89]

3300-3500 ITAs 427 Crs

This will happen only if the next draw happens on July 19th. If the next draw happens after 2 weeks, the CRS cut off is not going to go below 430.

 

[qwerty69]

At this rate how many draws needed foe the score to reach 419?

If things stay the same, at worst November 1 if they keep doing draws every two weeks.

 

[abhishek_89]

Missed it by a single point 439..

If there is 1 more draw in July, you are getting an ITA.

 

[abhishek_89]

I am THIS close to telling Canada Kiss my A$$. I am at 438. This draw cut me deep! I will not let 2014 happen to me again.

If there is 1 more draw in July, you are getting an ITA.

 

[StevieFray]

Alright alright, I'm calm guys, I'm CALM.

 

[Vishal-07]

Its still very unpredictable that CIC will have only draws once in 2 weeks. Keeping fingers crossed for 19th July. All the best 68ths.