Ray of Hope - 121st Draw

[Manish Patel]

Hi All,

My score is 453, any chance of receiving ITA by August end because I am loosing 5 points in September.

I am super worried !!!

Thank You for your inputs !!!

 

[Yqing237]

Hi All,

My score is 453, any chance of receiving ITA by August end because I am loosing 5 points in September.

I am super worried !!!

Thank You for your inputs !!!

453 here too. Honestly I don’t think it is likely unless there is a back to back draw. Perhaps you can get a higher ielts ASAP before ur 30th birthday.

 

[Manish Patel]

453 here too. Honestly I don’t think it is likely unless there is a back to back draw. Perhaps you can get a higher ielts ASAP before ur 30th birthday.

I have already tried but score is not improving above 8/7.5/7/7.

I think for me the final score will be 448 if I don’t receive ITA by August.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Dude, for ITAs 3500 .. u have mentioned crs score range as 459 - 461 .. this should be 458 right?

No. All the numbers are correctly predicted.

 

[ContactFront]

I have a CRS if 464 putting me at two marks above today’s cut off of 462. I submitted on June 4. I have been advised on the platform to wait for 24hours for an update. However, I previously submitted and withdrew a profile which scored 439 before I submitted the new one for 464 on June 4. Can that affect my chances at getting the ITA

Your old profile is irrelevant. You'll get invite.

 

[simranj72]

No. All the numbers are correctly predicted.

Please add me in your list. 474 points

 

[Kenneth89]

No. All the numbers are correctly predicted.

Any hope for 458 In July?

 

[allencc1989]

Hey guys,
I just quite doubt if IRCC will stick to their annual plan of the # accepted through EE this year or they just abandon their original goal. Since until June 26th this year, they have only issued 41800 ITAs so far. In 2018, they issued 89800 ITAs in total, even if the total # of ITAs they will issue keeps the same, the remained # of #ITAs will be 48000 in the 2nd half of this year. If there are 12 more draws in the next 6 months this year, an average of 4000 ITAs will be issued in each draw in the next months, yet we haven't observed any sign of intention by IRCC to increase the draw size. Not mention the scenario that the total # of ITAs will be increased this year which will boost the average # of ITAs in each term to 4000+.

So I just wonder if they have changed their plan or do I misunderstood something.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Any hope for 458 In July?

Yes. You can expect your turn on July 24.

 

[Yqing237]

I have already tried but score is not improving above 8/7.5/7/7.

I think for me the final score will be 448 if I don’t receive ITA by August.

I took it only once, 8.5/7.5/8/8. Just need 2 more years of experience to boost my scores. God knows what will happen in 2 yrs.

 

[ajangbar001]

I missed the draw by 1 point. Hopefully I will get the ITA soon.

 

[armaanwadhwa]

Hey guys,
I just quite doubt if IRCC will stick to their annual plan of the # accepted through EE this year or they just abandon their original goal. Since until June 26th this year, they have only issued 41800 ITAs so far. In 2018, they issued 89800 ITAs in total, even if the total # of ITAs they will issue keeps the same, the remained # of #ITAs will be 48000 in the 2nd half of this year. If there are 12 more draws in the next 6 months this year, an average of 4000 ITAs will be issued in each draw in the next months, yet we haven't observed any sign of intention by IRCC to increase the draw size. Not mention the scenario that the total # of ITAs will be increased this year which will boost the average # of ITAs in each term to 4000+.

So I just wonder if they have changed their plan or do I misunderstood something.

I'd like to understand this as well. Anyone?

 

[NikSharma01]

The current inflow of applicants into the pool is as below:

On June 21 (5 days advance data)
5980+285=6265

After the draw 3350 files out of these got cleared, reducing the figures as 6265-3350=2915

It means 2915/9=323.889 Profiles got added in 9 days.

Now, the data as of 26 June (let's add missing record of files from June 22-26):
That means 323*5=1615 Got added in 5 days making the sum as 6265+1615=7885.

So, Total number of applications today before the draw were 7885,
and after the draw almost all of the 462+ profiles have got the ITAs. Hence, the remaining applications into the system are in the range of 451-462 as 2915+1615=4530

Now, its difficult to classify these profiles as per the CRS distribution without knowing the exact figures. Also, taking the tie-breaking rule into consideration this figure might be slightly variable.

Correct me if I've missed something.!!

Edit: If this trend of 323 continues then the number of applications entering into the pool till 10 july will rise to 323*14=4522

So, the total number of applications for 10 July draw will be 4530+4522=9052

Which is way too much!!!!

 

[armaanwadhwa]

Today’s draw brings the number of invitations issued in 2019 to 41,800.

This puts the current year 2,100 ITAs ahead of IRCC’s 2018 pace.

Last year saw IRCC issue a record 89,800 ITAs, a number it could surpass this year given Canada’s higher admissions targets for both 2019 and 2020.

Yet I fail to understand why in the worst case scenario they won't issue the same number of ITAs as last year??

Strong feeling that sooner or later they just have to conduct B2B draws and/or 4000+ ITAs.

Thoughts?

 

[Priyasehgal22]

Hi , I am at 457 Ielts overall 7 - R6 W6 S7 L8
And could have a chance to increase my score by giving ielts exam.
But if I appear for ielts exam on July 6 the result would be out on 19 July.
Which means that result would be applicable on July 24 draw.
Should I appear for Ielts again?
Or crs would be down by then? As increasing number of file between 451-460 are increasing enormously.
If I appear for Ielts will cost me $315 + day off and stress.

I have asked for opinion earlier also.
Your guidance is always welcome.

Thanks in advance.