Ray of Hope - 94th Draw
- Thread starter hope2018
- Start date
As you guys can see, there is a sudden spike on July 5th to the EE login account site! This trend is a good indicator of number of new entrants per day! @abhishek_89 @special3220 I think this might be useful for your predictions! Any queries you guys can ping me.[/URL]
Isn't it that we need to consider 5 days from June 21 to 25? That would make 234*5=1170 so 183+234 left as of 25th?
This spike looks scary but I dont think we have ever analysed the traffic on website
No atleast I didn't see anyone doing that..out of blue I got this Idea!! After all, this is the best way to predict the trend as it is directly related to traffic!
The draw happened on 25th morning. Hence, we can’t consider 25th and It will be for 4 days (21st to 24th). Anyways I have considered 25th in my prediction for July 11th draw with 200 profiles. You can refer to my analysis I have considered 16 days from June 25th to July 11. So If i keep my leftovers as 183+234 I would have to remove that 200 considered previously and there would be around 35 profiles added to the prediction. There wont be any big change in the pool. Therefore, I still believe that CRS would drop the scores predicted.
June 25th to July 11th would be 17 days if you had included 25th too..did u exclude july 11th? Because generally we include draw day too!
I feel the draw date should not be considered and have not included in the prediction
This exactly replicates my current status as well. When did you create your profile
That is a rather very creative idea and maybe a indicator, but it is impossible to get accurate traffic data and the data shown in third party website maybe misleading.[/URL]
We know there is no IELTS results but do we have any date for CELIP result publishing in between? I dont kbow how CELIP works but many do take that and they can have an impact.
Accurate traffic also doesn't help!! Daily there are around 30k + unique visitors to EE login page..The above data just gives us an idea of whether there would be more or less entrants than previous week! I have taken this data from google trends and one can trust it!
Moreover, when I saw the spike on july 5th...I searched for any unusual activity and found that SINPs issued on 5th..so that itself proves the validity of data..Moreover whenever an IELTS result date or draw date occurs, you can find a spike!!
Accurate traffic can be sourced from Similarweb or Alexa but that would require premium membership( paid) , but googletrends is free and that is best free data that we can access as of now!