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Analysis of Current applications in the pool & New applications in 2 weeks

cul10004

Newbie
May 18, 2016
6
1
Hi, I got ppr a few days ago. :D I got lots of help from this forum. So, I wanted to help you guys as well. Hope this help you...

I tried to to calculate the current applications(CRS 450 ~ 470) in the pool from the Express Entry Year-End Report 2015.

I also tried to clarify how many applications are getting in the pool every two weeks.
(But, as you know, there will be change from Nov 19. Therefore, this analysis can be somewhat different from the pool after Nov. 19. However, I hope you guys can get some idea what will happen in the future)

Oops.. I cannot add images... :'( (please let me know if you know how to insert images...)

So, I will just explain the summary

1.

ITA(total 31063)

pnp: 13% (ITA 4105)
FSW+FST+CEC (with LMIA): 47%(ITA 14532 )
FSW+FST+CEC (without LMIA): 40% (ITA 12425 )

-> Most ITAs with LMIA(47%) will be assigned to the applications without LMIA. Therefore, CRS will be dropped as all of us knows.

2. New applications above CRS 450

I calculated 3 set of 2 adjacent draws to figure out how many applications are getting in the pool in 2 weeks.

Round Date CRS
17 Sept. 18 450
18 Oct 2 450

22 Dec 4 461
23 Dec 18 460

13 Jul 17 451
14 Aug 7 471

After calculating the applications without LMIA, I got these numbers.

CRS "New application in 2 weeks(without LMIA)"
450 ~ 460 Approx. 200 ~ 240
460 ~ 470 Approx. 180 ~ 230
471 ~ 600 Approx. 250 ~ 290

Therefore, total 630 ~ 760 applications are getting in the pool every 2 weeks.


3. The recent draw around 450 in 2016 was [Draw #28: Feb. 24, 2016].
Therefore, I calculated from Feb 28 to Nov. 16 , which is 38 weeks.

Feb 24 ~ Nov 16 (38 weeks)
CRS applications
450 ~ 460 3800 ~ 4560
460 ~ 470 3420 ~ 4370
450 ~ 470 7220 ~ 8630

I think there are 7000 ~ 9000 applications between 450 and 470.

4. The CRS will be dropping down after 4~6 draws if draws happen every 2 weeks(ITA: 2000 ~ 2500)

In the pool
ITA # Draws FSW+FST+CEC PNP(13%) Total Applications after draws
2500 1 7700 325 8025 5525
2 5525 325 5850 3350
3 3350 325 3675 1175
4 1175 325 1500 -1000
5 -1000 325 -675 -3175

In the pool
ITA # Draws FSW+FST+CEC PNP(13%) Total after draws
2500 1 9700 325 10025 7525
2 7525 325 7850 5350
3 5350 325 5675 3175
4 3175 325 3500 1000
5 1000 325 1325 -1175