Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[abhishek_89]

Do you think 437 is improbable or impossible?

Based on the intake trends observed in 2018, 437 cut off is impossible with 3500 ITAs if draw happens on June 6th. 438-440 would be the probable range with 3500 ITAs on June 6th.

 

[abhishek_89]

Do you think next draw going to be only for 2800(3500-700) Or 3200(4000-700)
Or
They are going to skip next week draw and do it on 2nd week of June..

I don't think they would skip next week's draw, but if they do that then its very bad news!

And the number of invites can be any of these: 2800 OR 3500 OR 3750 OR 4000

If it goes to 4000 then its very good news!

 

[anotherone11]

Thanks. Its for federal skilled worker.

How ??

 

[syntaxrage]

Based on the intake trends observed in 2018, 437 cut off is impossible with 3500 ITAs if draw happens on June 6th. 438-440 would be the probable range with 3500 ITAs on June 6th.

But comparing to 2017 draws , I think the trend is very similar with 2018 thus far. In 2018 Draws already had -10 drops and -5 drops. I wouldn't say impossible , cause they have to eventually go to the range of 431-440s. They wouldn't let the current 7k5s keep increasing , they wouldn't reach the prospective target at the year end. They would either have do 3 draws in a month or drop in the range of 435 s and up.

 

[Gury Singh]

You forgot the new entries. This was as of May 24th which is right after the last draw, hence, very few people above 440. By next week, it will be two weeks of new entries which could be 150 to 250 a day (let's assume 200 average per day) which would make it approx 2800. I don't see it suddenly dropping by 3 to 5 points. The above distribution doesn't tell us anything new which we didn't know in the past couple of months. We desperately need a back to back draw or a bigger draw size or combination of both.

It wont impact normal draw i guess. If we see as of May 24, just a day after draw, 180+ ppl already joined with 440+.

THis draw will help PNP NOIs only since OINP was behing trade ppl. After this draw, they may think abt HCP ppl

 

[Gury Singh]

How does this draw help us? Basically the competition is less by only 200 right?otherwise nothing changes right? Or am i missing anything here?

Hahahaa u r ryt... by 200...

It will only help OINP PNP HCP ppl waiting for NOI for quite period of tym. OINP was behind trade stream, now they shud b happy n concentrate on HCP,

 

[Gury Singh]

But comparing to 2017 draws , I think the trend is very similar with 2018 thus far. In 2018 Draws already had -10 drops and -5 drops. I wouldn't say impossible , cause they have to eventually go to the range of 431-440s. They wouldn't let the current 7k5s keep increasing , they wouldn't reach the prospective target at the year end. They would either have do 3 draws in a month or drop in the range of 435 s and up.

I truely agree with you but partially. Why IRCC shud b worried for ppl at 430s if they r getting req ppl at 440s? Thats d sole purpose of designing CRS. They are running immigration programmes with set of logic n rules for their country, not community service.
Im at 435, sadly

 

[syntaxrage]

I truely agree with you but partially. Why IRCC shud b worried for ppl at 430s if they r getting req ppl at 440s? Thats d sole purpose of designing CRS. They are running immigration programmes with set of logic n rules for their country, not community service.
Im at 435, sadly

 

[syntaxrage]

Keep your head up . It will happen.

 

[Gury Singh]

What about the 500 from FST?

Not much impact bcuz FST crs cutoff was 288 n mostly ppl r below 400 i blv. Thats d reason they got separate draw. They need FST ppl but not making into normal draws

 

[Rockjerry]

Actually can

Well in that case a Canadian citizen who was born and raised in Canada may ask a question back to you-
'Why is someone from another nation (a non-Canadian) being allowed to enter and study in our country and is being allowed to take away our jobs? Isn't that unfair to us?'

Think about that too!

We are all immigrants or going to be one. It doesn't show us in good light if we crib about other immigrants. Every immigrant has a tough path. Please respect that.

Actually Canada is a land of immigrants and most of the Canadian citizens are children of immigrants. Only natives or the red Indians are the one who have a right to ask this question.. but neither are they in power nor do anybody listens to them. If read Canadian history; immigrants of British empire took away their land and rights.. come here bro once you will understand these that msg. It’s easy to sit outside and talk any bullshit...!!

 

[Gury Singh]

One thing i noticed about today's draw is that the CRS distribution can give us some indication about how many people are entering the pool every day. In particular for the section from 400-440.
Added Daily CRS
20 431-440
84 421-430
63 411-420
74 401-410
As i said it previously, this can be considered the lowest case scenario as IELTS results were released after the day the distribution is referring (May 24th) the daily additions could be higher than this.

Ielts TRF takes few days after results...

 

[syntaxrage]

Actually can

Actually Canada is a land of immigrants and most of the Canadian citizens are children of immigrants. Only natives or the red Indians are the one who have a right to ask this question.. but neither are they in power nor do anybody listens to them. If read Canadian history; immigrants of British empire took away their land and rights.. come here bro once you will understand these that msg. It’s easy to sit outside and talk any bullshit...!!

Well said !!!! They talk about stuff without reading about history!

 

[PianoTiger]

Actually can

Actually Canada is a land of immigrants and most of the Canadian citizens are children of immigrants. Only natives or the red Indians are the one who have a right to ask this question.. but neither are they in power nor do anybody listens to them. If read Canadian history; immigrants of British empire took away their land and rights.. come here bro once you will understand these that msg. It’s easy to sit outside and talk any bullshit...!!

The Canadian government is not a charity whose purpose it is to be fair and make everyone. They're looking for people with certain specific attributes that will contribute to the country in the long-run. If they've been living in a different country for the past 10 years and have never stepped foot in Canada, so be it.

As for blaming the British for creating Canada, I could be certain that you wouldn't be looking to immigrate to Canada in the first place if the British hadn't built this nation for you...

 

[syntaxrage]

The Canadian government is not a charity whose purpose it is to be fair and make everyone. They're looking for people with certain specific attributes that will contribute to the country in the long-run. If they've been living in a different country for the past 10 years and have never stepped foot in Canada, so be it.

As for blaming the British for creating Canada, I could be certain that you wouldn't be looking to immigrate to Canada in the first place if the British hadn't built this nation for you...

I don't think he was trying to say!!!