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  1. Q

    Chris Alexander out of office

    Based on the last three lines in the section for TFW program it seems like it might get harder for economic migrants?
  2. Q

    19th Draw

    I'm curious to see if a draw happens tomorrow and if so what the cutoff is. Simple plotting based on previous draws would suggest 446 but that seems too low to me. Trying to make use of some of the data from the mid-year report, I think 448 seems like a closer number. Whether it drops below...
  3. Q

    16th EE Draw happened on Tuesday, 8th Sept 2015 : CRS 459, ITA 1517

    I think it is pretty hard to make any read on trends at this point, especially since the post mid-year report draw numbers don't provide the percentage of those above 600, so it is difficult to know how the pool below 600 is changing with each draw. Additionally, there would seem be to be 3...
  4. Q

    16th draw happening tonight - strong intuition

    I would be surprised if they stopped at 15 draws, but there might not be many more though this year. The assertion that draws done now are towards 2016 PR targets seems reasonable to me and that they will continue to some degree. However, while I don't like bringing up negative thoughts, given...
  5. Q

    Canada may be entering recession. How would this affect immigration?

    It depends, some people are claiming the outlook is more positive, see here: www_bbc.com/news/business-34116189 (change first _ to .) If the economy does deteriorate then I would imagine that will be bad for economic immigration.
  6. Q

    16th draw happening tonight - strong intuition

    I can't find anything about 400k backlog is it overall for PR or just skilled workers? This link: www_workpermit_com\news\2013-04-02\canadian-immigration-has-cut-permanent-residence-backlog-by-40-since-2008 seems to indicate that in 2013 it was around 90k for skilled workers with the target of...
  7. Q

    16th draw happening tonight - strong intuition

    Your source link doesn't work. The only thing I can find is: ->www_cic_gc_ca english department media notices 2014-11-06_asp I can't post links yet, you'll have to copypasta with _ to . and ' ' to /
  8. Q

    16 Draw Unite:prediction of draw, Number of Draws . crs 400 +

    The burden of proof of a 450 hard limit is on the people making the claim. There is nothing particularly pertinent about 450 that I can determine, why would they define such an arbitrary cutoff point? I think more that the pool of candidates and their overall immigration goals will determine...
  9. Q

    16 Draw Unite:prediction of draw, Number of Draws . crs 400 +

    Yes, between those dates, the average was 585 profiles above 456 were selected. The point I'm trying to make is how many in that pull had points less than 600, that is no LMIA/job offer or PNP. If we look at the mid-year data, in particular the following pull: 3/27/2015 453 1,637 20%...
  10. Q

    16 Draw Unite:prediction of draw, Number of Draws . crs 400 +

    I don't think the cutoff is going to come down rapidly at all but I think it has the chance to decrease. Here is how I look at based on the mid-year report. From 3/20 to 6/26 there is rough average of 41% of the people being issued ITAs having less than 600 points. If we assume that every...
  11. Q

    16 Draw Unite:prediction of draw, Number of Draws . crs 400 +

    What is with the fun police around here? If you don't like this topic, just avoid the thread. Regardless, I think there is a decent chance at one draw being below 450 before the end of the year ;D