Recent content by wmsimon

Update: My passport is delivered today.

Hi, I just received my passport today

Yes, I just received the notice that the application was approved yesterday and counterfoil has been generated. Looking forward to the passport delivery!

Same day here! I haven't heard any response yet... Could you please let us know when you receive it? I'll keep you posted as well. Thank you

Hi, have you received your passport as of now? I sent mine 3 weeks ago and haven't received any response...

My AOR is Jan 5th (FSW Outland). My GCMS note dated Mar 30th shows Eligibility has passed. Criminality and Security not started.

ITA: Nov 25, 2020 AOR: Jan 5, 2021 MEP & BIL: Feb 2, 2021 Biometrics Completed: Feb 10, 2021 Just noticed a ghost update today without email. Background check changed from "processing" to "in progress"

Do you know when is the deadline for withdraw and refund?

This is why some people are making fake profiles because they try to lock down their tier-breaking date early even with a fake IELTS that they haven't obtained yet... I don't know why several guys here are trying to justify this unethical attempt and rationalize the CRS bar which should have...

And these fake profiles will remain above the cut-off CRS in every draw because they will decline the invitation and re-enter the pool. I’m not sure about the exact number but at least 300 based on the analysis. It means even IRCC is trying to invite 4500 today, they will not receive 4200+...

I’m talking about the fake profiles not the legit ones. At least 300 fake profiles have wasted 300 invitations and pushed the cut-off CRS higher than it’s supposed to be. People around the tier-breaking rule are suffering from waiting and some even lost their dream due to aging. Shouldn’t we...

No need to find excuses... Fact is fact and I just want to share this finding with everyone here so we can discuss and understand various reasons behind. The candidates distribution data IRCC published started to look weird from last draw as we get close to 470 and today I think more people are...

As I mentioned last month, there’re lots of ghost profiles in the pool that have to decline the invitations. That’s why it messed up the calculation to estimate the next cut-off CRS and people are wondering why. I believe IRCC is already aware of this issue, so now they’re drawing more and more...

Good analysis but you forgot the structure of CRE scores. It's not linear but more like "stairs". For example, a typical profile (single <29yr old master degree IELTS 8777 3yr experience) will give you 469 and every CLB10 achieved will add 3 points, but you cannot come up with 470/471 (only...

Note that the tier breaking rule for last draw was in March. I don't think since March, there're only 189 people with 471 in the pool because the calculation here assumed all people above 471 will accept the ITA which may not be true. Some people have to decline.