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Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw

keyur sharma

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2016
676
190
33
Barrie
Category........
CEC
Job Offer........
Yes
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
1/07/2017
Doc's Request.
12/08/2017
Nomination.....
12/07/2017
AOR Received.
12/08/2017
IELTS Request
31/05/2017
Med's Request
12/08/2017
Med's Done....
12/09/2017
Passport Req..
26/10/2017
VISA ISSUED...
29/11/2017
LANDED..........
30/11/2017
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keyur sharma

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2016
676
190
33
Barrie
Category........
CEC
Job Offer........
Yes
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
1/07/2017
Doc's Request.
12/08/2017
Nomination.....
12/07/2017
AOR Received.
12/08/2017
IELTS Request
31/05/2017
Med's Request
12/08/2017
Med's Done....
12/09/2017
Passport Req..
26/10/2017
VISA ISSUED...
29/11/2017
LANDED..........
30/11/2017
Wow! Amazing confidence. The first time I read your post, I thought you work for the CIC :D;)
I don’t work. But I used to follow CIC patterns.
 
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rehanacca

Hero Member
Apr 22, 2017
345
127
Is there any hope if my score is just 394 ?
Scored IELTS CLB 9 & 10

One of the most funny part is, the education assessment only counts colleges/degrees. Not the current world's professional certifications.
My Accountancy professional qualification was assessed by WES. I suggest you to try reaching the ECA agency regarding this. there should be a way out.

Best of LucK!
 

krishkumar7

Full Member
Nov 17, 2017
43
21
india
Reference to 18th Jan data; 431-460 have 6600 applicants and monthly on average 4500 profiles add up in this range...
So in my view below will be happening if two draws occured with 2750 ITAs:
Feb: 7000 current profiles - 5000 ITA/mon + 4500 new profiles/mon
March: 6500 - 5000 + 4500
April: 6000 - 5000 + 4500
May: 5500 - 5000 + 4500
June: 5000 - 5000 + 4500.....

So, there is higher probability that CRS score will drop below 430 from April-May 2018
I see what you are trying to explain but I think I may be missing something.

You are assuming 2750 draws a month, which is correct given the trend. But why are you calculating a total of 5000 ITA/month? Isn't 2750 x 2 = 5500? ITA/month?
 
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keyur sharma

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2016
676
190
33
Barrie
Category........
CEC
Job Offer........
Yes
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
1/07/2017
Doc's Request.
12/08/2017
Nomination.....
12/07/2017
AOR Received.
12/08/2017
IELTS Request
31/05/2017
Med's Request
12/08/2017
Med's Done....
12/09/2017
Passport Req..
26/10/2017
VISA ISSUED...
29/11/2017
LANDED..........
30/11/2017
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Reactions: birdyspike

keyur sharma

Hero Member
Dec 3, 2016
676
190
33
Barrie
Category........
CEC
Job Offer........
Yes
Pre-Assessed..
Yes
App. Filed.......
1/07/2017
Doc's Request.
12/08/2017
Nomination.....
12/07/2017
AOR Received.
12/08/2017
IELTS Request
31/05/2017
Med's Request
12/08/2017
Med's Done....
12/09/2017
Passport Req..
26/10/2017
VISA ISSUED...
29/11/2017
LANDED..........
30/11/2017
Entered pool on 29th Jan 2018 at 447. What are my chances of getting an ITA?
Mine was same case. Made profile on 10th July 2016 and got invitation on 12th July draw. I was at 447
 
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