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10th Draw Fingers Crossed - Hopefully CRS points go below 450

TRUENORTH_4M_C2C

Star Member
May 7, 2015
133
18
Ottawa
mf4361 said:
Actually there is a good pattern that I didn't noticed until now, the draws are all happened in the last two fridays of the month, except for January. So because May 2015 has 5 fridays, there is no draw in 1st, 2nd, 3rd Fridays and did on the 4th. Let's see if there is in the 5th (Today)
Why are you noticing all these patterns exactly during the time of draws???/ :-\

I believe people will receive ITAs within 24 hrs (save for technical glitches)
Is it so? i thought ITAs would be sent immediately at +/- 2hrs UTC 00:00
 

trini_ac

Star Member
Apr 16, 2014
64
12
Your pattern doesn't work. There were three draws in February with one the first week of the month. And in April the two draws were middle of the month. There is no pattern except for the one where cic proves predictions wrong
 

okbangaram

Star Member
Apr 30, 2015
198
46
Because I have no other work.. and to kill time, I did a simple linear regression analysis.

x = draw number and
y = lowest score for the draw

Sample size: 9
Mean x (x̄): 5
Mean y (ȳ): 650.88888888889
Intercept (a): 865.80555555556
Slope (b): -42.983333333333
Regression line equation: y=865.80555555556-42.983333333333x



Draw Score = 865.80555555556-42.983333333333 x (Number of Rounds)

Based on this: If things go normal. We should see: 435.972222222 as the lowest possible score for this round.
 

wifedoctor

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2015
342
15
Category........
NOC Code......
3111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
17-06-2015
AOR Received.
17-06-2015
Med's Done....
02-07-2015
Passport Req..
27-10-2015
okbangaram said:
Because I have no other work.. and to kill time, I did a simple linear regression analysis.

x = draw number and
y = lowest score for the draw

Sample size: 9
Mean x (x̄): 5
Mean y (ȳ): 650.88888888889
Intercept (a): 865.80555555556
Slope (b): -42.983333333333
Regression line equation: y=865.80555555556-42.983333333333x



Draw Score = 865.80555555556-42.983333333333 x (Number of Rounds)

Based on this: If things go normal. We should see: 435.972222222 as the lowest possible score for this round.
Fascinating.

You should be invited solely for you mathematical abilities :))

Although I don't think it is applicable in this instance..
 

wifedoctor

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2015
342
15
Category........
NOC Code......
3111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
17-06-2015
AOR Received.
17-06-2015
Med's Done....
02-07-2015
Passport Req..
27-10-2015
Seriously they should announce the days of the draws, or just say wether or not one would happen on a given firday. This is damaging to my health lol
 

TRUENORTH_4M_C2C

Star Member
May 7, 2015
133
18
Ottawa
It will probably be like one draw per month hereafter i guess...Next draw would be on June 26th with cut off above 700+ crs and 1400+ ITAs:(

Instead of having 2 draws a month and issuing 700+ITAs with crs 450+, CIC can just do 1 draw a month and issue 1400+ITAs with crs 700+..right?

CIC will certainly be benefited by this way..
 

wifedoctor

Hero Member
Apr 26, 2015
342
15
Category........
NOC Code......
3111
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
17-06-2015
AOR Received.
17-06-2015
Med's Done....
02-07-2015
Passport Req..
27-10-2015
TRUENORTH_4M_C2C said:
It will probably be like one draw per month hereafter i guess...Next draw would be on June 26th with cut off above 700+.. :(
I think that's too drastic and pessimistic.. :(
 

TRUENORTH_4M_C2C

Star Member
May 7, 2015
133
18
Ottawa
wifedoctor said:
I think that's too drastic and pessimistic.. :(
Instead of having 2 draws a month and issuing 700+ITAs with crs 450+, CIC can just do 1 draw a month and issue 1400+ITAs with crs 700+..right?

CIC will certainly be benefited by this way..
 

okbangaram

Star Member
Apr 30, 2015
198
46
It will probably be like one draw per month hereafter i guess...Next draw would be on June 26th with cut off above 700+.. Sad
Makes perfect sense! actually :mad: :(

I mean, why would they conduct draws so quickly? What benefit would it give to them. They must have realized that people with good scores (700+) are taking time to enter the pool. If they conduct quick draws then the CRS score must come down which will not be of a benefit to Canada.

So, yeah, they will take as long as it takes to get around 1300 - 1500 number of candidates for ITA who also happen to get good scores(700+). All those who got through earlier rounds with low scores (453+) had everything in order and got rewarded for being proactive. Wish I was a little bit more proactive.

Anyways, I am really done with the whole thing. I am only going to check my email from MyCIC. If I get it then I get it, otherwise, will try for PNP or some other route. Looks like my earlier prediction failed.

All the best guys. Hope you get what your heart desires.
bye.
 

fpaikar

Hero Member
Jul 15, 2013
611
23
Friends my score is 462 and have applied for the FBI PCC on the 14th april and will send second set as well soon.If I get an Itaa in the next draw what documents should I provide to support that we have applied for fbi pcc.Anyone has gor Ita and send the proof please give suggestions.
 

Azoba

Member
Apr 10, 2015
19
0
Hey everybody,


I was just thinking... CIC had publicly stated that it would announce the "round of invitations" before it happened...

"CIC will invite candidates from the Express Entry pool to apply on a regular basis. Every round of invitations will have a set of instructions the electronic system will use to invite candidates from the pool. These instructions will be posted on this website BEFORE each round of invitations.

These instructions will include:

the date and time of the round of invitations,
the number of candidates that will get an ITA, and
if it applies, which specific immigration program(s) will be included."


As found on: (cic*gc*ca/english/express-entry/rounds.asp)

So, since some of us are already in Canada, can't we try to get this info via the "Access to Information Act"? Or stir things up somehow to use the election year to get a more transparent/fair process?

As found on: (cic*gc*ca/english/department/atip/index.asp)

I understand that immigrating to Canada is a privilege, not a right. But I do feel like I have been "played with" (not like that, you perv!!!) and spent a buttload of money lead by an "illusion" of a feasible process for us who are short only of a job offer.

I am sitting at 445 pts.

Anyway, just a thought...
 

duster

Hero Member
Aug 13, 2011
279
58
Canada
Category........
PNP
Visa Office......
CIC Sydney Nova Scotia
Job Offer........
Yes
Doc's Request.
March 22/2019
AOR Received.
May 8/ 2019
Med's Request
Sep 10/2019
Med's Done....
Sep 24/2019
Guys
Low score invitations will start from October-2015 onwards or may be from Jan-2016.The cut off will be standardized at 325 once the previous paperback system backlog is clear. Most of the VO are busy with the piled up paperback cases which were submitted before the commencement of EE. Once the processes are streamlined the score will eventually come down therefore CIC is strict with score and only inviting the people with PNP,CEC Class and having job offers.