Ray of Hope - 103rd draw

[peacefulwarrior]

Guys, the pool has now around 9.400 people on the 431-440 range. This number is going up, every round we see an increase of 2% in this number. So with simple math, we can say that we have 940 people with 440 and 940 people with 439, going UP.

Every round of invitation we see around 2,200 new people coming into the pool with a score over 441, or gaining point and going up in the pool.

So, 2200 + 940 = 3140 with 440+ points, and this number is going UP, it's a trend. We would need at least 2 or 3 rounds with 439 points before we "clear" this range and arrive to 438. I'm sorry, i think 438 won't get ir this year.

Try other options guys, increase score with ielts, or study, or french.

I think more than 3500 new profiles with 440+ get added between two draws. Which makes it 250 per day.

Last draw happened with 12 days gap. That's why most of the 440 got cleared.

So your calculations that only 2200 profiles get added, seems falwed. Going by the trends, even 439 won't be possible.

 

[peacefulwarrior]

With 4600 quota is left, I doubt 8f they will go below 440 as inflow is maintained....

From where did you get this 4600 figure. I am under impression that still 5 draws are left in 2018. 1 Oct, 2 Nov, 2 Dec. So the quota should approximately be 17,500.

 

[YPS]

Below 440 is not a possible score at all for this year. I doubt next year is going to be even tougher considering latest changes in H1B visa rules.

Completly Agree..... H1 and H4 both issues....

 

[YPS]

From where did you get this 4600 figure. I am under impression that still 5 draws are left in 2018. 1 Oct, 2 Nov, 2 Dec. So the quota should approximately be 17,500.

74, 900 target for this year,, 70,300 issued till now,.... Hope they issue additional ITAs considering rejections ...

 

[peacefulwarrior]

74, 900 target for this year,, 70,300 issued till now,.... Hope they issue additional ITAs considering rejections ...

IRCC has now issued a total of 70,300 ITAs over 22 draws in 2018. IRCC had issued 72,221 ITAs by the same point in October last year and went on to issue a 2017 total of 86,023.

So like last year, they might issue more than the announced target

 

[keebs]

The draw size increased and the score still isn’t going under 440.
It shows that more people are entering the pool and more persons are improving their scores. More persons are encouraging their friends and families to apply for EE. I’ve alrwady gotten through but I always come to forum to offer any information I may have. I hope persons below 440 are trying to improve IELTS, TEF or start a one year program to gain come extra points. I want all of us to have the opportunity to achieve our goals or dreams.

 

[claramcarvalho]

I think more than 3500 new profiles with 440+ get added between two draws. Which makes it 250 per day.

Last draw happened with 12 days gap. That's why most of the 440 got cleared.

So your calculations that only 2200 profiles get added, seems falwed. Going by the trends, even 439 won't be possible.

2200 is a media, since February, of course there are months when this number ir much higher, otherwise we wouldn't have 450+ draws.

 

[peacefulwarrior]

2200 is a media, since February, of course there are months when this number ir much higher, otherwise we wouldn't have 450+ draws.

We didn't have any draw with CRS less than 440. So one thing is clear that this figure is close to 3500 between all the gaps.

 

[murraymp]

Long time ray of hope follower.

I just got my new celpip results after sitting at 438 for 6 months... I retook the test after I had left it too long to appeal my 9/12 for writing and 12/12 everything else... very frustrating as a native English speaker. Managed to max my points to 441...

Hopefully I’ll get my ITA next draw!

 

[abnzyr18]

Long time ray of hope follower.

I just got my new celpip results after sitting at 438 for 6 months... I retook the test after I had left it too long to appeal my 9/12 for writing and 12/12 everything else... very frustrating as a native English speaker. Managed to max my points to 441...

Hopefully I’ll get my ITA next draw!

I pray and hope that you get through

 

[cmcomic12]

any hope for score drop below 440?

 

[EconomicRefugee]

Any leads as to when the next draw will be ?

 

[duytuanbme]

Below 440 is not a possible score at all for this year. I doubt next year is going to be even tougher considering latest changes in H1B visa rules.

What happened with H1B?

 

[YPS]

Any leads as to when the next draw will be ?

Most probably on 31st Oct.....

 

[YPS]

What happened with H1B?

Heard renewal is not easy now.....