RAY of HOPE 53rd Draw (Predictions)

[SCC]

This is what my Lawyer in Toronto thinks..

As per the report below end of 2015, from CRS 350-449, there were about 45000 people in the pool .. Now if that number has doubled in 2016 due to higher IELTS, ICT, IEC and Canadian Education points etc. , there should be no more than 90000 people in the pool ranging from 350-449. Looking at the immigration plan, Express Entry will be the major driver of Economic Immigration of Canada. If the draw size continues to be 3000+ every 2 weeks or so, we will see a steady decline in the CRS ranking.

400 - 449 13,537
440 - 449 2,486
430 - 439 2,842
420 - 429 2,185
410 - 419 2,899
400 - 409 3,125
350 - 399 21,851

So, it all boils down to draw size... Lets see. We can sit down and analyze this till the cows come home but it will unfold in time only....

 

[astralsource]

Isnt there a report saying there was only 60K people in the pool in October 2016 so cant be 90K.


http://www.cicnews.com/2017/01/crs-requirement-continues-fall-after-recent-changes-express-entry-018819.html

A few months ago, IRCC provided a snapshot of the Express Entry pool as it looked on October 3, 2016. At that time, there were 60,689 candidates active in the pool, and a total of 20,588 ITAs had been issued to 19,088 individual candidates over the first 20 draws of 2016.

 

[SCC]

Isnt there a report saying there was only 60K people in the pool in October 2016 so cant be 90K.

I am not aware of that report.. But if that report exist and correct AND the draw size is 3000+ every 2 weeks, CRS will take a nose dive

 

[astralsource]

I am not aware of that report.. But if that report exist and correct AND the draw size is 3000+ every 2 weeks, CRS will take a nose dive

Id say 2000+, wouldnt go that far taking 3000+ as a steady number.. just to be realistic. Bur yes I agree with you for the most part.

 

[SCC]

Id say 2000+, wouldnt go that far taking 3000+ as a steady number.. just to be realistic. Bur yes I agree with you for the most part.

It all boils down to one thing... Size of the Draw!!

Even if its 2000+ and its consistent (2 weeks), the only word comes to my mind is GRAVITY!!!

 

[astralsource]

It all boils down to one thing... Size of the Draw!!

Even if its 2000+ and its consistent (2 weeks), the only word comes to my mind is GRAVITY!!!

Simple as that

 

[Skkid]

Thanks. You too. Following your theory, since cut off hasnt dropped under 460 for almost a year, how many IELTS tests were taken in that period, we should have a million candidates in 460+ range and cut off should never come down this low this fast

Yes this is a valid point. We can expect drop in score till March/April until college student come out for this year.
And +1 for you

 

[nikolain]

Gave the IELTS exam 3rd time with the same score, i just can't max it out :'(
I expected full in reading the last 2 times but always got 7, i don't know if its a conspiracy or what i scored better than this in India, also my speaking which was 8 in India has never gone up above 7 in Canada, i don't know if its a accent thing or what ???
Keeping fingers crossed at 455

 

[omar_ahmed21]

Gave the IELTS exam 3rd time with the same score, i just can't max it out :'(
I expected full in reading the last 2 times but always got 7, i don't know if its a conspiracy or what i scored better than this in India, also my speaking which was 8 in India has never gone up above 7 in Canada, i don't know if its a accent thing or what ???
Keeping fingers crossed at 455

I feel you man. I have took the CELPIP test twice and I got the same results :-\ waste of money

 

[nishadmakol]

How everyone's IELTS score is bringing them from 440 to 470. Can anyone advice what was the scale previously and it increased to what score ? Sitting at 451 now with IELTS 7.5.

 

[Pippin]

How everyone's IELTS score is bringing them from 440 to 470. Can anyone advice what was the scale previously and it increased to what score ? Sitting at 451 now with IELTS 7.5.

go to official CRS calculator and check out language points. There are bonus points for high English or French ability. http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/express-entry/criteria-crs.asp

 

[Nikhilsai]

Hi Guys,

I am sorry as my question is completely un-related to this topic. but to get a quick response i am posting here.

I will complete my one year Canadian work xp on Feb 15th. I have created my EE profile. my score is 476.
my question is If I get an ITA in the next draw should I decline it and wait until Feb 15th ? or can i continue the application and submit it after Feb 15th.
I have all the documents ready with me. Please help guys. very confused.

Thanks in advance for all the responses.

 

[nikolain]

How everyone's IELTS score is bringing them from 440 to 470. Can anyone advice what was the scale previously and it increased to what score ? Sitting at 451 now with IELTS 7.5.

If you manage 8777, ie 8 in Listening and 7 in others you get a huge boost of points in IELTS score.

 

[Hhhhhh123]

Will there be definately draw next week?

 

[canada19881]

Will there be definately draw next week?

hope there is , on 25th