Ray of Hope - 43rd Draw

[DamhaSirah]

So guys, after the great news of increased number of ITAs in 42nd draw, what do you expect is next in store for hopeful applicants?

 

[ecpradeep1]

I foresee 479 to 483 points for #43rd draw and expecting 1300 ITA's.

Let's see

 

[Innana]

450 point, 1700 invitation.

just because...!

 

[ecpradeep1]

Just because of the man in the Youtube video

 

[Alexios07]

Next biggest thing is the announcements on new changes on Express Entry regarding the bonus points for CEC applicants, applicants with Candian siblings and the LMIA.

For now, I think the cut off score is not what we should pay attention to but the number of ITA per draw and the average score of the pool.

Without the mid-year report, we now don't know how many people are in the range of 420-450, and what effects to the score once the changes are applied in Fall.

 

[thejkhan]

Nothing will change in Sept. They planned to finish working on backlog this month.

I'm predicting changes to # ITA issued starting next month.

 

[shasai]

When is the next draw, It should be on 22nd of September 2016.

Am i correct??

 

[Slyke]

Nothing will change in Sept. They planned to finish working on backlog this month.

I'm predicting changes to # ITA issued starting next month.

Well, we got 1000 invites today, so I'm guessing your prediction is incorrect.

 

[Alexios07]

They planned to finish working on backlog this month.

Good luck with that.

 

[LokiJr01]

Just hang in there guys. The cut off in last night's draw is an improvement, at least

On a side note, the cut off score last night was 491 and yet 1,000 applicants have been invited already. I can't imagine how many will they need to invite if they drop it further. Maybe the 2,000 mark is not so impossible after all hehe

 

[moodyzhan]

hi!
i just make a calculation here.
the number of ppl was sent by ITA in 2015 is 29749
and by sep/7 the total num in 2016 is 19292.
if the number in 2016 is not less than 2015, assum equal to 29749
and we still have 7 chances (twice per month)
therefore, the num of ITAs has to reach to (29749-19292)/7 = 1493!! the number will tell the truth!

BUT
even the quota will increase in the coming future, but the score probabaly keeps the high level at least in Sep or in Oct.
Comparing the historical data, the score is being push up by PNP and other factors. And these high score may take at least two draws to digest and get back to around 465s (taking reference in 2015/11/27 and 2015/12/4).

Just personal thought...

 

[neorol]

Another main question is if there will be any PNP nominees in the next draw? Without them with 1000 invitations the cut-off score used to be about 470.

Any information about any provinces that would issue numerous PNP letters in the next 2 weeks?

 

[thejkhan]

Well, we got 1000 invites today, so I'm guessing your prediction is incorrect.

Don't rub it in.

Good luck with that.

I meant pre-EE backlog.

 

[DamhaSirah]

When is the next draw, It should be on 22nd of September 2016.

Am i correct??

No, it will be on 21st September 2016 InshAllah... Blessed Wednesday!

 

[Hot2Cold]

Ive done some simple analysis on the all of the Express entry draws

Simple Pivot Table

Simple line chart

Hope it helps someone.