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PR confirmation portal timelines

Ania_016 said:
P1 - Mar 19, 2024
P2 - Waiting
ECopr Expiry (Tracker) - Nov 2024
VO - Montreal


Why is my P2 taking so long?
Click to expand...

According to the last trends, you should get it this week or next (12th march I got it 28th March and others of 12th March got it early April). It is actually not taking that long for Montreal
 
So this is what I think

  1. Your ecopr expiry date is based on when you TOOK the medical (not when it was marked as passed in the tracker)
  2. P2 is sent in the order of when they send out P1 (because they do not know your ecopr expiry yet)
  3. You are added to a queue based of your expiry (probably grouped by the month).Then ordered by who filled out P2 first. So all November expiry would be prioritized over December expiry, but people in that group are prioritized by who filled out/received P2 first.
  4. There is probably a further level of complications where some visa officers are just faster than each other which is where the chaos happens.
This is just my guess but the data is looking more and more clear. It seems like we are starting to see January expiries for people who got P2 in January-March.

What do you all think?
 
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operatehope said:
Hi guys, got my eCOPR today!

AOR: Oct 3, 2023
P1: Feb 8, 2024
P2: Mar 5, 2024
eCOPR: Apr 4, 2024
eCOPR expiry date: Jan 13, 2025
PR Card: pending
Click to expand...
Well congratulations first of all!!

my p1 is jan 17 p2 is Jan 22
And copr expiry is jan 8 2025
AOR was oct 29.
The only thing you have earlier than me is AOR, lets see !!!
Another factor into how the queue is prioritized
 
8343fries said:
So this is what I think

  1. Your ecopr expiry date is based on when you TOOK the medical (not when it was marked as passed in the tracker)
  2. P2 is sent in the order of when they send out P1 (because they do not know your ecopr expiry yet)
  3. You are added to a queue based of your expiry (probably grouped by the month).Then ordered by who filled out P2 first. So all November expiry would be prioritized over December expiry, but people in that group are prioritized by who filled out/received P2 first.
  4. There is probably a further level of complications where some visa officers are just faster than each other which is where the chaos happens.
This is just my guess but the data is looking more and more clear. It seems like we are starting to see January expiries for people who got P2 in January-March.

What do you all think?
Click to expand...

1. for the ecopr expiry..I think it depend whether you took the medical or was it extended based on the 5 year rule. if you took the exam it will be that date, if it is extended it will be the date officer marks as passed.
2. P2 depends on the officer who has your file. they have different pattern. I think some of them work on it every week, some wait for a month.
3. queue is based on ecopr expiry- correct. and I think this also depends which officers queue you are in or there is a single queue? not sure

what are your thoughts on this?
 
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Carrot__ said:
1. for the ecopr expiry..I think it depend whether you took the medical or was it extended based on the 5 year rule. if you took the exam it will be that date, if it is extended it will be the date officer marks as passed.
2. P2 depends on the officer who has your file. they have different pattern. I think some of them work on it every week, some wait for a month.
3. queue is based on ecopr expiry- correct. and I think this also depends which officers queue you are in or there is a single queue? not sure

what are your thoughts on this?
Click to expand...
intersting points. How fascinating!

I think my ecopr expiry is Jan 22 2025 because that is a year from when i first took the medical (my processing time took nearly 4 years when you consider the quebec side)

As we get more data in our spreadsheet we will figure it out. But they are on January which is good so hopefully a lot of us will have our ecopr in the next few weeks.
 
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Thank you
8343fries said:
So this is what I think

  1. Your ecopr expiry date is based on when you TOOK the medical (not when it was marked as passed in the tracker)
  2. P2 is sent in the order of when they send out P1 (because they do not know your ecopr expiry yet)
  3. You are added to a queue based of your expiry (probably grouped by the month).Then ordered by who filled out P2 first. So all November expiry would be prioritized over December expiry, but people in that group are prioritized by who filled out/received P2 first.
  4. There is probably a further level of complications where some visa officers are just faster than each other which is where the chaos happens.
This is just my guess but the data is looking more and more clear. It seems like we are starting to see January expiries for people who got P2 in January-March.

What do you all think?
Click to expand...
Thank you so much for your work and effort! It’s really handy and gives hope. We can see the light the end of the tunnel!
 
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Carrot__ said:
1. for the ecopr expiry..I think it depend whether you took the medical or was it extended based on the 5 year rule. if you took the exam it will be that date, if it is extended it will be the date officer marks as passed.
2. P2 depends on the officer who has your file. they have different pattern. I think some of them work on it every week, some wait for a month.
3. queue is based on ecopr expiry- correct. and I think this also depends which officers queue you are in or there is a single queue? not sure

what are your thoughts on this?
Click to expand...

I agree with you on point #1—I had taken my medical exam in November 2022, and it was marked as passed/extended in January 2024, hence January 2025 as the expiration date of my CoPR. I guess we can only speculate on the rest.
 
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