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Ray of Hope - 125th Draw

EnthuChap

Hero Member
Jun 9, 2014
819
543
India
Category........
PNP
Visa Office......
Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
0601
App. Filed.......
01-12-2019
Doc's Request.
22-01-2020
Nomination.....
26-11-2019
AOR Received.
01-12-2019
Med's Request
02-11-2019
Med's Done....
17-01-2020
Why would s/he need todo that. The score will be 479 in November. Either the person gets ITA before November or November comes and s/he will be gravy then.
Yeah I deleted the post. Stupidly, I had not seen 454 initially. He will get through with 454.
 

jackdawn

Champion Member
Dec 24, 2016
1,228
913
"Tutor cum clinical instructor" under NOC 4021 will be consider valid job title or it has to be one of those mentioned under NOC4021?
title is not relevant (or important), the job role mentioned in your reference letter should match at least 60-70% of those mentioned in the noc
 

Punitsingh

Hero Member
Jul 27, 2018
547
403
@13nitinsharma, @Punitsingh, @NikSharma01, I need your help please. I received my ITA yesterday. But before the draw I had opened my profile and checked my husband's study and language section. I didn't make any changes and clicked on save and exit. I forgot to click the revert changes button. Then I received my ITA. Now in my express entry profile it is showing in the current status section that "update not submitted". Should I continue with my profile application or decline this ITA.
Please provide insight
No problem bro!
As per my understanding, ITA is always issued on basis of the saved info, updates don’t matter if they are not saved finally. Just revert the changes if option is still there and continue wid ur application.

Your account may have below mentioned 2 statuses:
1. Status1: Saved (final and to be used for issuing ita)
2. Status2: Updated ( temporary and doesn’t mean anything unless it is saved)

For example,
Status1, says ur CRS is 450
Then u do some updates and application reaches to status 2
Status2 says ur CRS is 475
If draw happens the ur CRS will be considered as 450 and status2 doesn’t mean anything, just revert the changes to move back to status 1 as u got ur ita on basis of status1.
 

Dheana90

Hero Member
Apr 8, 2019
588
719
India
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
6332
@Punitsingh @Dheana90 I look forward for your prediction for pool make up after this draw. So lets get them rolling
Below are my estimation of CRS distribution and cut off score for 3rd Sep draw if it hapens on that date.

After 24th July draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued, the CRS score distribution would have been:

601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-407=3,193)
451-600 = 3,990 (7,183- 3,193)
441-450 =7,711


August 2, 2019 CRS distribution score range
601-1,200= 474
451-600= 6,821
441-450= 7,821

It means, in 9 days from 24th July to 2nd Aug, there were:

601-1,200 = 52profile/day (474/9)
451-600 =314prof/day(6,821-3,990=2,831/9)
441-450 =20prof/day (7,821-7,711=263/13)


So, by 12th August, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 =994 (474+520 (52x10days)
451-600 =9,961(6,821+3140(314x10days))
441-450 = 8,021(7,821+ 200(20x10days))


After 12th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 466, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-994=2,606)
451-600 = 4,215 (6,821- 2,606)
441-450 =8,021

Note: As cut off was 466, it means that the 4,215 left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-466 only.

August 15, 2019 CRS score range
601-1,200 =127
451-600 =7,038
441-450 =8,084

It means, in 3 days from 12th Aug to 15th Aug, there were:

601-1,200 = 42profile/day (127/3)
451-600 =941prof/day(7,038-4,215=2,813/3)
441-450 =21prof/day (8,084-8,021=63/3)

As 941 profile per day is too high in range of 451-600, I will use previous 314 profile/day instead to calculate the profile added after 15 Aug to 20 Aug



So, by 20th August, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 =337 (127+210(42x5days)
451-600 =8,608(7,038+1,570(314x5days))
441-450 = 8,189(8,084+ 105(21x5days))

After 20th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 457, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-337=3,263)
451-600 = 5,345(8,608-3,263)
441-450 =8,189

Note: As cut off was 457, it means that the 5,345 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-457 only. Let's assume that 5,345 are distributed equally to 451-457 score range. Thus, it makes 5,345/7=763 profile per score.

