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Interesting that they have updated the processing time estimates.
The processing time depends on when you have applied.
For May applicants:

Estimated time left: 6 months left
Last updated: October 9, 2025 Updated monthly
People ahead of you:
About 134,300 people ahead of you
Total number of people waiting for a decision:
About 283,700 people waiting
 
We are in the same boat. All stages except ceremony are completed on 22nd September for me. Waiting on my kid's language and test sections since 6th October, which are not required for kids under 16. I think they are processing based on the application submit date. Otherwise I don't see any reason for not getting ceremony by now.
I just don’t understand their processing system. This is exactly why millions of files are still waiting for updates. If the applicants have kids who don’t need a language test, then just finalize and close the file. It would bring relief to the family and be one less file for them to deal with. Instead, they’re putting the process on hold for no reason.
 
Interesting that they have updated the processing time estimates.
The processing time depends on when you have applied.
For May applicants:

Estimated time left: 6 months left
Last updated: October 9, 2025 Updated monthly
People ahead of you:
About 134,300 people ahead of you
Total number of people waiting for a decision:
About 283,700 people waiting
Processing time begins the day they receive an application and ends when a decision is made. Beyond that, all those estimated timelines don’t mean much. If files were really processed according to those estimates, none of us would still be here on the forum. But that “ahead of you and waiting” figure does sound interesting :)