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Ray of Hope - 85th Draw

Hello Everyone,

I have been following ROH for quite a while now. Was not able to enter the pool because of ECA. Have entered the pool yesterday with CRS 414 and NOC 0711. Banking on OINP and staying positive. All the best to fellow members waiting for ITA or NOI.

Time to move to ROH 86
 
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Waiting with 441 since December. Want to recreate profile for OINP. I have few questions about OINP. Will really appreciate if someone could help.
- how frequently OINP NOI is given?
- Do they provide NOI to all people above the cut off score or selected NOC occupation holders above the cut off score?
- what's the probability of 441 getting NOI for OINP
 
Sanjana11 said:
Waiting with 441 since December. Want to recreate profile for OINP. I have few questions about OINP. Will really appreciate if someone could help.
- how frequently OINP NOI is given?
- Do they provide NOI to all people above the cut off score or selected NOC occupation holders above the cut off score?
- what's the probability of 441 getting NOI for OINP
Click to expand...

1. There is no set pattern for OINP
2. Not everyone over 400 or their minimum cutoff gets OINP
3. No one can calculate the probability

Please keep checking the below link, they keep updating it with details:
http://www.ontarioimmigration.ca/en/pnp/OI_PNPNEW.html
 
gurpidesa said:
Can you please tell us your OINP Timeline. I have submitted my OINP application on 1st March.
Click to expand...
NOC Code : 2141
IELTS: L9.0 R8.0 W6.5 S7.0
EE Profile Submitted: 10/06/2017
CRS points : 1005
PNP Outland
Onatrio NOI: 17/06/2017
OINP Application Submitted: 15/11/2017
Nomination : 13/03/2018
ITA : 14/03/2018
 
I feel so depressed already ! left my job to move with husband in the US .. been a year.. thgt canada is the only hope.... got under the cut off for PNP but didnt get the call since my profile ws created in december. re created it in march but now the draw and pnp both seem to be out of reach :(

waiting at 435 !
 
Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants -
expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

The values listed are cumulative:
above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day
 
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