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Ray of Hope - 107th Draw

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
this time I miss out on tie-break (profile submitted in october).ıs there any chance to see 439 for the January draw

Congrats all received ITA todays draw.
Jan 3rd draw is your best bet. If they delay that, then it is bad news.
 

Aksobti

Star Member
Sep 4, 2018
112
21
Hello everyone
I am at 441. So will I receive an email or I need to log in the account and check for the ITA. PLease confirm
And congrats for everyone who made it this time
 
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TAShakur

Member
Dec 18, 2018
16
18
I am so relieved! Couldn't believe it when i saw 439. I can't wait to receive the ITA email. I understand it can take up to 24 hours but can it come earlier? I need to know, please.
 
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samikdg

Hero Member
Apr 27, 2018
550
397
Predictions:

Draw 108 - Jan 2 - 3900 ITAs - CRS 439

Variance is +/- 2.

OR


Draw 108 - Jan 9 - 3900 ITAs - CRS 450

Variance is +/- 3.
Is your calculation actually giving out a cut-off of 439 with a 14-day draw next? I thought currently the pool intake rate is about 280/day above 440. That would mean about 3900 profiles entering by 2nd Jan above 440. So, cut-off should be 441 or at least 440, isn't it? I missed out on 439 at tie-breaker today, and seriously gave up hope in near future with regular 2 week draws. But I have more faith on your prediction above everything else on this forum :)
 
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abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Hi all
Can anyone pls explain Abt tie break rule 6th February.. ..thanks in advance
CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited: 439
Tie-breaking rule: February 6, 2018 at 19:31:37 UTC

1) Everybody with CRS 440 and above gets an ITA irrespective of their profile creation date.
2) Everybody with CRS 438 and below miss out on an ITA.
3) Those with CRS 439:-
a) Get an ITA if they created their profile on or before February 6, 2018 at 19:31:37 UTC
b) Miss out on an ITA if they created their profile after February 6, 2018 at 19:31:37 UTC