Ray of Hope - 82nd Draw

[ee_candidate]

Hello all, I have been following this thread and have received valuable insight... figured I should add my contribution in case it helps anyone:
ITA received: Jan 24
CRS: 484
Profile submitted: Jan 13
OINP NOI : none received

Shall now go about getting my docs ready. Good luck everyone!

 

[Vinul]

Hope is strong here, relax and wait.

Thanks Jack for kind words..m planning to resit the IELTS

 

[FaithandFavor]

Wen is next draw likely? N m at very low score of 401...any hope this year?

Oinp is your best bet ! If you get a NOI jump on it!

 

[Sanjana11]

441 for last 3 draws. Feeling down after today's draw. Should I try for OINP instead and open a new profile?

 

[Vinul]

Oinp is your best bet ! If you get a NOI jump on it!

How can i get nominated? I m in banking sector .no job offer there n no relatives or any..pl suggest

 

[Vinul]

441 for last 3 draws. Feeling down after today's draw. Should I try for OINP instead and open a new profile?

Hey do we need to create separate profile for OINP. Wont we get nominated thru EE by provinces?

 

[elizaveta052010]

Hello! Please advise! My crs score is 424 , im married but my spouse speaks poor English and hasnt taken ielts. Im waiting for his WES evaluation, which is due on 5 feb, adding me some points. Hopefully ill have 434.

Without a spouse, if i choose the options married but my spouse is not coming to Canada with me, my score would be 448!!!

Thats so sad ive missed chances of being selected((

Can i withdraw my spouse now, obtain pr and unite with him later in Canada via family sponsorship?

Will it be possible if i wuthdraw him now fron my EE applucation?

How will i explain it to Canadian Immigration now?

Another question: is it possible to withdraw my husband now, get OINP (i have IT noc in demand and high score for Ontario), get my nomination and extra points for EE, and after add my spouse to EE application when my profile will be subject to federal level check (i will already have additional 600 points from Ontario by then).

Has anyone done smth like that?

 

[Supernova]

If CIC maintains the intake number of 2750 for every draw for the remainder of the year I doubt the CRS point is going to dip below mid-440s anytime in the future.

For the CRS to come below mid-440s, either the draw has to be:

a) frequent, or
b) has to have a greater number of ITAs than 2750.

If there are no frequent draws or higher ITAs, then there will probably be more number of people in the higher 440s submitting their profiles between the draws than cleared out by the draws
.
The CRS will stay high (~445+) for the remainder of the year. If it comes down to the 430s or 420s that will be surprising.

This looks like bad news. This sucks if true!

 

[Supernova]

Hello all, I have been following this thread and have received valuable insight... figured I should add my contribution in case it helps anyone:
ITA received: Jan 24
CRS: 484
Profile submitted: Jan 13
OINP NOI : none received

Shall now go about getting my docs ready. Good luck everyone!

Congratulations!!

 

[h1b2pr]

Hello! Please advise! My crs score is 424 , im married but my spouse speaks poor English and hasnt taken ielts. Im waiting for his WES evaluation, which is due on 5 feb, adding me some points. Hopefully ill have 434.

Without a spouse, if i choose the options married but my spouse is not coming to Canada with me, my score would be 448!!!

Thats so sad ive missed chances of being selected((

Can i withdraw my spouse now, obtain pr and unite with him later in Canada via family sponsorship?

Will it be possible if i wuthdraw him now fron my EE applucation?

How will i explain it to Canadian Immigration now?

Another question: is it possible to withdraw my husband now, get OINP (i have IT noc in demand and high score for Ontario), get my nomination and extra points for EE, and after add my spouse to EE application when my profile will be subject to federal level check (i will already have additional 600 points from Ontario by then).

Has anyone done smth like that?

What is your IELTS score?

 

[h1b2pr]

Hello! Please advise! My crs score is 424 , im married but my spouse speaks poor English and hasnt taken ielts. Im waiting for his WES evaluation, which is due on 5 feb, adding me some points. Hopefully ill have 434.

Without a spouse, if i choose the options married but my spouse is not coming to Canada with me, my score would be 448!!!

Thats so sad ive missed chances of being selected((

Can i withdraw my spouse now, obtain pr and unite with him later in Canada via family sponsorship?

Will it be possible if i wuthdraw him now fron my EE applucation?

How will i explain it to Canadian Immigration now?

Another question: is it possible to withdraw my husband now, get OINP (i have IT noc in demand and high score for Ontario), get my nomination and extra points for EE, and after add my spouse to EE application when my profile will be subject to federal level check (i will already have additional 600 points from Ontario by then).

Has anyone done smth like that?

Better to wait for some more time and get direct ITA or OINP invite. If you exclude your spouse, it might take more than an year for spouse PR and a lot of hassle. Moreover, if you exclude your spouse you might lose 5 points in FSW (if you qualified for that). Try to improve IELTS score.

 

[Tania_2605]

Hello! Please advise! My crs score is 424 , im married but my spouse speaks poor English and hasnt taken ielts. Im waiting for his WES evaluation, which is due on 5 feb, adding me some points. Hopefully ill have 434.

Without a spouse, if i choose the options married but my spouse is not coming to Canada with me, my score would be 448!!!

Thats so sad ive missed chances of being selected((

Can i withdraw my spouse now, obtain pr and unite with him later in Canada via family sponsorship?

Will it be possible if i wuthdraw him now fron my EE applucation?

How will i explain it to Canadian Immigration now?

Another question: is it possible to withdraw my husband now, get OINP (i have IT noc in demand and high score for Ontario), get my nomination and extra points for EE, and after add my spouse to EE application when my profile will be subject to federal level check (i will already have additional 600 points from Ontario by then).

Has anyone done smth like that?

Hi! Yes, it is possible to change your application and withdraw your husband from there. You probably will need an explanation in a future why he is not coming to Canada with you but not right now. Also, just to let you know, family sponsorship is not an easy thing to do and it will take minimum 1 year. I am almost at the same situation that you are, and I also consider the possibility to apply without my husband.

 

[alexross]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

 

[Supernova]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

Thank you for this calculation. Thant would mean an average of 165 people roughly enter with CRS above 440 every day.

If one has a CRS of ~440 then he/she will have roughly 15 days to get ITA before the score goes up again. That seems challenging.

The only hope is if CIC goes for more than 2750 ITAs

 

[SrikanthRam]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

Thanks for this. Based on these numbers, it looks like ~250 people with CRS scores higher than mine (435) are entering the pool everyday - meaning ~3500 people every 2 weeks. If CIC do not increase either the draw size or frequency, I am better off opting for a PNP or trying to max my IELTS scores.

The only thing I don't get is how CIC are going to manage their increased immigration targets issuing just 72K ITAs this year. Something's really bothering me about this bi-weekly 2750 draw.