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Ray of Hope - 82nd Draw

AlliBatista

Champion Member
Aug 19, 2016
1,131
3,198
Brazil
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2281
Hey guys just a question my profile was created again on 12 th December 2017, and was at 437 and dropped to 432 on 1st Jan 2018, due to age, and my spouse gave ilets and the score got updated to 444 on 22nd January 2018, will I get and Ita? I am confused.
You should, because is the creation date that counts. Wait for 24h and you should get an email from them.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Hey guys just a question my profile was created again on 12 th December 2017, and was at 437 and dropped to 432 on 1st Jan 2018, due to age, and my spouse gave ilets and the score got updated to 444 on 22nd January 2018, will I get and Ita? I am confused.
Yes, you would get ITA. Profile creation date/time as to be checked for tie breaker.
 

smcan2014

Hero Member
Oct 27, 2014
404
211
NOC Code......
2171
Doc's Request.
.....
Nomination.....
.....
AOR Received.
.....
IELTS Request
06-01-2017
File Transfer...
.....
Med's Request
.....
Med's Done....
.....
Interview........
.....
Passport Req..
.....
VISA ISSUED...
.....
LANDED..........
.....
Will I ever get the ITA email. 445 and no email still and neither the profile has been updated yet. EE profile still says "You do not have an ITA at this time." Does the time and date matter? I created my profile around 11:30 PM Nova Scotia time.
 

Jakilee

Star Member
Dec 9, 2017
190
303
Calgary
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1112
Yes, thats correct. The number of people at 447-450 would be very less as they would have entered after Jan 10th.
In my calculation, I had 1076 folks with scores between 441-446 today. I had approx 200 folks each at CRS 441, 442 and 443.
By my computation as of today the minimum 280 per score, that is 840 total for 441, 442 and 443.

Every two weeks 60 people per score enter between 441 and 450 so by next draw it will be 840 + 600 = 1440 for 441 to 450.

Given that we now have 1400 every two weeks for 451 to 600

If we estimate 350 for 600 to 1200
the Pool will look like this on February 7th

600 - 1200 350
451 - 600 1400
441 - 450 1440

therefore next cutoff is likely be 442 with a December Tie breaker.
 
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dekkalife

Member
Jan 24, 2018
17
3
I submitted my application at about 5pm last night (Jan 23) and online it says my application date is Jan 24. Did I miss this round?
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
@abhishek_89, even if they stick to 2750 ITAs, do we know if the scores will remain the same for the next draw or increase or decrease?

We are at 442.
If the next draw is after 2 weeks on Feb 7th with 2750 ITAs, the CRS cut off would decrease but based on the current average intake the decrease would be marginal. With 442, you could be on the border.
 

KMY

Full Member
Jan 24, 2018
23
14
Hey. I am new here ( new comments but been reading you lot for a while!) we are on crs 442 since November 2017, losing 5 points in April so I guess we still have a "ray of hope" up until April 2018. I need your advice, I know decision is ours but what would you do?
My husband can get extra 2 points for his school education but obviously we need to have it WES approved which will cos again, it is quite complicated process in the country he is from so it may take 2 months...who knows... Would you wait and see with 442 or would you start the tremendous process for the sake of 2 points?
Was so hoping for today's draw...damn it!