That is what I predicted from the beginning. I mentioned since around June/July when Bill-C2 was introduced that the main purpose of this bill is to cancel the inventory backlog. Once bill C2 passes, it will empowers IRCC to likely do mass application cancellations. They will rationale this by stating it is in public interest and immigration pathways can not be viable with this huge backlog. I expect first parent/grandparent cases to be wiped out of the backlog because these are not eligible for H and C. Then, potentially any applicats from countries deemed safe and stable.
Have been predicting parents be banned from applying for H&C for a few years now since 2021 or 2022 when they didn’t create a new EOI and many more started applying for H&C. Raising the length of a superivsa or allowing people to easily extend visits almost indefinitely has also given people the false impression that parent sponsorship is guaranteed and families have not made alternate plans for care in their home countries. I assume many don’t have homes and belongings to return to which is going to become very problematic. Given the volume of the backlog and for legal reasons may be tough to refuse files for only select groups/countries versus wiping out the whole backlog and starting from scratch. At least for the parents and grandparents you could probably legally justify the exclusion because PGP and supervisas exist but for everyone else tough to pick and choose. Not sure how they will justify targeting general H&C but still have very generous country specific programs. Most Ukrainians would qualify for asylum but tough to justify that many from HK would have more H&C issues than many other countries. In general most are actually economic immigrants. The bigger issue is how is Canada going to address current/future conflicts and natural disasters with no capacity. See both are set to be discussed although you would hope a lot of the legwork would have already been done. What a mess!