Ray of Hope - 138th Draw

[Wrath]

PREDICTION FOR MAR 4 DRAW:

ITA’s: 4,500
CRS: 467 - 469

If this becomes real, thats joy for lot of people who are stuck in higher 460s since longgggg time.

 

[Mehsaz]

If 4500 is picked this time also do u people think in couple of months crs score will come down? My crs score is 453 so iam really worried whether or not it will come down

 

[Mehsaz]

And by the way can anyone tell how many candidates are with 470 points, 469 and so till 450?
As the chart is showing 21000 between 450 to 600.. Can anyone tell the exact number of candidates for specific scores?

 

[Smily Pathak]

No chance at all. Nil Nada Zero.

468 has good chance in a month or so.. don’t worry you are almost there !!

 

[Smily Pathak]

Ill

If 4500 is picked this time also do u people think in couple of months crs score will come down? My crs score is 453 so iam really worried whether or not it will come down

Hey,
Honestly, 453 has no chance this year !! Even I’m at 451 and tried ielts 6 times to improve my score but no luck and going to learn French now ..

 

[Mehsaz]

Lets just hope positively for it to come down..
I still feel there are chances of drop in crs scores this year but lets see what happens

 

[tang205k]

Lets just hope positively for it to come down..
I still feel there are chances of drop in crs scores this year but lets see what happens

If you can afford to wait, sure (2 years or never?)... If you want it bad, you should boost your score. Pretty simple. Look at previous trend and do some analysis yourself.

 

[ContactFront]

And by the way can anyone tell how many candidates are with 470 points, 469 and so till 450?
As the chart is showing 21000 between 450 to 600.. Can anyone tell the exact number of candidates for specific scores?

No. Only IRCC knows the exact number
You can only estimate

 

[Issygn]

PREDICTION FOR MAR 4 DRAW:

ITA’s: 4,500
CRS: 467 - 469

Perfect guess

 

[jrossi]

PREDICTION FOR MAR 4 DRAW:

ITA’s: 4,500
CRS: 467 - 469

Really hope you’re correct. My bet is 469, but probably only until half of the applicants in that range. So, I’m really anxious about what will be the tie-brake date.

 

[Issygn]

Really hope you’re correct. My bet is 469, but probably only until half of the applicants in that range. So, I’m really anxious about what will be the tie-brake date.

Logically, there was a draw for peeps in 469 in Dec and the tie-breaking rule was close to the date the ITA was issued. Secondly, people between 467-470 did one thing or the other to increase their score above 470. Moreover, the previous draw was the first time we saw 470 and the tiebreaker rule was barely one week to the release date. so relax.

 

[Saleemasif3088]

My guess:
ITA 4000
468-469

 

[Saleemasif3088]

any hope of CRS score dropping down to 455 this year

Hope for the best, submitt your EOI for Prince edward, Saskatchwin and Manitoba. These provinces do not require job offer. And EOI is free of cost.

 

[jrossi]

Logically, there was a draw for peeps in 469 in Dec and the tie-breaking rule was close to the date the ITA was issued. Secondly, people between 467-470 did one thing or the other to increase their score above 470. Moreover, the previous draw was the first time we saw 470 and the tiebreaker rule was barely one week to the release date. so relax.

Yeah, I’ve been pondering these elements too.
Also, an empirical thing I learned through the “internal trackers” built in previous Ray of Hope threads: In the range of 465-469, the 469 score appears to be the more “unlikely” or them. For example, on the last of all trackers, from 33 entries in that range, the vast majority were 468 and 467 (both with 10-11 entries each), and then 466 and 465 with 4-5 each, and 469 with only 3. Also, there were many more 470-471 in the tracker than 469 as well.
It looks like the “standard profiles” variations (married, <30yr, 2 diplomas, CLB9/CLB10) scores does not bring you to 469, but instead to 468 or 470.
I have 469, but because I lost 5 points for being 30yrs old, which is a more “unusual” way to achieve 469.

So, maybe 469 is indeed an “uncrowed” score. I hope I’m right.

 

[tang205k]

Question... I recently got ITA and there's a fee I need to pay for Biometric. However, About 2 months ago I applied for an entry Visa and did my biometric already. Just wondering why I need it again?