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If they pick 2000 people this time the score could drop to low 530s even with 800 new 501+

How many do you think it will be?

6 days to go until the next one... 530s or 520s please (and 2k+ ITAs)

Even then it looks like there are plenty of 500+ candidates in CEC. It's going to be a long wait for those under 500... CEC or not

Yeah but I haven't received it still. What is it going to be used for? Is it rolling to everybody?

Did they ask this to everyone? Why are they asking? I didnt get this yet wondering whats up

That calculation looks right assuming the draw structures. Now just need to keep hoping that the economy does not nosedive and they pause immigration again (biggest worry at the moment - the recession). This is why it would be in the candidates favour now to get bigger draws.

There have been a lot of 500+ entrants recently. That is making me wonder if they will actually clear 500 or not

What is your prediction for the next 2-3 draws then?

The number of applications in CEC will increase, the question is where do those applications land. Pre pandemic, you still needed 470 or higher to have a chance, sometimes through a fluke maybe 460 could work but rarely below that. If the score stabilizes now, perhaps it will stability higher...

I'm just wondering how the pool will change for 500+. If more and more candidates enter with 520+ then we all know how it will end... Looking at https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/express-entry/submit-profile/rounds-invitations.html 1750 were...

Right now, I think even <= 530 is going to face stiff competition (because of the number of files being added) let alone 500 or 490...

Any predictions for score in the next draw? I'm thinking maybe 535 (hopefully not higher)

Not disagreeing there, in normal times we were the best candidates now they have many PNP and FSW people. I personally know people who are moving from US (non US citizens) to Canada as FSW with over 550 score just because of their background, leaves us CEC people in the dust. Regardless it is...

I don't think its that. It is that there are a lot more young (Canadian or non Canadian) educated tax payers with more experience, better English, better French, skills higher in demand. That seems to be why there is this mishap. Maybe there are people from Harvard applying here or something...

I hope we all get selected, this gradual has to be more quick than now, pls we need 2500+ ITAs

I know a few with 524 around who are entering soon, would that be considered low 500s?

This last draw saw a big increase but score still went down maybe I guess most new 500+ were between 500-530 and less PNP candidates. That being said, they really need to increase ITAs, 250 each draw is very little, hopefully they can bring in 2250-2500 the next time but that is too hopeful.

Not only 500+, at this point it is tricky to know when it will go down to low 500s. I'm hoping 520s in the next 1-2 draws but I can't see it going to 500 quickly just looking at sheer numbers

557 to 542 seems at least a bit optimistic. If the draw size goes up to 2000 the next time, maybe we can see 530s or high 520s? I wonder what the distribution of people between 500-550 is