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Ray of Hope - 119th Draw

sarak1812

Hero Member
May 21, 2019
298
65
Instead of stopping people from sharing their views you should ask logical explanation
Request u guys, let everyone speak their mind, and exchange thoughts
Diversity of thoughts is the key pillar of any forum
He made a prediction of 470-472 which is confusing me and making me more nervous . If he is saying something realistic i would have never commented on his post .
 

johanex

Star Member
Sep 7, 2017
78
12
Category........
FSW
App. Filed.......
29-06-2019
Tres bien, votre TEF scores sont incroyable. Are you a native speaker or did u prepare for TEF with some french backgrounf?
It is my second language, I prepared for TEF 1 day before the exam. much easier than IELTS
 

johanex

Star Member
Sep 7, 2017
78
12
Category........
FSW
App. Filed.......
29-06-2019
Your prediction for 3350 is true if there are equal Candidates from 451-470
If density in 451-460 is higher than that of 461-470, then cutoff will be much lower
What's the worst case scenario, how much high it could go ?
 

yigitsk

Full Member
Apr 23, 2019
26
8
CURRENT INTERNAL CRS TRACKER STATUS

(Updated till 1:00 PM IST today)
CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA:

  • 460+ (Total 20) - kevwe91: 493 | vgm10689: 470 | ryeCatcher: 470 | KayPi: 468 | ravinder_singh:468 | johanex: 468 | FromFebruary: 467 | sr.nadar: 467 | mahmod2020: 465 | Ontario@Canada: 463 | Jabya: 463 | aartivig289: 463 | ashwin863: 462 | huesso: 462 | Mr_fabrizio: 462 | sudhach91: 462 | ajangbar001: 461 | meet0708: 461 | parth7d: 461 | Yukti2406: 461
  • 455-460 (Total 21) – DreamITA: 460 | Punitsingh: 459 | nadal87: 459 | MuibKhan: 458 | chirkut: 458 | Kenneth89: 458 | #EEC: 457 | sarak1812: 457 | Priyasehgal22: 457 | sahils123: 457 | tharibak: 456 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Jasmine1998: 456 | brick8899: 456 | Angel1113: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | Nsidhu: 455 | Folaroyal: 455
  • 450-454 (Total 29) - chirag171987: 454 | atuls: 454 | SG1507: 454 | Sindhuja Karthikeyan: 453 | madhav_91: 453 | vivosvoco: 453 | Teenz: 453 | Suhasrs: 452 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | praveen22: 451 | captainUT: 451 | tonydlaw24: 451 | 13nitinsharma: 450 | kalex123: 450 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450 | kuljeetklf: 450
  • 445-449 (Total 62) - Shaanoh: 449 | Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 |nitinkalra07: 449 | Sreedev83: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | Tivativalu: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | NMS@: 448 | panchalch2: 448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | Ranjitrip: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | LKRYA: 447 | sehgaljps: 447 | Stakesarehigh28: 447 | ExpressMan: 447 | Not_Your_Donkey_Kong: 446 | Rafahul: 446 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | SASH8288: 446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | epema.kz: 446 | prince_lords:445 | Uchyann: 445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | Yiss: 445 | IeltsDream2019: 445 | MarvelousMitz: 445
  • 441-444 (Total 36) - NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | nns14: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| Lena32: 443 | aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Dirup: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441 | Priya85: 441 | hardeepSingh: 441 | Sony K Koshy: 441
  • 435-440 (Total 16) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | rovar473: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Vive: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435
  • Below 435 (Total 5) - Life79: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421
Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.
Please add me crs: 455
 

Not_Your_Donkey_Kong

Hero Member
Apr 19, 2019
306
323
25
Category........
FSW
Nothing much can be expected from Wednesday's draw if it happens.

I'm sure the 470 plus scores might have crossed at least 4000 already since the previous draw.

Everyone is optimistic that it would be mid 460's but I think this time its gonna hit all-time high...470-472.

Until the end of July where I predict there would be regular B2B draw's, nothing can be predicted other than to wait. let's get prepared mentally for 460 plus scores all through July-august.At least it would result in less panic and anxiety.
The trends observed in the previous months don't tally with this. What you are saying is that more than 4000 applicants have come up with 470+ in only 15 days. That's absurd. If this was the rate of 470+ applicants, the cut off would never have fallen below 470.

Think about it, and think about how illogical is your opinion.

The recent anomaly has arisen only on account of the three week gap between the draws during May. Given a couple more regular draws, it will stabilise at lower 450's on its own (even if there is no b2b draw or increase in ITA's.)
 
Last edited:

Kenneth89

Hero Member
Jun 1, 2019
405
192
The trend observed in the previous months don't tally with this. What you are saying is that more than 4000 applicants have come up with 470+ in only 15 days. That's absurd. If this was the rate of 470+ applicants, the cut off would never have fallen below 470.

Think about it, and think about how illogical is your opinion.

The recent anomaly has arisen only on account of the three week gap between the draws during May. Given a couple more regular draws, it will stabilise at lower 450's on its own (even if there is no b2b draw or increase in ITA's.)[/QUOTE








Very true