number411 said:440 was an example taken to explain the logic. Obviously, it will take more time to hit 430 than 440, and still more for 420. Since the OP spoke about "coming months", I took 440. In the below posts, I've used 430 and even 400, as examples, if that will make you happy!
In this post here, I've mentioned how many people are at each point, taking examples of 440, 430 etc. http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/cic-19th-draw-how-many-450-and-above-still-waiting-t360753.0.html;msg4697291#msg4697291
In this post here, I've said it won't come below 400 for a long long time: http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/my-crs-is-380-any-chance-for-me-t380338.0.html;msg4774526#msg4774526
Further analysis here: http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/19th-draw-what-could-be-the-lowest-score-t354583.0.html;msg4676468#msg4676468
If CIC says scores will come down, then it will. Can you please give me a link where they said that?
Here is the link
http://www.cicnews.com/2015/11/important-updates-express-entry-selection-system-canadian-immigration-116607.html