Ray of Hope - 98th Draw

[mandeep000]

I received ITA guys. Wohoooo

 

[abhishek_89]

I am almost certain that the next draw will see a cut off of 439 if it happens in 2 weeks with similar number of invites. Most 440s have been cleared up. Anyone agrees?

If the next draw is on Sept 19th, CRS 440 folks who created profile between April 30 to September 19 (almost 5 months) would be in the pool along with those who improved their scores to 440 (with profile creation date prior to April 30). So, 440s have been cleared is far from the truth.

If CRS 439 cut off becomes a reality in the next draw, it would be due to lesser number of folks being added in the 441+ range as there are no IELTS results coming out in the next few weeks.

 

[PinkFloyd89]

Yes, having a similar doubt just going by the pool numbers(441 above) number of waiting profiles looked a little less this time. but the crs score has just stayed put at 440 and has only advanced by couple of months

Exactly. 3900 ITAs were issued in today's draw and 1562 people were in the CRS score range of 441-1200 (as of 30 August,2018) (as per CIC website).
Remaining ITAs: 3900-1562= 2338. So 2338 includes people who created their profile(or it got active) between 30 Aug-5 Sep with CRS score range of 441-1200 plus people sitting at 440 score who created their profile before 29 Apr.
Again, something is fishy here.

 

[Sher001]

ITA received! Woop woop.

 

[abhishek_89]

Hello people!
Congrats to all of you who got ITAs
I know there are others like me who are eagerly waiting for cutoffs to drop.
I have a question regarding EE pool status of CRS scores:
1. When EE cut-offs were announced on 22nd August, I kept a screenshot of the EE pool status which was available on CIC website. As per that screenshot/data of pool status, there were (189+1194+534)=1917 people in the CRS score range of 441-1200(as of August 16,2018). Now, 3750 ITAs were issued that day. So those 1917 people must have received their ITAs for sure. But what about the rest of the people: 3750-1917= 1833 remaining ITAs?
If 1833 includes people who created their profile(or it got active) between 16 Aug-22 Aug with CRS score range of 441-1200 plus people sitting at 440 score who created their profile before 21 Feb, still 1833 is a huge number.
Am i missing something here.

You are absolutely correct. It is a huge number and that's the number of folks who create new profile with CRS 441+ or improve their score to CRS 441+.

 

[abhishek_89]

Exactly. 3900 ITAs were issued in today's draw and 1562 people were in the CRS score range of 441-1200 (as of 30 August,2018) (as per CIC website).
Remaining ITAs: 3900-1562= 2338. So 2338 includes people who created their profile(or it got active) between 30 Aug-5 Sep with CRS score range of 441-1200 plus people sitting at 440 score who created their profile before 29 Apr.
Again, something is fishy here.

Nothing fishy here. As people know the draw date based on the fact that it is happening on Wednesday every 2 weeks, more people tend to update or create their profiles nearer to the draw date. Also, there was an IELTS result which was released on Friday Aug 31st.

 

[GIMMZ]

I received ITA guys. Wohoooo

Congratulations. What was your score?

 

[Gibacho]

folks received my ita today..
which is the next forum to follow?
needless to say you guys have been awesome..

 

[puneet.arora]

Lets learn

Couldn't be happier to be wrong. Got the ITA and am sure many others did too.

 

[gotyou0000]

Couldn't be happier to be wrong. Got the ITA and am sure many others did too.

Congrats !! Still waiting for mine :-(

 

[go4sacchi]

Congrats !! Still waiting for mine :-(

Me too. What's your crs score . Mine 440.

 

[gotyou0000]

Me too. What's your crs score . Mine 440.

My score is 445

 

[mandeep000]

Congratulations. What was your score?

469

 

[puneet.arora]

Congrats !! Still waiting for mine :-(

Thanks. It's coming. Best thing to do is to not check for a while.

 

[go4sacchi]

Thanks. It's coming. Best thing to do is to not check for a while.

I assume we will be notified by email as well, correct?