RAY of HOPE 53rd Draw (Predictions)

[DEEPCUR]

Next draw will be
ITA: 2500, CRS: 448

The biggest difference of 2017 and 2016 is that most of candidates who getting the ITA in 2017 are pure > 454 and usually students who havn't established the family with kids yet.
In 2016, most of ITA people were >600 which means, majority of people who recieved ITA in 2016 were through LMIA.
Those are usually from mostly India with 3~4 kids + wife. so 1 ITA filled up the 2~6 positions of immigration in 2016. That's the reason why # of ITA was so low compared to actual immigration #.

In 2017, Anybody below 350 without LMIA is now gone from competition (which was 40% of total ITA receiver in 2015 by 2015 express entry report)
(I would personally think that it would be more than 40% in 2016 because 2016 was the true year that # of fake LMIA was spontaneously increased).

It will encourage that Total # of ITA in 2017 will be doubled from 2016, and it will lower down the CRS eventually up to 430.

This makes a lot of sense.. But 3 or 4 kids.. noo way.! It would be 1 or 2 kids.

 

[karkik]

I would expect 3000 ITAs for low CRS score of 457 or 456 .

 

[OMG_Chakromakro]

Reviving the thread . ;D 8) :'(

 

[Pawshi]

Good point Myriadhope. Also, rejection rate would be slightly high. As many at higher scores have cooked up the story or dont have good enough documents to prove their higher scores. So what they will do is that they will reject the ITA and change the profile with this expectation that since scores are coming down why to take the risk.

 

[Pippin]

Maybe I am naive, but I doubt the number of fake LMIA accounted for change in ITA numbers. I believe it was the elimination of the backlogged applications and rightful priority handling of refugee cases that kept EE ITA numbers low. We will see a smoother flow now. Hang in.

 

[Ashwsh]

I hope it's 450.

Can't wait no more.

Really!! You have just been there for a few months
Have been waiting for over a year
In between the agenct screwed up, when that got cleared OINP shut down.
Then b'day and scores refused to drop :-(

 

[zuman88]

Currently sitting at 472 and cant wait for the next draw. CIC are known for doing the unexpected like last weeks draw.
What are the chances that a draw occurs tomorrow???

 

[farhanyou123]

Currently sitting at 472 and cant wait for the next draw. CIC are known for doing the unexpected like last weeks draw.
What are the chances that a draw occurs tomorrow???

Well I don't see it happening tom..

 

[vabs200]

A draw tomorrow doesn't seem very likely. IMO, the reason why there was a draw on 11th was that CIC wanted to have three draws in the month of January. They had the option of drawing on 4th, 18th and 25th or 4th, 11th and 25th. If they draw tomorrow, then the next draw would be on 1st February, which would further result into three draws in March, and that seems unlikely to me. However, CIC are known for their surprises and a draw tomorrow would be the most pleasant surprise for a lot of people

 

[Pawshi]

Let's pray that CIC goes for the draw every week under the new leadership. ;D

 

[johnsyk]

Let's pray that CIC goes for the draw every week under the new leadership. ;D

Its actually not a good idea to draw every week. They will finish all draws in 6 months and then 6 months nothing! They will exhaust their quota too fast!

 

[Pawshi]

Agreed. But, in the H2 six months, they will have the new quota for the upcoming year that can be used. In-fact, we do perform the budget planning for any corporate like this for the upcoming year. In H2 (Second half) of every year, the planning exercise kicks off.

 

[vabs200]

Let's pray that CIC goes for the draw every week under the new leadership. ;D

Drawing every week could actually be a good idea, if they draw 1500 every week instead of 3000 every alternate week. That would at least keep the forum alive and give us something to discuss every week.

 

[Escobar Gaviria]

Whenever the next draw is, I just hope and pray we all get the ITA.

Cuz, we're all soooo close, yet so far.

 

[Pawshi]

Bang on my friend Vabs200 ;D ;D