YVR Landing as PR without meeting Residency Obligation 730 days

[Buletruck]

Got it. My card has expired and I haven’t met my RO. So what are the chances of being reported at the land border at this point?

The most responsible answer I can give to that is: it depends on the CBSA officer you encounter. There seems to be a lot of latitude in their discretion. A lot will depend on how far out of compliance you are and whether you have H&C reasons for not meeting RO. Despite what many here will tell you, pretty much everything you can present for H&C, they have to consider it. It may not be great reason(s), but it's all applicable. When you make your entry, be prepared in advance. Documents, timelines, etc. showing up and throwing out a net hoping to catch a break won't work well. Have a plan.

And for god sake, only answer exactly what you are asked. Don't expand, no flowery stories....exactly what they ask and nothing more.

 

[Buletruck]

I don't think anyone has precise numbers, but if you are ok with a very rough ballpark figure, consider it 50/50.

I was somehow under the impression though that if in the end the final determination goes your way, and it's decided to allow you to retain PR (based on H&C or whatever reason), then those days will retroactively count after that decision is handed down.

That's correct. They are allowed in that decision. But during the appeal, days are suspended until the decision is made.