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Ray of Hope - 81st Draw

jagan4u

Star Member
Aug 21, 2017
165
221
Category........
FSW
App. Filed.......
21-08-2017
I was at 430 from Aug 21 to Nov 19 and the CRS never trended down...445 from Nov 20 onwards and the next 2 draws were 452 and 446...lost 5 points as I got old and standing at 440 today, sincerely hoping for CIC to reduce CRS this time around...
 
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Maziar

Star Member
Dec 6, 2017
80
13
Wishing everyone best of lucks
I'm at 435 right now and I'm studying hard in order to get a good TEF score,but it's no easy task.
Anyway, let's all hope the CRS drops down :D
 

Anitbiotic

Full Member
Nov 28, 2017
45
11
will the oinp open again for this year now?
i am at 414, so confused whether to apply for oinp or write ielts again , missed in listening ...scored only 6
Hi @zainab.p - Can we apply for OINP- HCP stream directly? . I thought they pick people from the pool and nominate them. Is it not the case?
 

Dolarosa

Star Member
Dec 19, 2017
68
84
Wishing you guys all the best for the EE draw tomorrow. Start gathering your documents, because CRS will start to drop again. Even though I have not visited this thread as of late, the ROH threads have a special place in my heart. Last year at this time, I had no hope of getting an ITA. This thread kept my hopes alive and kept me going until I got my ITA in July, 2017. I finally got my PPR today. Thank you all.
Hearty Congratulations! It’s a source of encouragement for us still waiting!!
 
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canada_dreamer

Hero Member
Apr 10, 2017
432
456
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Such encouraging news!congrats!!!! Quick question..after getting your ITA in July when did you submit your application?I ask because I want to have a rough estimate on how long your PPR took after hitting the submit button! All the best!!!
I was PNP, so it took 4.5 months for me. I submitted on the 2nd week of august. AOR to PPR depends on many factors such as stream (FSW, PNP, CEC) and visa office. Some visa offices for the same stream process much faster than others. for direct FSW ITAs, most applications were processed within 2 months this year. PNP was taking 6-8 months on average earlier this year, but now it is taking 4-5 months on average.
 
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ankitparas

Newbie
May 13, 2014
3
2
Hi guys I was at 390 after rechecking of IELTS got my 0.5 band increased. Current score is 432. Now I need help on RnR for 2174 ,can anyone pls review my experience letter and tell me will that fit for noc 2174
 

Jakilee

Star Member
Dec 9, 2017
190
303
Calgary
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1112
My permutation is complete and good News for people with lower scores.

I estimated 220 candidates left in the 441 to 450 range after the last draw.

For the January 3rd draw, I assumed that number of people entering the pool between now and January 3 will either be at historical level or even lower. ( This is due to the following factors, lower number of ECA will be issued, IELTS result to be released and the fact that lower number of working days will affect a lot of people's submission due to ECA and IELTS).

2750 ITAs Cut off will be 437 +/- 2

3000+ ITA Cut off will be 434 +/- 2

All this is just logic but if you are sitting at 430+ the chances are you will get your ITA by third week in January.

Historically, 2015, 2016 and 2017, there is a consecutive draw in the first two weeks of January and that will lower the CRS.

Anyways don’t take my estimations serious just see it as a possible guide.

Thanks.


Just for those who will ask, below is my last estimation for today's draw.

2750 ITA cut off 447 -/+ 2
3000+ ITA cut off 441-/+ 2
 

ShahidF

Hero Member
Aug 29, 2016
217
136
Toronto
Category........
FSW
They will surely start increasing the draw size from now... Expect the number of invites to be above 3000+ from now.

Hope by mid of March all above 420s are cleared and who knows by October we can even see all above 400s getting ITA... Be +ve.
 
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harman_778

Star Member
Oct 19, 2016
194
405
My prediction for today :

Total no of ITA - 3000
Going upto to 3250 on 10th Jan
Followed by 3500 on 24th Jan
CRS cutoff for today - 440 +\- 2
 
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Aryaansohaali

Star Member
Nov 20, 2017
90
106
Cape town
My permutation is complete and good News for people with lower scores.

I estimated 220 candidates left in the 441 to 450 range after the last draw.

For the January 3rd draw, I assumed that number of people entering the pool between now and January 3 will either be at historical level or even lower. ( This is due to the following factors, lower number of ECA will be issued, IELTS result to be released and the fact that lower number of working days will affect a lot of people's submission due to ECA and IELTS).

2750 ITAs Cut off will be 437 +/- 2

3000+ ITA Cut off will be 434 +/- 2

All this is just logic but if you are sitting at 430+ the chances are you will get your ITA by third week in January.

Historically, 2015, 2016 and 2017, there is a consecutive draw in the first two weeks of January and that will lower the CRS.

Anyways don’t take my estimations serious just see it as a possible guide.

Thanks.


Just for those who will ask, below is my last estimation for today's draw.

2750 ITA cut off 447 -/+ 2
3000+ ITA cut off 441-/+ 2
Its hard to understand your estimation of 447. On one side you are saying no of people entering pool would be much lower than usual on other hand you expect CRS to increase. Last time the draw happened after 14 days CRS reduced by 6 points to 446. I would estimate as follows :

2750 ITAs CRS 442+-2
3000 ITA CRS 439 +-2