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Ray of Hope - 88th Draw

kyrie_eleison

Newbie
Mar 28, 2018
6
2
Help please! My score is 442 and I was waiting for the ITA, and in the meantime I wanted to check my profile to see if it's already there.

I realized that in my submitted application the language section said "in progress" rather than "transmitted"! Apparently I didn't answer the question "Do you communicate in English or French or both?"!! But I did enter my IELTS score, otherwise I wouldn't reach 442 at all. Do you think the "in progress" part, which says "transmitted" now after I answered the question, would affect my ITA? In other words, is there a chance that I might not get it? :(

Did I f*ck up??
 

DanaJ

Star Member
Feb 4, 2018
74
20
Help please! My score is 442 and I was waiting for the ITA, and in the meantime I wanted to check my profile to see if it's already there.

I realized that in my submitted application the language section said "in progress" rather than "transmitted"! Apparently I didn't answer the question "Do you communicate in English or French or both?"!! But I did enter my IELTS score, otherwise I wouldn't reach 442 at all. Do you think the "in progress" part, which says "transmitted" now after I answered the question, would affect my ITA? In other words, is there a chance that I might not get it? :(

Did I f*ck up??
Hello, they have recently added this section, don’t worry you’ll get it! It wouldn’t affect your application
 
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shinyjoshua

Star Member
Jan 16, 2018
67
25
I have a question which probably has been addressed many times before - I created my express entry profile yesterday and it says EE profile active date to be 25th April. I have seen the cut off score today and as per my profile I should clear it. I want to know if I will be eligible in this draw? (I haven't received ITA and I know one needs to wait for 24 hours, but from logistic stand point am I still eligible for the draw on 25th?)
 

Abhishek.s1990

Star Member
Jan 5, 2018
154
49
Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th (2017):
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th (2017) to Jan 4th (2018)
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

From Mar 8th to Mar 20th:
above 440:181 per day
above 430:226 per day
above 410:252 per day

From Mar 20th to Apr 4th:
above 440:196 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:235 per day

From April 4th to April 19th
above 440:163 per day
above 430:187 per day
above 410:213 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants - expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

The values listed are cumulative:
above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day
The no of people 440 and above has reduced considerably .Does that mean we can expect the cutoff to be around 439 in the next draw .Your inputs @abhishek_89