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Ray of Hope - 94th Draw

harbee said:
I am thinking of writing the 3rd IELTS to boost my point. Please kindly share with the materials you used to obtain this score.
Thanks
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I just took some Cambridge Practice tests, and watched Liz's lecture videos on her blog (lizielts).
 
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javeds said:
I have a question for the experts. More of a theory that is bothering me.

In ROH threads we talk about the number of people entering at 440+ and so on, but when you are being optimistic with the current trend shouldn't the real question be how denser is the less than 440 crowd getting? Shouldnt we calculate the burndown rate of existing people in the pool? Assuming the current draw trends are going to continue won't that effect be countered by bottom of the pyramid getting even fatter?
For instance if I am at 430 and waiting for my turn, then there will be way more people joining 430-440 than 440+ which would leave people with less than 430 with zero hope (Even more people at 420-430). Especially 430s not getting cleared any time soon.

Can it hence be deduced that scores may never fall below, say 438, if current draw trends continue? So, less than 435 should even stop bothering checking ROH threads and go about their already happy life?

(I am at 422 btw. - bachelors degree, CLB9, 33yrs, spouse)
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There are 8k candidates stuck in the 431-440 range plus more than 1k adding to the 441+ range every week. Applicants below 435 can still try to increase their IELTS, I believe most of them hasn't maximized their score from language yet
 
samikdg said:
Hey guys, I need to take one judgement call, so who better than to ask in this forum :)
My current projected CRS is 431 (pending ECA expected by mid-July). I have CLB10 in IELTS and wife has CLB9 all through except Listening which has CLB8 (7.5 in L section). So if she retakes IELTS and can score CLB9 all through, it will increase CRS to 433.
With the current trend of 440+ cut-off in 2018, does it make sense to spend the $$ to go from 431 to 433? If OINP HCP opens up, can those 2 points give any extra advantage?
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Somebody stuck at 431 for over a year with no ITA nor Ontario PNP will know the difference between 431 and 433 :)
433 has been the lowest the CRS cut off has ever gone in the last 12 months. Also, 433 is the lowest CRS which has received Ontario PNP this year under HCP stream.

But then you never know what happens in future!
 
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abhishek_89 said:
The ddraw happened 2 days early than normal, if not the cut off would have been around 446.
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Next week is shuteye for Canada as they're celebrating Canada Day (on July 1) with most people on vacation the whole of next week. So is America btw !
 
another draw on the 4th of July would restore balance! but unfortunately a 12 days gap followed by less than a 16 days gap has never happened historically....about time for back 2 back draws, come on already!
 
abhishek_89 said:
Somebody stuck at 431 for over a year with no ITA nor Ontario PNP will know the difference between 431 and 433 :)
433 has been the lowest the CRS cut off has ever gone in the last 12 months. Also, 433 is the lowest CRS which has received Ontario PNP this year under HCP stream.

But then you never know what happens in future!
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Means a lot coming from a champion member like you! :)
Even though we can safely assume that CRS cut-off is not coming down to 433 anytime soon because of the pile-up in 430s, but what is your prediction regarding OINP HCP opening up next and what could be the approx lowest CRS to be picked up?
 
samikdg said:
Means a lot coming from a champion member like you! :)
Even though we can safely assume that CRS cut-off is not coming down to 433 anytime soon because of the pile-up in 430s, but what is your prediction regarding OINP HCP opening up next and what could be the approx lowest CRS to be picked up?
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Maybe 433 and above :)
 
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I see that IRCC has had the same number of ITAs for exactly 4 draws from 2750 x 4, 3000 x 4, 3500 x 4 now we have 3750 x 2 which may continue for 2 more draws.

My question is, do you think it will go up to 4000 ITAs issued? If so, with the present number of influx of candidates, there is still hope that it can go below 438?
 
samikdg said:
Means a lot coming from a champion member like you! :)
Even though we can safely assume that CRS cut-off is not coming down to 433 anytime soon because of the pile-up in 430s, but what is your prediction regarding OINP HCP opening up next and what could be the approx lowest CRS to be picked up?
Click to expand...

When are we expecting to get the OINP HCP draw??
I'm at 434 and applying for spouse ECA which will hopefully take my score to 442.
 
bahariesmoon88 said:
I see that IRCC has had the same number of ITAs for exactly 4 draws from 2750 x 4, 3000 x 4, 3500 x 4 now we have 3750 x 2 which may continue for 2 more draws.

My question is, do you think it will go up to 4000 ITAs issued? If so, with the present number of influx of candidates, there is still hope that it can go below 438?
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I think that's quite likely, both that they will eventually increase the ITAs to 4000 per draw and that the score will come down to 438. No one can say for certain but IRCC themselves, of course.
 
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For those who want to score 8777 in IELTS..I would suggest you to start from the scratch.i.e make your grammar very strong..Then start practising all the test..If you go to IELTS materials.com you will find many books.Also read
newspaper and listen to bbc radio.Think in English.I scored 8.5,8,7.5,7 in my very first attempt.Though it's not CLB 10 and I am at 438 but owing to the current trend I am hopeful.
 
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