So, by 3rd September, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 588 (42x 14days)
451-600 =9,741(5,345+4,396(314x14days))
441-450= 8,189(8,084+ 105(21x5days))

Suppose that from 4,396 newly added profile from 20th August to 3rd Sep, 2,198(50% of 4,396) are of score 458-600 and the other half are of 451-457 score range which will be distributed equally through. So, it makes 2,198/7=314 profile per score.


So, if CIC still gonna issue 3,600 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 455-457
3,600 minus:
588(601-1200)
2,198 (of 4,396 from 458-600 score range)
763(of 5,345 in 457score left on 20 Aug)
51(of 314 in 457 score added after 20 Aug)


with 3,900 ITA, the cut of score will be aporoximately 454-456.

3,900 minus:
588(601-1200)
2,198 (of 4,396 from 458-600 score range)
763(of 5,345 in 457score left on 20 Aug)
314(of 314 in 457 score added after 20 Aug)
37(of 763 in 456score left on 20 Aug)
 
Last edited:

navinball

Champion Member
Feb 26, 2018
2,866
1,071
Guys, got MEP & BIL request today. Here is my updated EE timeline:

ITA - 24th July
AOR - 29th July
MEP BIL received - Aug 22
PNP Outland (Ontario Nominated)
Post your status in AOR threads. Don't spam here. You still got a long way to go. At least 10 more months
 

Jatinder_singh

Star Member
Aug 1, 2019
120
3
Finally.... Congratulations to all. .. Sply 457-459 ppl...we all have tolerated a lot. .. Sply @Punitsingh @Kenneth89 @chirkut and others whome I may have missed out.. .just enjoy this long awaited day. .. I just missed due to tie breaker but no sad feeling I guess next draw is for me. . Keep in touch for future discussion n may be for party one day in Canada.. . .Also thnks to experienced folks @NikSharma01 @13nitinsharma n few more . ..to be honest can't remember names. ..
What would be the expected date of next draw and any guess for CRS score
 

Jatinder_singh

Star Member
Aug 1, 2019
120
3
yeah if there are no long gaps between the draws then for sure lets just say for the rest of the year every draw happened after 2 weeks so for sure and if they increase the no. of ITAs then u might receive yours really soon hope this helps you and all the best
Thks for providing me insights....is there any possibility about the next draw in Aug or it will be declared in September
 

Vaibhav_1989

Star Member
May 6, 2019
106
30
New Delhi
NOC Code......
1114
CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA (updated on August 20th 12:20 pm UTC):-
  • 460+ (Total 0):
  • 455-460 (Total 40) – | Milanarora: 457 | Thumper : 457 | #EEC: 457 | Priyasehgal22: 457 | sahils123: 457 | Hope457: 457 | vinoth388: 457 | y996: 457 | cromaine: 457 | Twindream: 457 | yg96: 457 | Dee1729: 457 | Angel1113: 456| cino86: 456 | Gsaggy: 456 | PrasadK: 456 | Silverwitch: 456 | tharibak: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | missusd:456 | Akshay10: 456 | Ishakharub: 456 | blessedveev: 456 | Maya53: 456 | Mitya-kun:456 | Eqbal: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | yigitsk: 455 | merlz: 455 | Manish Patel: 455 | Dream Come-True: 455 | Harsha009: 455 | ruha: 455 | dreamcanada0224: 455 | Khushi dhanoa: 455 |
  • 454-450 (Total 49) - nadal87: 454 | abdulkhadar.moh: 454 | chirag171987: 454 | SG1507: 454 | Mspa: 454 | SASH8288: 454 | thatguy1: 454 | ArsheyaBegum: 454 | itas: 454 | aun_syed: 454 | strawy96: 453 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | vivosvoco: 453 | jricardobt: 453 | guyshir: 453 | lignumvitae: 453 | jp3189n : 453 | Tivativalu: 452 | daughty: 452 | Suhasrs: 452 | drrakeshdent: 452 | Catnat: 451 | Woqi114: 451 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | captainUT: 451 | Sharath957: 451 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450 | Ranjitrip: 450 | Hasrat123: 450 | JamesKang: 450 | AtitudeAdjustment: 450 | deepika450: 450 |
  • 445-449 (Total 62) - Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 | nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | ssimmigration19: 449 | os32: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | Dewdrops1502: 448 | adil_0262: 448 | Shanky1202: 448 | Aartavsharma: 448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | CananEE123: 446 | prince_lords:445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | IeltsDream2019: 445
  • 441-444 (Total 41)- Shaanoh: 444 | NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | nns14: 444 | Rohanisha: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| Lena32: 443 | CanucksRajiv : 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | tonyzz: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | Sony K Koshy: 441 | WantToImmigrate: 441 | os32: 441
  • 435-440 (Total 17) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Hemilshah80: 435
  • Below 435 (Total 6) - Life79: 432 | kumsa83: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421
Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list. Also, if anybody with 457 recieved ITA who I didn't remove from the list please let me know.
Wow Good work! keep it up!!
Just add my CRS 465
 
