Ray of Hope - 135th Draw

[kumar55]

Wait for upto 24 houra

okay thank you

 

[Igethope]

Now on 468. I pray for draw next week

 

[bambisp]

hopeless at 461

sister received AOR 22nd Jann 2020

 

[zee90999]

you are still in safe zone. dont worry.

I hope so

 

[Sunilneha]

Tie breaking rule of may 2019 scared me a lot. Feeling unsecured at 468. Any predictions to get an ITA at this score and when?

 

[WunderCat]

IS it showing that you are invited in your profile ??? cold you please confirm, or do we neeto to wait for some more time ???

Yeap, the status for my EE application changed to Invitation received and in it, under the "HAVE I BEEN INVITED TO APPLY?" question changed to "January 22, 2020 We are pleased to confirm that we sent you an invitation to apply. Check your messages below for details."
I got instructions on what to do next and new PR application appeared in my profile.

 

[Sharath957]

Received the ita today my score was 473... But i did not receive the mail...

 

[zee90999]

you are still in safe zone. dont worry.

Not really.

I entered the pool in Jan 2020. Tie breaking might just kill the opportunity

 

[immonger]

Received the ita today my score was 473... But i did not receive the mail...

Wait a bit.

 

[daughty]

Hey!! How to get nomination from OINP??

They send a notification of interest based on the NOC that they need

 

[daughty]

CRS?

1052

 

[lucknath]

I've just received my ITA, I was standing at 479. Keep your hopes up high, don't give up and believe in yourself. Soon enough you'll all be receiving yours too.

 

[abbieh]

SPOT ON!!

Results: Rounds of invitations
Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system – January 22, 2020

No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 3,400Footnote*

Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,400th or above

Date and time of round: January 22, 2020 at 13:35:06 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 471

Tie-breaking rule: May 9, 2019 at 01:16:02 UTC

Please what is your prediction for the next draw.

I lost out by tie-breaker

Thank you

 

[zee90999]

Please what is your prediction for the next draw.

I lost out by tie-breaker

Thank you

When did you enter the pool?

 

[amit_gupta1993]

So, between the last two draws, 5910 new people joined the pool having score above 451.Out of these, 567 were 600 +, hence, 5910-567=5343 were between 451-600.
Out of 3400 ITA's issued, (3400-567)=2833 were the people above 473.
2833/19days = 149 people per day joined the pool.
If we assume normal distribution between the scores 473-(481-600) , we had around 17 people added per score per day.
If the same trend continues, and lets suppose the number of pnp's increases to 900(highly unlikely).
3400-900= 2500
17people*14days = 238 people per score
also, because of the tie-breaker rule, we still have around 187 people on 473
so the next draw cut-off will be 471-472
-900 (601-1200)
-238 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-238 (of 480 newly added score)
-238 (of 479 newly added score)
-238 (of 478 newly added score)
-238 (of 477 newly added score)
-238 (of 476 newly added score)
-238 (of 475 newly added score)
-238 (of 474 newly added score)
-238+187 (of 473 newly added score)
-238 (of 472 newly added score)
-238 (of 471 newly added score)
-238 (of 470 newly added score)

In case of lesser pnp's, which is quite expected, can be as lower as 470.

Please feel free to correct me.

You were so Bang on correct buddy!! Good Job..
I am at 460. I see no chances for me. What do you think ?