Let's Count How Many Are There in 430+ CRS Range

[Neel0526]

Guys, please join whoever has 435+ CRS. It will help us projecting future draws by helping each other.

My CRS is 436.

If someone can create a spreadsheet for this, then it would be a great help.

 

[Philigran]

I score 437 but I haven't launched my application yet..so I will follow this thread, for sure. Good luck to everybody.

 

[rafzy]

447

 

[jaysingh10]

442

 

[Aragorn165]

441

 

[KetkiN]

436

 

[gregrdyer]

I am at 440.

I am hoping that there is a draw this Friday.

I am speculating that if there is no draw this week and that this month has only 2 draws then we could expect scores in the range of 447 - 470. Additionally, if October has only 2 draws then we could also expect more than 2 draws for November and December. The more draws there are in a month, the less time there would be between draws for new applicants to enter the pool, which mean that scores could fall as low as 435.

I am also speculating that because of the Christmas holidays, CIC may not want any draws after December 18th (several staff members might be spending time with their families). Which would mean less time period for the draws to take place. This could be very beneficial for us with scores between 435 - 450.

 

[Neel0526]

I am at 440.

I am hoping that there is a draw this Friday.

I am speculating that if there is no draw this week and that this month has only 2 draws then we could expect scores in the range of 447 - 470. Additionally, if October has only 2 draws then we could also expect more than 2 draws for November and December. The more draws there are in a month, the less time there would be between draws for new applicants to enter the pool, which mean that scores could fall as low as 435.

I am also speculating that because of the Christmas holidays, CIC may not want any draws after December 18th (several staff members might be spending time with their families). Which would mean less time period for the draws to take place. This could be very beneficial for us with scores between 435 - 450.

Agreed. +1 for you.

 

[gregrdyer]

Guys, please join whoever has 435+ CRS. It will help us projecting future draws by helping each other.

My CRS is 436.

If someone can create a spreadsheet for this, then it would be a great help.

I have an Excel Spreadsheet. The data so far looks something like the following:
==================================================================
DRAW# DATE CRS ITA CRS Difference ± ITA Difference ±
==================================================================
1 31-Jan 886 779 0 0
2 7-Feb 818 779 -68 0
3 20-Feb 808 849 -10 70
4 27-Feb 735 1187 -73 338
5 20-Mar 481 1620 -254 433
6 27-Mar 453 1637 -28 17
7 10-Apr 469 925 16 -712
8 17-Apr 453 715 -16 -210
9 22-May 755 1361 302 646
10 12-Jun 482 1501 -273 40
11 26-Jun 469 1575 -13 74
12 10-Jul 463 1516 -6 -59
13 17-Jul 451 1581 -12 65
14 7-Aug 471 1402 20 -179
15 21-Aug 456 1523 -15 121
16 8-Sep 459 1517 3 -6
17 18-Sep 450 1545 -9 28
18 2-Oct 450 1530 0 -15

TOTAL ITAs = 23,542
Avg. ITAs/month = 1308
Avg. CRS = 556
Avg. Draws/month = 2

 

[gregrdyer]

Okay....so based on the previous info I posted (which is really a dump of an Excel file I created to track the Express Entry info), I have calculated the average days between draws so far which is no surprise....14 days or 2 weeks.

I went a bit further and used MS Excel's "TREND FORMULA" to have an idea of where scores could go by the end of the year as well as number of ITAs issued and the next draw date. PLEASE NOTE this is Excel that is generating this data, so it is a purely computer generated forecasting. IT COULD BE VERY WRONG, BUT THE DATA IS JUST INTERESTING (well at least to me).

Based on all the data, Excel forecasts the next date for Express Entry Draw as 19th October (I know this is election day) so perhaps the 16th might be the better bet. Regarding ITAs being issued, MS Excel shows that it could go up to as much as 1700 ITAs being issued in a draw. It also shows that CRS could reach as low as 351.

 

[ntwkengg]

Okay....so based on the previous info I posted (which is really a dump of an Excel file I created to track the Express Entry info), I have calculated the average days between draws so far which is no surprise....14 days or 2 weeks.

I went a bit further and used MS Excel's "TREND FORMULA" to have an idea of where scores could go by the end of the year as well as number of ITAs issued and the next draw date. PLEASE NOTE this is Excel that is generating this data, so it is a purely computer generated forecasting. IT COULD BE VERY WRONG, BUT THE DATA IS JUST INTERESTING (well at least to me).

Based on all the data, Excel forecasts the next date for Express Entry Draw as 19th October (I know this is election day) so perhaps the 16th might be the better bet. Regarding ITAs being issued, MS Excel shows that it could go up to as much as 1700 ITAs being issued in a draw. It also shows that CRS could reach as low as 351.

look please dont feel your hopes to reach crs at such low levels. as this is impossible as per present trends be realistic.

every 2 weeks many new people gets added. also people try to improve their score. and one more thing lots people gets lmia and pnp every week....

so try to improve your score above 450 or atleast above 440 it will give you some hope....

and be positive always... everyone deserving will get their shot for sure.... but it will take long time as still EE is new so they are experimenting.....

 

[gregrdyer]

look please dont feel your hopes to reach crs at such low levels. as this is impossible as per present trends be realistic.

every 2 weeks many new people gets added. also people try to improve their score. and one more thing lots people gets lmia and pnp every week....

so try to improve your score above 450 or atleast above 440 it will give you some hope....

and be positive always... everyone deserving will get their shot for sure.... but it will take long time as still EE is new so they are experimenting.....

My score is at 440. My previous post just simply shows how a computer would predict what is to come. It is by no means what will occur. The computer forecasting also took into consideration people with score improvements and profile creations between draws.

 

[ntwkengg]

My score is at 440. My previous post just simply shows how a computer would predict what is to come. It is by no means what will occur. The computer forecasting also took into consideration people with score improvements and profile creations between draws.

great... 440 has a good chance... but dont why they are not going below 450.... some kind of benchmark for them.....
lets see how it goes from next draw.....

i faced same long wait when i was on 411 for 5 months.... its very painful

 

[Neel0526]

has anyone received PT invite from Ontario in October for NOC 2171?

 

[shashidhar_sm]

has anyone received PT invite from Ontario in October for NOC 2171?

Same question here guys. Please respond.