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Reactions: Angel1113

hamhk202

Full Member
Apr 29, 2018
42
17
Below are my estimation of CRS distribution and cut off score for 3rd Sep draw if it hapens on that date.

After 24th July draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued, the CRS score distribution would have been:

601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-407=3,193)
451-600 = 3,990 (7,183- 3,193)
441-450 =7,711


August 2, 2019 CRS distribution score range
601-1,200= 474
451-600= 6,821
441-450= 7,821

It means, in 9 days from 24th July to 2nd Aug, there were:

601-1,200 = 52profile/day (474/9)
451-600 =314prof/day(6,821-3,990=2,831/9)
441-450 =20prof/day (7,821-7,711=263/13)


So, by 12th August, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 =994 (474+520 (52x10days)
451-600 =9,961(6,821+3140(314x10days))
441-450 = 8,021(7,821+ 200(20x10days))


After 12th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 466, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-994=2,606)
451-600 = 4,215 (6,821- 2,606)
441-450 =8,021

Note: As cut off was 466, it means that the 4,215 left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-466 only.

August 15, 2019 CRS score range
601-1,200 =127
451-600 =7,038
441-450 =8,084

It means, in 3 days from 12th Aug to 15th Aug, there were:

601-1,200 = 42profile/day (127/3)
451-600 =941prof/day(7,038-4,215=2,813/3)
441-450 =21prof/day (8,084-8,021=63/3)

As 941 profile per day is too high in range of 451-600, I will use previous 314 profile/day instead to calculate the profile added after 15 Aug to 20 Aug



So, by 20th August, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 =337 (127+210(42x5days)
451-600 =8,608(7,038+1,570(314x5days))
441-450 = 8,189(8,084+ 105(21x5days))

After 20th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 457, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-337=3,263)
451-600 = 5,345(8,608-3,263)
441-450 =8,189

Note: As cut off was 457, it means that the 5,345 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-457 only. Let's assume that 5,345 are distributed equally to 451-457 score range. Thus, it makes 5,345/7=763 profile per score.

So, by 3rd September, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 588 (42x 14days)
451-600 =9,741(5,345+4,396(314x14days))
441-450= 8,189(8,084+ 105(21x5days))

Suppose that from 4,396 newly added profile from 20th August to 3rd Sep, 2,198(50% of 4,396) are of score 458-600 and the other half are of 451-457 score range which will be distributed equally through. So, it makes 2,198/7=314 profile per score.


So, if CIC still gonna issue 3,600 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 455-457
3,600 minus:
588(601-1200)
2,198 (of 4,396 from 458-600 score range)
763(of 5,345 in 457score left on 20 Aug)
51(of 314 in 457 score added after 20 Aug)


with 3,900 ITA, the cut of score will be aporoximately 454-456.

3,900 minus:
588(601-1200)
2,198 (of 4,396 from 458-600 score range)
763(of 5,345 in 457score left on 20 Aug)
314(of 314 in 457 score added after 20 Aug)
37(of 763 in 456score left on 20 Aug)
Wow what a promising calculation, thank you bro