Hello everyone..
Today I came across this interesting Statistics Canada page. The headline is: Canada's population decreases from July 1 to October 1, 2025.
This is the link: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251217/dq251217b-eng.htm
Preliminary demographic estimates indicate that Canada's population decreased by 76,068 people (-0.2%) over the third quarter of 2025, standing at 41,575,585 on October 1, 2025.
Non-permanent residents have the largest impact on population change
Preliminary estimates show that the reduction in the number of non-permanent residents in Canada (-176,479) in the third quarter of 2025 was the primary reason for the decrease in Canada's population over this period.
This drop in non-permanent residents surpassed the decreases in the second (-58,719) and first (-55,194) quarters of 2025 and was the largest since comparable records began (the third quarter of 1971).
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I had read somewhere a statement by the ex-immigration minister that 60% of new permanent residents would be from inside Canada (changing from non-permanent status to PR). It is reasonable to expect that a major part of this reduction in non-permanent residents is simply attributable to this reason.
In addition, nothing in this page suggests that this drop in non-permanent residents was because of non-residents leaving Canada. Rather it suggest that these non-permanent residents are simply losing their status (study/work permit) while still remaining in Canada.
In this context, I don't know if there are any statistics about how many people are there in Canada without a status (expired study / work permits, failed refugee claimants, overstaying visitors, etc.)?
According to this page, the number of those under the refugee classifications (In-Canada refugee claimants/ protected persons/ failed refugee claimants/ and their families) stands now at 504,000. Of this, there are almost 300,000 refugee claimants whose refugee claims are still pending determination by IRB. This leaves almost 200,000 as protected persons and failed refugee claimants. As per IRCC's estimated processing times page, there are approximately 145,000 protected persons. This means that there are at least 55,000 failed refugee claimants out of these 200,000.
In Q3 of 2021, there was 168,000 under the refugee category compared to 504,000 as of Q4 2025.
This is a link to the table of non-permanent residents:
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710012101
Today I came across this interesting Statistics Canada page. The headline is: Canada's population decreases from July 1 to October 1, 2025.
This is the link: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/251217/dq251217b-eng.htm
Preliminary demographic estimates indicate that Canada's population decreased by 76,068 people (-0.2%) over the third quarter of 2025, standing at 41,575,585 on October 1, 2025.
Non-permanent residents have the largest impact on population change
Preliminary estimates show that the reduction in the number of non-permanent residents in Canada (-176,479) in the third quarter of 2025 was the primary reason for the decrease in Canada's population over this period.
This drop in non-permanent residents surpassed the decreases in the second (-58,719) and first (-55,194) quarters of 2025 and was the largest since comparable records began (the third quarter of 1971).
----------------------------------
I had read somewhere a statement by the ex-immigration minister that 60% of new permanent residents would be from inside Canada (changing from non-permanent status to PR). It is reasonable to expect that a major part of this reduction in non-permanent residents is simply attributable to this reason.
In addition, nothing in this page suggests that this drop in non-permanent residents was because of non-residents leaving Canada. Rather it suggest that these non-permanent residents are simply losing their status (study/work permit) while still remaining in Canada.
In this context, I don't know if there are any statistics about how many people are there in Canada without a status (expired study / work permits, failed refugee claimants, overstaying visitors, etc.)?
According to this page, the number of those under the refugee classifications (In-Canada refugee claimants/ protected persons/ failed refugee claimants/ and their families) stands now at 504,000. Of this, there are almost 300,000 refugee claimants whose refugee claims are still pending determination by IRB. This leaves almost 200,000 as protected persons and failed refugee claimants. As per IRCC's estimated processing times page, there are approximately 145,000 protected persons. This means that there are at least 55,000 failed refugee claimants out of these 200,000.
In Q3 of 2021, there was 168,000 under the refugee category compared to 504,000 as of Q4 2025.
This is a link to the table of non-permanent residents:
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710012101
