Ray of hope 58th draw?

[chente]

I say 437 in two weeks

 

[karthik506]

31st March, 427 and 3456

No way for 427.. May be 432...

 

[teekayx]

31st March, 427 and 3456

Someone cited a cic link some days ago about there being no draw on the week on March 27th.

 

[kryt0n]

Someone cited a cic link some days ago about there being no draw on the week on March 27th.

That was for IEC visas. Nothing to do with EE.

 

[xibalban]

The current draw at higher CRS means there'll be a dip in the next. However, the way this is going (trend), I can't see it dipping below 430.

 

[teekayx]

That was for IEC visas. Nothing to do with EE.

Good god, that's something to raise a toast for, this Friday!

 

[fatani]

Oh my last score was 434. And now in just 23 days there are so many people came in on or above 441. So what will be the position of 434-440 I think there will be 4000 waiting in this range. If these stats are real then no way with this rate of ITAs the scores will come down. It will be in the range of 425-450.

What you guys think?

 

[nthom]

I don't want to be negative, but draw 56 was the lowest scores ever and the draw gap was just one week. Seems like the longer the wait the higher the scores, the shorter the wait the lower the scores....Anyway, I have a spreadsheet looking at trends and even within two week points fluctuate a lot.....so all we can do is sit tight and hope we get it when it drops again....

 

[teekayx]

Oh my last score was 434. And now in just 23 days there are so many people came in on or above 441. So what will be the position of 434-440 I think there will be 4000 waiting in this range. If these stats are real then no way with this rate of ITAs the scores will come down. It will be in the range of 425-450.

What you guys think?

Just tell me to give up! I'll oblige

 

[kryt0n]

I don't want to be negative, but draw 56 was the lowest scores ever and the draw gap was just one week. Seems like the longer the wait the higher the scores, the shorter the wait the lower the scores....Anyway, I have a spreadsheet looking at trends and even within two week points fluctuate a lot.....so all we can do is sit tight and hope we get it when it drops again....

Well that makes sense. The shorter the gap, the less time for more people to enter the pool. The longer the gap means more people joining.

 

[jasontan]

congratulations to those who got in.

devastated at 426

do you guys knoe where i can apply for jobs online? so i can somehow increase my crs. thanks!!

looking forwars to 58th and 59th. still keeping my hopes up

 

[fatani]

Just tell me to give up! I'll oblige

No point giving up but with these huge number of ITAs still the points increased and that too by 7 massive points it means since March 1 lots of new people entered or increased their scores and rate of them coming is way tooo high.

Look on March 1 after the draw 434 and above were 0. And after 23 days 3749 people were waiting till 441 or more. This means over 6-7K people went above 434. The draw was still only 23 days apart normally it is 14 days apart so even half of these come like 4000 people will improve or enter and ITAs will be 3700-3800 how will the scores decrease then?

 

[nthom]

No point giving up but with these huge number of ITAs still the points increased and that too by 7 massive points it means since March 1 lots of new people entered or increased their scores and rate of them coming is way tooo high.

Look on March 1 after the draw 434 and above were 0. And after 23 days 3749 people were waiting till 441 or more. This means over 6-7K people went above 434. The draw was still only 23 days apart normally it is 14 days apart so even half of these come like 4000 people will improve or enter and ITAs will be 3700-3800 how will the scores decrease then?

I think if they do another one week the scores will decrease.....

 

[fatani]

I think if they do another one week the scores will decrease.....

If they do a draw next week the score will decrease but as soon as they are back with a draw after 2 weeks scores will rise.

 

[nthom]

In a nutshell is this........People flow in and out all day for all kinds of reasons...for those with lower scores we'll have to wait for the opportunity when less people are in the pool so the crs scores will drop. Even CIC has no way of knowing this....Its like random chances. All CIC knows is how many people they want to immigrate. Then they have some algorithm that works with what they have in the pool for each draw...We can analyze all we want, I doubt even CIC can tell you what the next draws cutoff will be as it is highly dependent on the people in the pool the day of the draw....