Not sure where you are finding that 6.5k applications will be processed in general H&C in I assume you mean 2026. Based on the breakdown in allocations for the 2025 H&C programs general H&C would have around 910 spots/people allocated in 2026. I could see justifying processing 2k applicants to end up with 910 people given approval rates but not sure why you think that IRCC will process 6.5k applicants for general H&C. If there is no change in allocation between the H&C program the general H&C program will only accept around 630 people in 2026 based on your logic they would still process 4.5k applications. Don’t believe the goal is to make the wait between AIP to PR 3-5+ years by the end of 2026.
H&C Humanitarian Ground with/or Without Failed refugee claim
- Thread starter TheWaitingGamer
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Not sure where you are finding that 6.5k applications will be processed in general H&C in I assume you mean 2026. Based on the breakdown in allocations for the 2025 H&C programs general H&C would have around 910 spots/people allocated in 2026. I could see justifying processing 2k applicants to end up with 910 people given approval rates but not sure why you think that IRCC will process 6.5k applicants for general H&C. If there is no change in allocation between the H&C program the general H&C program will only accept around 630 people in 2026 based on your logic they would still process 4.5k applications. Don’t believe the goal is to make the wait between AIP to PR 3-5+ years by the end of 2026.
Think there will need to be some modifications but there will be a lot of pressure from both the conservative voters and some Bloq supporters to pass something similar. There will certainly be court challenges if implemented.
No, target admission for general H and C in 2025 is 1.1k. The information available in the link below. You will find that percentage of general H and C inventory to be processed in 2025 is 13% (13% of 49K=6.5K). Then from 6.5K application processed, let us assume approval rate is 50% which means 3.25K receive AIP. Then from this number, only 1.1 K will become PR in 2025. However, given the massive gap between number of applications in inventory and target admission, this approach is risky and will results in tons of mandamus and JR applications, especially by genuine applicants. The backlog keep growing and people can not wait a decade for H and C approval. It is also inhumane and impractical to expect people to wait that long.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigratio...5-05/humanitarian-compassionate-programs.html
1.1k will be PR from March to December 2025..
It means that they admitted 9k before march 2025 based on immigration level plan for H and C.
Not exactly. They will admit 1.1K general H and C, 1.8K Hong Kong, 2.1K Ukraine, 1.4K Sudan, and 700 America. Total of 7.1K planned admission between March and December for all catergories of H and C, remaining 2.9K I think were admitted before March.
I don’t understand anything, can you explain this to me?
I just don’t get it lol.
Is that 13% for permanent residence or for the AIP? And what’s the 39% about ?
13% should be time taken to process applications from the day it was received even if the application is refused or approved and PR granted.
Don’t necessarily agree with what you are interpreting as inventory to be processed. My interpretation is that they are referring to the quota left to be processed within the allocated 2025quota. It is very unclear. There would be no way to get to 600 months based on how you are interpreting inventory to be processed in 2025 if processing 6.5k+ applications per year although that would decrease yearly until 2027. The only way to deal with the issue is to stop adding H&C categories and essentially cull the backlog with a clear definition of who can qualify to apply for H&C. There is already a JR nightmare which is getting worse.
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Okay
But this will create more pressure because many will file reconsideration applications and very likely applications for judicial review, so the Federal Court will be overwhelmed
So if they plan to accept 1100 applications out of the 13% that will be processed (since processed means a final decision), does that mean the others will be refused? But if someone among the 13% has received an AIP, will they end up being part of the 1,100, or will they be refused at the second stage which is logically extremely rare? IRCC’s definitions are not clear at all, nor are their statistics ! A disaster is comig and this disaster doesn’t only affect the applicants, but also the whole government, IRCC, and its officers who spend their time watching Netflix in the offices
What do you mean by JR nightmare? Are you referring to the high number of judicial reviews at the Federal Court because of H&C refusals, or something else ?
High rate of JRs in general when it comes to all forms of immigration (temporary and permanent). It is taking over a year to get a JR heard these days. That is not a functional system.
13% is the percentage of the inventory that will be processed, it is not amount of people that will be granted AIP or admitted as PR. Since inventory for general H and C is 49K, only 6.5K applications will be processed in rest of 2025. This means almost 87% of applications (42K) will not be processed in 2025 and will need to wait longer which is very bad news for applicants. From 6.5K applications that will be processed March to December this year, planned admission is only 1.1K. Target admissions are persons to be granted PR, not AIP. AIP is eligibility decision and someone with AIP still need to pass medical, financial, and security checks to be granted PR. I hope this is clear for everyone.
Unfortunately, H and C pathway has become structurally unsustainable and applicants need to collect their efforts soon to demand answers from IRCC, with possibility of commencing legal action like mandamus.
The day from the governent is not clear. The 1100 is actually people not applications. To be fair don’t think IRCC employees are watching Netflix they are not set-up to process the volume of applications being submitted and they yearly targets that they have to consider which are decreasing. Also a ton of fraud in the immigration system in general and when it comes to H&C the applications can be very long and complex. Decreasing immigration targets are hard to deal with which is why the government is proposing changes. This government is having to deal with the immigration mess that was created under previous government within the context of an ageing population, a weak economy, increasing geopolitcal unrest, etc.
Have a hard time believing the H&C division has the capacity to process ~8k applications or people per year if you prorate the figure for the whole year. Can’t find out what their processing capacity is if anyone else can find it. Even if many people get stuck for years between AIP and PR where is the up to 600 months processing time coming from? It must be coming from general H&C.
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