Ray of hope 108th

[catalyst441]

Seems like no draw today.

 

[SeniorStakes]

One of my friends pinged. He said the draw isn’t happening today. Is this true? I expected it today.

Does he works in CIC?

 

[rng0]

Does he works in CIC?

No. But he is generally right about stuff. I just don’t know whether he is trolling me so I asked here.

 

[abhishek_89]

It won't be wise on their part to stretch the gap beyond three weeks. What was the longest gap so far in the history???

They would have anyway planned two draws in Jan so sooner the better.

We had a 5 week gap draw in May 2015 (don't know the reason) and a 4 week gap draw in Jun 2017 (reason-change in the CRS point system).

 

[cadiee]

No draw.. wait for Monday.

 

[saltedwound]

The first draw in 2018 happened on Jan 10. But it was a Wednesday.

May be in the new year, they are changing the day at which draw happens. I do not know. It has been too long.

 

[Dreamer94]

Will the draw happen or is it too late.

 

[raysflavor]

Will the draw happen or is it too late.

Its gonna happen.
patience

 

[alongroad]

Its 5:40 UTC. I guess it's too late

 

[saif_jlt]

Any changes to the scoring ? I read some place that some people in their 450s received emails on Jan 1 st saying they are no longer eligible. Could be coz of the amount they entered in How much miner in CAD will they be bringing along.

Could that be linked to this delay ?

Wild one I know ..

 

[thaitran26291]

Will the draw happen or is it too late.

No. I dont think so. CIC staff is absolutely still in the office. It is 12:39PM and a lunch break now. Till 5PM is a business hour.

It is a first draw of the new year. Give them some time

 

[abhishek_89]

Any changes to the scoring ? I read some place that some people in their 450s received emails on Jan 1 st saying they are no longer eligible. Could be coz of the amount they entered in How much miner in CAD will they be bringing along.

Could that be linked to this delay ?

Wild one I know ..

Could be the reason, as they have not yet updated the new fund requirements for 2019 in their official site.

Anyone knows when it got updated last year?

 

[abhishek_89]

Could be the reason, as they have not yet updated the new fund requirements for 2019 in their official site.

Anyone knows when it got updated last year?

I just got some info on last year's update to the fund requirements. It happened on Jan 5th, 2018 before the 1st draw of the year. So, maybe we would have to wait for that to be updated before we have a draw.

https://www.cicnews.com/2018/01/settlement-funds-can-make-or-break-your-application-for-permanent-residence-0110065.html

https://www.canadavisa.com/news/canada-introduces-slight-increase-to-settlement-funds-required-for-skilled-immigration.html

 

[Puka]

Theory by myself

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of December 14, 2018
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 132
451-600 282
401-450 31,898
441-450 1,544
431-440 9,499
421-430 6,435
411-420 6,922
401-410 7,498
351-400 38,166
391-400 6,997
381-390 7,993
371-380 7,961
361-370 7,738
351-360 7,477
301-350 21,946
0-300 3,300
Total 95,724


I have read that in 2019, IRCC were planning to uncrease the number of ITA around the year ( though they mentionned that it will be increasing over the year) it will jump from 3900 to 4150/4400 by the end of 2019

Given the number of candidates in the 14th pool, people above 450 were 414.
I wonder if the draw is based on the numbers of invitations or point based
If on number of people required i believe that the cut off will be cut
If the draw is based on a point system, i believe that the number will be cut, considering the gap between 19 December till today

 

[saif_jlt]

I just got some info on last year's update to the fund requirements. It happened on Jan 5th, 2018 before the 1st draw of the year. So, maybe we would have to wait for that to be updated before we have a draw.

https://www.cicnews.com/2018/01/settlement-funds-can-make-or-break-your-application-for-permanent-residence-0110065.html

https://www.canadavisa.com/news/canada-introduces-slight-increase-to-settlement-funds-required-for-skilled-immigration.html

And this hasn’t been updated for the current year yet ??